ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Thetxhurricanemaster]

Shear west of 76W is pretty much non-existent.
With the large and persistent convection, I expect east of it will improve as well in the next few hours.

Just one question it's moving in the general direction of W right or is it moving WNW

[stormreader]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/09L/imagery/avn_lalo-animated.gif

As stated by others, it looks so much better than yesterday. Should skoot along in Honduran coastal waters before beginning to add a little more north component. I'm confident it will be a tropical storm again well before getting near the coast. Interesting to see its strength and angle (north component) as it moves near Belize.

[cycloneye]

@philklotzbach
And right on queue, looks like Harvey might be coming back from the dead.

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/899274291354542082

[stormreader]

Trying to reorganize a center (looks like around 14.5 N or so). Honduran coast at 16N. So it will very likely be on the coast there. Forecast calls for added north component at that time. Center (of tropical storm at that time, I'm guessing) will tend to migrate just off the coast for some added north component, and then in to Belize.

[GCANE]

Shear west of 76W is pretty much non-existent.
With the large and persistent convection, I expect east of it will improve as well in the next few hours.

Just one question it's moving in the general direction of W right or is it moving WNW

I am waiting in Recon to make the call

[wxman57]

It's moving toward 280-290 degrees. Should clip Honduras on its way to Belize. Might regain a circulation before it reaches Belize tomorrow night. Will probably redevelop in the BoC on Wednesday and move into Mexico.

[slamdaddy]

It's moving toward 280-290 degrees. Should clip Honduras on its way to Belize. Might regain a circulation before it reaches Belize tomorrow night. Will probably redevelop in the BoC on Wednesday and move into Mexico.

Should...Might....Probably ???

[tolakram]

SLIDER

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=13225&y=7721&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[tailgater]

Pressure dropped to 1005 mb as the wave axis /Coc passed very near this buoy.

[Thetxhurricanemaster]

Pressure dropped to 1005 mb as the wave axis /Coc passed very near this buoy.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_wind_pres ... _label=EST

What are the coordinates of this ??? Also link please

[BZSTORM]

Pressure dropped to 1005 mb as the wave axis /Coc passed very near this buoy.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/plot_wind_pres ... _label=EST

What are the coordinates of this ??? Also link please

14.888 N 74.575 W (14°53'17" N 74°34'30" W) Station 42058 - Central Caribbean - 210 NM SSE of Kingston, Jamaica
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42058

[ScottNAtlanta]

SLIDER

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=13225&y=7721&z=4&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

Its not quite there yet but but it looks like some west inflow is about to start setting up. I can see it in all other directions. Its on the cusp for sure sure

[ScottNAtlanta]

In case anyone wants the link to the National Data Buoy Center

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/rmd.shtml

[BZSTORM]

I just noticed Recon flight is on route my guess so they have some data for the next outlook advisory.
I don't know how to do post the recon data so hope some one online who sees this post can start posting the data on the recon thread
I'm watching the google map version here http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon ... ing=cesium

[Alyono]

not seeing any evidence yet of a surface circulation. Also, the convection likely will drop off this afternoon due to the diurnal min

[StormTracker]

I don't know...he's looking a whole lot better than the wanna-be Irma.
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=26.3;-76.4;4&l=rain-3h&m=icon

[StormChaser75]

[Alyono]

I don't know...he's looking a whole lot better than the wanna-be Irma.
https://www.ventusky.com/?p=26.3;-76.4;4&l=rain-3h&m=icon

it is looking better, but it has a ways to go. Convection is in the process of dropping off. Cloud tops are warming. Likely normal diurnal process

May have to wait until this reaches the BOC to redevelop

[SoupBone]

[quote="StormChaser75"][/quote]


Looks like he's about to go sight seeing in Nicaragua and at least Honduras.

[Sanibel]

I knew it was going to blow up again...We should see renewed interest from NHC soon...


West Caribbean climatology...