gatorcane wrote:Ntxw wrote:Pretty consistent signal from general guidance EPAC will have potential Jova next week. Area of interest should start showing up late this weekend and might be a hurricane by late week
http://i64.tinypic.com/6ycylw.png
Not too sure about this. Looking at the ECMWF and CMC models there isn't anything anywhere near as strong as the GFS shows not to mention the upgraded GFS has been far too bullish on some systems in the EPAC already. Big flop on Hillary for example.
Also long-range shows the EPAC really starting to slow as expected as we head into August so Atlantic's turn should be around the corner.
Don't know about it getting strong, but still decent signal Jova might come out of it. In general the EPAC will slow down some I agree. The Atlantic I'm not sure yet, the Bermuda/Azores high will flex and will be stacked from 500mb down so pressures quite high. Both basins may experience somewhat of a lull before kicking back up mid August.