ATL: HARVEY - Models

[Alyono]

substantial northward shift for the Canadian, and substantially more intense

[Wx_Warrior]

gfs 126...still over land

[HouTXmetro]

I can't keep up. It would be nice if a designated person could post links to the models as they come out. Thanks!!!

[Wx_Warrior]

132H finally back over water

[AxaltaRacing24]

I can't keep up. It would be nice if a designated person could post links to the models as they come out. Thanks!!!

GFS: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=100


CMC: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 400&fh=132

[South Texas Storms]

substantial northward shift for the Canadian, and substantially more intense

Yep, 0z Canadian shifts northward and stronger. Makes landfall near South Padre Island at 980mb.

[mcheer23]

CMC is actually slightly more north.

[Wx_Warrior]

138h

[Wx_Warrior]

150h

[utweather]

This is a definitive statement. Changes are likely and additional model variations are set to occur. This isnt the first time you've made this mistake in the past few pages.

I would suggest ignoring that person. They have been model hugging and throwing out irrational statements for the past 2/3 days. That poster should post some information to support their claim. Instead they just keep hopping on every single model run and preaching it like it is the gospel.

Yall are model hugging based on the averages of all models middle Texas coast down to the border is at the greatest risk !

Looks like you were on the money Thetxhurricanemaster. I kept thinking about this post all day yesterday and today, and then when the track went back west you were vindicated. Please keep posting, when the track is so unknown it is good to have a different view from the herd.

[Wx_Warrior]

156h

2nd landfall Galveston? Need eyes

[Rgv20]

0zCMC basically a copy of the GFS thru 60hrs but with a 980mb hurricane.

[Bhuggs]

More of a stall then back track type track in 0z GFS than the southwest loop on 18z

[ROCK]

What a jacked up track if I have ever seen one. And I have seen many. Don't know what to think so it's time to take a break and step away. Ugh

[wxmann_91]

0Z GFS maintains some ridiculous rain totals. 30" southeast of San Antonio and in the SE Houston suburbs through 168 hr. Freshwater flooding remains the biggest threat from Harvey.

[davidiowx]

I would suggest ignoring that person. They have been model hugging and throwing out irrational statements for the past 2/3 days. That poster should post some information to support their claim. Instead they just keep hopping on every single model run and preaching it like it is the gospel.

Yall are model hugging based on the averages of all models middle Texas coast down to the border is at the greatest risk !

Looks like you were on the money Thetxhurricanemaster. I kept thinking about this post all day yesterday and today, and then when the track went back west you were vindicated. Please keep posting, when the track is so unknown it is good to have a different view from the herd.

Uh, this is far from over pal..

[Wx_Warrior]

Last post 174H finally moving NE into Louisiana

[South Texas Storms]

0z UKMET shifts west.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ANALYSED POSITION : 22.0N 92.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 24.08.2017 0 22.0N 92.5W 1003 27
1200UTC 24.08.2017 12 23.2N 92.4W 999 36
0000UTC 25.08.2017 24 24.3N 93.8W 992 39
1200UTC 25.08.2017 36 25.6N 95.1W 984 50
0000UTC 26.08.2017 48 27.0N 96.1W 974 62
1200UTC 26.08.2017 60 28.1N 96.6W 969 69
0000UTC 27.08.2017 72 28.8N 97.2W 970 54
1200UTC 27.08.2017 84 29.1N 97.4W 977 47
0000UTC 28.08.2017 96 29.1N 97.7W 984 39
1200UTC 28.08.2017 108 28.9N 97.5W 985 45
0000UTC 29.08.2017 120 29.0N 97.2W 984 39
1200UTC 29.08.2017 132 29.2N 97.5W 990 33
0000UTC 30.08.2017 144 29.1N 97.3W 996 30

[stormlover2013]

Where does ukmet show ?

[NDG]

Lol, 0z CMC shifts to the right on a landfall from its earlier 12z run.