ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Alyono]

Are the planes releasing silver iodide to try to induce an EWRC? I know they did it for Matthew, Ike, and Sandy (although the greater area of strong winds may have caused more damage than a more intense smaller eyes was) and it generally kept them below max strength.

hey stopped that in the early 1980s because it did not work

[Aric Dunn]

124 kts

[Aric Dunn]

Little more and we will have a cat 4..

[CycloneGuru]

I'm located in Jefferson County, I have family that lives in Orange County, and I have family that Lives in Austin Texas, Are either one of these places safe to evacuate to? I feel like Orange County and Austin Are going to receive something from this. i don't think its safe to stay here in Beaumont Texas, especially in my neighborhood where it floods the roads with just a hour heavy downpour.

[Meteorcane]

Are the planes releasing silver iodide to try to induce an EWRC? I know they did it for Matthew, Ike, and Sandy (although the greater area of strong winds may have caused more damage than a more intense smaller eyes was) and it generally kept them below max strength.

hey stopped that in the early 1980s because it did not work

Oh my mistake, I did remember there being the issue that there was not enough supercooled water in tropical cyclones for glaciation via silver iodide to be an effective way to induce a secondary eyewall. However, I thought they still did that because silv. iodide was relatively cheap and they felt they have nothing to lose so to speak (since they were already flying aerial missions).

[catskillfire51]

124 kts

Flight level is 124kts/ surface is 91knts

[Garnetcat5]

just saw on twitter some guy show the euro calling for 60 inches of rain in corpus! That mod l isn't used for that is it? Omg people can get very panicked over that information

That would be awful. Especially for the Houston area. I have friends in Richmond that live on the river and I'm worried they're not taking it as seriously as they should

I do too

[Langinbang187]

Getting pretty close to landfall now. Don't think he has the time to pull off cat 4. Extremely dangerous and impressive storm none-the less.

[gatorcane]

I thought landfall was not going to be until later tonight or tomorrow AM? At least that is what I was seeing last night on the weather channel. Is it landfalling faster than expected?

[Cunxi Huang]

Really really intense. It looks like a cat 4 now.

[Blinhart]

I'm located in Jefferson County, I have family that lives in Orange County, and I have family that Lives in Austin Texas, Are either one of these places safe to evacuate to? I feel like Orange County and Austin Are going to receive something from this. i don't think its safe to stay here in Beaumont Texas, especially in my neighborhood where it floods the roads with just a hour heavy downpour.

If I lived in South Texas or Southeast Texas where they are forecasting over 20 inches of rain I would be going NW towards Midland or due W to El Paso. With that I'm here in South Central Louisiana where they are predicting up to 15 inches of rain and I'm staying.

[hriverajr]

Doubt it will wait till the am unless it just stops in tracks

[La Sirena]

Getting pretty close to landfall now. Don't think he has the time to pull off cat 4. Extremely dangerous and impressive storm none-the less.

I keep reading conflicting reports of estimated landfall.....has it stalled out a bit if it's anticipated to make the nighttime landfall?

[artist]

Gregg Abbott just signed asking for major disaster declaration from the Feds

[Kingarabian]

Really really intense. It looks like a cat 4 now.

[img]https://s2.postimg.org/ux21dfz3d/mesoscale_01_band_02_sector_05_20170825202355.gif[img]

You can see some stadium effects going on.

[gatorcane]

Considering how close Harvey is now, not seeing too many reports. I guess most people might have lost power already so no Internet access.

[Extratropical94]

Getting pretty close to landfall now. Don't think he has the time to pull off cat 4. Extremely dangerous and impressive storm none-the less.

I keep reading conflicting reports of estimated landfall.....has it stalled out a bit if it's anticipated to make the nighttime landfall?

If it doesn't stall or slow down considerably, landfall will occur before midnight.

[gatorcane]

Wow is all I have to say:

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/nexsat-bin/ ... PE=Instant

[Blinhart]

Really really intense. It looks like a cat 4 now.

https://s2.postimg.org/ux21dfz3d/mesosc ... 202355.gif

My question are they gonna consider it landfall when it hits the barrier islands or the main land? With any of these wobbles are more N or NE it will take longer to make landfall no matter what they consider landfall. Also with all the saturated land and the further North they go the flatter the land is so less friction and won't degrade as fast.

[FLpanhandle91]

Recon going for another pass. Looks like they'll go through the NE Quad again.