ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 251931
AF307 1909A HARVEY HDOB 18 20170825
192230 2602N 09510W 6967 03149 0033 +103 +095 208042 042 030 000 01
192300 2601N 09508W 6965 03158 0034 +106 +082 205040 041 030 000 03
192330 2601N 09506W 6964 03161 0035 +110 +071 200041 042 028 000 03
192400 2603N 09506W 6967 03159 0037 +110 +069 194039 041 /// /// 03
192430 2604N 09507W 6970 03151 0033 +108 +081 195037 038 /// /// 03
192500 2605N 09509W 6961 03156 0031 +105 +089 193036 037 028 000 00
192530 2606N 09511W 6969 03150 0035 +100 +095 195037 038 029 001 00
192600 2608N 09512W 6968 03150 0028 +105 +091 198039 040 031 001 00
192630 2609N 09514W 6966 03149 0027 +106 +082 203038 040 031 000 00
192700 2610N 09515W 6970 03144 0024 +106 +077 206040 040 029 000 03
192730 2612N 09517W 6967 03148 0025 +107 +067 209039 040 030 000 03
192800 2613N 09518W 6967 03145 0022 +109 +065 210040 040 032 000 00
192830 2614N 09520W 6966 03140 0025 +105 +067 207041 041 032 000 00
192900 2616N 09521W 6967 03143 0023 +105 +069 206042 042 033 000 00
192930 2617N 09522W 6967 03140 0023 +104 +067 206043 043 033 000 00
193000 2618N 09524W 6968 03135 0025 +100 +068 205044 045 034 000 00
193030 2620N 09525W 6967 03138 0021 +100 +075 204045 046 036 001 00
193100 2621N 09527W 6967 03130 0019 +100 +074 204046 047 037 001 00
193130 2622N 09528W 6968 03131 0017 +100 +079 206046 047 035 001 00
193200 2624N 09530W 6969 03125 0014 +098 +082 211047 049 036 000 03
$$
;

[txwatcher91]

Inner eye is gone, outer eye has fully taken over. Expect a steady drop in pressure now and winds to further increase as the gradient strengthens and organizes further. Looking very ominous on radar...

[SunnyThoughts]

941.6 with 16 surface yikes man I was hoping it wasn't going to go sub 940

[artist]

Yes, there are spots here in Beaumont definitely flooded.

Is southerngal still in Beaumont? Twc said there is flooding there already

Y'all stay safe

[jdjaguar]

Every jog north puts us in Victoria much worse conditions

what is your elevation at your location?

I say this because I saw a EURO12z estimate of a potential 59 inches+ rain in that area.

flooding may be severe.

godspeed.

[jaguars_22]

I believe victorIa county in 10 ft. Time to start expecting 100+ mph winds here due to the jumps north I just hope it doesn't slow down in gulf and come in slowly

[Ntxw]

From GOES-16

[Exalt]

Maybe this thing might stall due to changing directions? It looks like it keeps jogging N instead of NW..

[Kingarabian]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

[tarheelprogrammer]

Good loop of the storm here. It looks like you can see mesovortices inside the eye here (I think that is what they call them):

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=27&lon=-96&width=1000&height=800&zoom=1&type=Animation&numframes=20&quality=92

[msp]

third squall of the day beginning now. almost exactly half an inch of rain so far at my location near the texas medical center

[rockyman]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

He must be thinking that this is going to come in north of CC

[bahamaswx]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

He must be thinking that this is going to come in north of CC

Certainly looks like it to me.

[tarheelprogrammer]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

That was an ignorant statement, as flooding is still going to be a problem as well. Just my opinion though.

[Janie2006]

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
224 PM CDT FRI AUG 25 2017

TXC321-251945-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0052.000000T0000Z-170825T1945Z/
Matagorda TX-
224 PM CDT FRI AUG 25 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
MATAGORDA COUNTY...

At 223 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 10 miles northwest of Sargent, or 10 miles southeast of
Bay City, moving west at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

Locations impacted include...
Bay City, Van Vleck and Wadsworth.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

[MrStormX]

LSM is taking some great video of the early impacts.

Here is their most recent video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xeZCo5XjK6w

[JPmia]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

Well it is much less populated near the potential landfall spot of Aransas & San Antonio Bays, but those communities along there are in for some catastrophic damage.

[Janie2006]

A reminder....tornadoes within tropical systems can move very quickly. Keep an ear to the wx radio and take shelter if you are within the warned area.

[rw1984]

Wouldn't it take a wnw motion at this point to be a direct hit on Corpus based on current location? Seems like recent movement has been closer to North than West.

[Hurrilurker]

Bastardi is now saying that Texas will be spared the worst of the hurricane since Harvey will be making landfall over a less populated area.

How true is this if one of the landfall points are Corpus Christi which has a population of nearly 325000?

That was an ignorant statement, as flooding is still going to be a problem as well. Just my opinion though.

"Spared the worst" doesn't mean it still won't be horrible. But the worst would be the winds and storm surge that come with a direct north/northeast eyewall hit (PLUS the rain), and it does appear the eye will miss CC to the north (but if I lived there you can bet I'd still be preparing for the worst in any case).