ATL: TEN - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Blown Away wrote: For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...
Peep that random model plot on the far left (out of map range) by UKM.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
AutoPenalti wrote:Blown Away wrote:For what it's worth, you can see the NHC finding more interest closer to the SE convection...
Peep that random model plot on the far left (out of map range) by UKM.
That's Harvey that is the blue line
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Take it with a HUGE GRAIN OF SALT as the Euro has performed poorly in it's mid-long range.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Here is how the 12z Euro run goes for 92L with it riding the Gulf Stream through at least off NC @ 168hrs.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:Here is how the 12z Euro run goes for 92L with it riding the Gulf Stream through at least off NC @ 168hrs.
If that were to pan out Harvey would head up the Mississippi valley after flooding Texas while Ida soaked the Carolina's.
I could produce flooding throughout the southeast as never seen before.
Sure hope this doesn't happen.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
hd44 wrote:Gfs hammers se New England.
Yeah, that was a huge change! Phases with the trough next Tues, and bombs out in some sort of hybrid system just off shore of NJ, moves up along the NE coast! Very interesting GFS run.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Emmett_Brown wrote:hd44 wrote:Gfs hammers se New England.
Yeah, that was a huge change! Phases with the trough next Tues, and bombs out in some sort of hybrid system just off shore of NJ, moves up along the NE coast! Very interesting GFS run.
Possible and I am leaning on that direction. I think a landfall near Cape cod is possible baring more west shifts.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
This hybrid on the gfs... not sure fully tropical... but warm seclusion?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
18Z GFS rewards 92L for hanging around for 472 months by developing it into a TC/STC and brushing New England next week. Genesis doesn't occur for over 120–144 hours from now though. We'll see....
Edit: Actually looks subtropical and maybe even extratropical. It interacts heavily with a mid-latitude trough.
Edit: Actually looks subtropical and maybe even extratropical. It interacts heavily with a mid-latitude trough.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
0z CMC punts a 970 mb storm into the Chesapeake Bay @ 144
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Does anyone anticipate the ridge shown on the CMC verifying? That would be a bad situation for the Bay.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Slughitter3 wrote:Does anyone anticipate the ridge shown on the CMC verifying? That would be a bad situation for the Bay.
IMO there's a 0.1% chance, there is just too much going on w/ Harvey for ANY of the models to be accurate on 92L more than 48 hr out (if that).
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion is not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
This would bring some pretty wicked waves
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.
in a typical summertime setup we would have had our rain for today and that would be it...however, we can see development north of key west in an area that was worked over earlier so this setup is really conducive to big totals...10 inch storm totals not out of the question south of i-4 before 92l exits the scene early next week
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
jlauderdal wrote:Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Rain now starting to push of the North coast of Cuba, if it holds together may have more rain here in Miami.
in a typical summertime setup we would have had our rain for today and that would be it...however, we can see development north of key west in an area that was worked over earlier so this setup is really conducive to big totals...10 inch storm totals not out of the question south of i-4 before 92l exits the scene early next week
Yeah I was looking at that too, so far nothing has come of it...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 92L - Models
Miami about to get that rain from off of Cuba in a few minutes.
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