![Image](http://i65.tinypic.com/2rokmxt.png)
You can see convectively active kelvin wave moving through soon robustly from the wpac (and eventually Atlantic a bit later) in blue
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TheStormExpert wrote:gatorcane wrote:Seems the only thing creating shear in the EPAC are other hurricanes. Other than that there is little if any shear across the entire EPAC. Meanwhile the Atlantic is full of upper-level lows, shear, dry air. Definitely a tale of two worlds at the moment as soon as you cross Central America into the Caribbean.
Wonder what environmental conditions would be like if we didn't have Central America and Mexico splitting up the Atlantic and East Pacific.
Ntxw wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:gatorcane wrote:Seems the only thing creating shear in the EPAC are other hurricanes. Other than that there is little if any shear across the entire EPAC. Meanwhile the Atlantic is full of upper-level lows, shear, dry air. Definitely a tale of two worlds at the moment as soon as you cross Central America into the Caribbean.
Wonder what environmental conditions would be like if we didn't have Central America and Mexico splitting up the Atlantic and East Pacific.
It wouldn't be too much different. The Atlantic has to contend with SAL which is dust and mid level dry air due to the climate of N. Africa. If not for that, the Atlantic would be active from May to Nov like the EPAC. Northern SA and CA is a moist region with rainforests along with a moist, warm SW Carib. That would be my guess with initial thoughts.
Ntxw wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:gatorcane wrote:Seems the only thing creating shear in the EPAC are other hurricanes. Other than that there is little if any shear across the entire EPAC. Meanwhile the Atlantic is full of upper-level lows, shear, dry air. Definitely a tale of two worlds at the moment as soon as you cross Central America into the Caribbean.
Wonder what environmental conditions would be like if we didn't have Central America and Mexico splitting up the Atlantic and East Pacific.
It wouldn't be too much different. The Atlantic has to contend with SAL which is dust and mid level dry air due to the climate of N. Africa. If not for that, the Atlantic would be active from May to Nov like the EPAC. Northern SA and CA is a moist region with rainforests along with a moist, warm SW Carib. That would be my guess with initial thoughts.
cycloneye wrote:EC joins GFS on the long range system.
WeatherGuesser wrote:Named by Monday?
If so, any kind of anything to note for July?
NDG wrote:It looks like this month will fall short to July of last year with the number of named storms & hurricanes. Environment not quiet as good as last year. All in all still a very impressive cyclone production month in the EPAC, especially compared to the rest of the basins.
Ntxw wrote:Pretty consistent signal from general guidance EPAC will have potential Jova next week. Area of interest should start showing up late this weekend and might be a hurricane by late week
Ntxw wrote:Pretty consistent signal from general guidance EPAC will have potential Jova next week. Area of interest should start showing up late this weekend and might be a hurricane by late week
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