ATL: TEN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gatorcane]

You can actually see the "LLC" if you speed up loop and look along 63W in the break between the mid-level clouds. It is alive and kicking:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

[jlauderdal]

Still bursting tonight.. folks don't turn your back on it if you live in Florida.

We will never turn our back to 92L...lets see if nhc starts to.raise the percentage...would make sense based on the shear forecast..beware of my predictions, i said it would explode in the gulf which is at 0% and holding strong

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[TheStormExpert]

This likely would've already been a decent hurricane if it hadn't been for these TUTT's and ULL's.

[Hurricaneman]

You can actually see the "LLC" if you speed up loop and look along 63W in the break between the mid-level clouds. It is alive and kicking:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

Might have reformed

[JaxGator]

According to latest CIMSS, near 60W 20N. The vorticity has hung in there all day today:

It has actually become more consolidated and more organized throughout the day.

It's definitely trying. That's the thing about these CaboI Verde waves - you can throw dry air and shear at it for days, and it still persists. If you give it a favorable window, boom. You can't take your eyes off them until the vort signature is completely gone.

That's indeed a good point that many posters (including northjaxpro) have stated before. It's happened before and with 92L's vort signature as apparent as it is now, it's makes it a good case to keep watch and see if it can take advantage of favorable conditions and develop further or is gone from the picture.

[rickybobby]

This topic is getting active again lol.

[Craters]

Still bursting tonight.. folks don't turn your back on it if you live in Florida.

We will never turn our back to 92L...lets see if nhc starts to.raise the percentage...would make sense based on the shear forecast..beware of my predictions, i said it would explode in the gulf which is at 0% and holding strong

Reminds me of the old Saturday Night Live news report: "Our lead story tonight: Generalissimo Francisco Franco is still clinging to death ..."

(If you're not a geezer, you're probably giving your monitor a blank stare right about now. Sorry.)

[jlauderdal]

This topic is getting active again lol.

The power of a few additional tstorms

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[Michele B]

Is it just me, or does it seem like, no matter WHAT a storm does these days, very few (if any) TS/hurricanes recently (several years, it seems), don't ever really get the signature "comma" look to them anymore.

Seriously, when was the last time you remember seeing what you thought was a very well-constructed, symmetrical-looking hurricane/TS with a good, solid and easily discernible eye?

[Kazmit]

Is it just me, or does it seem like, no matter WHAT a storm does these days, very few (if any) TS/hurricanes recently (several years, it seems), don't ever really get the signature "comma" look to them anymore.

Seriously, when was the last time you remember seeing what you thought was a very well-constructed, symmetrical-looking hurricane/TS with a good, solid and easily discernible eye?

Not really sure when the last one like how you are describing was, but a good example of the "comma" look of an intense hurricane would be Donna of 1960.

[blp]

Lots of similarities with Gert. Take a look at what was said back when 99l pre Gert was in the same area with no model support from Euro or GFS.

Page 60
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=85&t=118925&start=1180

[nativefloridian]

Lots of similarities with Gert. Take a look at what was said back when 99l pre Gert was in the same area with no model support from Euro or GFS.

Page 60
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=85&t=118925&start=1180

Wow....like deja vu!

[TheStormExpert]

Lots of similarities with Gert. Take a look at what was said back when 99l pre Gert was in the same area with no model support from Euro or GFS.

Page 60
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=85&t=118925&start=1180

But model support was on and off whereas with 92L the GFS and Euro haven't shown development in days!

[Hammy]

Lots of similarities with Gert. Take a look at what was said back when 99l pre Gert was in the same area with no model support from Euro or GFS.

Page 60
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=85&t=118925&start=1180

But model support was on and off whereas with 92L the GFS and Euro haven't shown development in days!

Model support for Gert was nonexistent for 3-4 days consistently before it formed. I don't think this will as it's less organized than Gert (which consistently had that 'recently dissipated TC' look for days prior to developing.)

[AxaltaRacing24]

Lots of similarities with Gert. Take a look at what was said back when 99l pre Gert was in the same area with no model support from Euro or GFS.

Page 60
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=85&t=118925&start=1180

But model support was on and off whereas with 92L the GFS and Euro haven't shown development in days!

Model support for Gert was nonexistent for 3-4 days consistently before it formed. I don't think this will as it's less organized than Gert (which consistently had that 'recently dissipated TC' look for days prior to developing.)

We will pin this one too

[Miami Storm Tracker]

anyone else having issues with the floater for 92L

[CourierPR]

anyone else having issues with the floater for 92L

Yes. Technical issues, apparently.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Thanks You courier

[Blown Away]

anyone else having issues with the floater for 92L

Seems to be up now?

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Thanks Blown Away