ATL: HARVEY - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
6Z GFS showing rapid intensification.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
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hd44
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
tolakram wrote:6Z GFS showing rapid intensification.
Do we have enough time in 36 hours for a mass evacuation from some of the coastal areas?? This was not predicted 2 to 3 days ago. I am getting worried as models are in catch up mode.
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Texas Snowman
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Ominous looking...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
938mb on fullres GFS.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Pretty scary run, hopefully this is typical GFS.
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stormreader
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Hammy wrote:
938mb on fullres GFS.
Watch for less penetration west with the new runs today. I think that is an increased likelihood.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Weatherbell 0Z Euro was 985mb at Landfall very near Corpus Christi.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
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hd44
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Jesus christ this is looking bad for Corpus on the Gfs . That is a cat 4 beast on it.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Based on what I'm currently seeing the GFS intensity at landfall may be the way to go unfortunately
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Texas Snowman
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
hd44 wrote:tolakram wrote:6Z GFS showing rapid intensification.
Do we have enough time in 36 hours for a mass evacuation from some of the coastal areas?? This was not predicted 2 to 3 days ago. I am getting worried as models are in catch up mode.
Depends to some degree where it's going and where you're wanting to evacuate.
Corpus has 305,000 residents; Port O'Connor has 1,250; Galveston has 50,000; and the Houston metro has 6.3 million.
POC, yes. The others, not likely IMO.
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Digital-TC-Chaser
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Humm those GFS runs are starting to look similar to a few earlier nam runs.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
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Texas Snowman
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
Scary looking run for Corpus... 
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
946 mb at 54 hours on the GFS! This storm has the potential to reach CAT 4.
This storm has the potential to reach CAT 4.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
There is very little shear now.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
COAMPS finally back up.
Latest run 8/24 00Z
Cat 2 at landfall.
Hit the brakes and meander east.
Latest run 8/24 00Z
Cat 2 at landfall.
Hit the brakes and meander east.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models
GFS showing a stall again.
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