ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

saved radar loop

[La Sirena]

From the discussion:

Harvey may continue to strengthen during the 6-12 hours it has
before landfall, but regardless it is expected to make landfall at
major hurricane strength.

6-12 hours? I thought it was more like 3 hours...

I agree....THIS^^^^^

I'm just going to keep watching....Harvey is one unpredictable 'cane.

[BYG Jacob]

From the discussion:

Harvey may continue to strengthen during the 6-12 hours it has
before landfall, but regardless it is expected to make landfall at
major hurricane strength.

6-12 hours? I thought it was more like 3 hours...

its roughly 60 miles from the coast and at 10 mph, that would be 6 hours.

[Callista]

I guess, if you consider several feet of rain to be a "complete miss".

It's enough to cause a lot of trouble, but even if Houston gets only a "complete miss" with a couple feet of rain and some flooding, I'll feel they've dodged a bullet.

Red Cross has set up shelters and is preparing to respond, of course, as usual.

I am talking about the second loop I am wondering if the eye is hitting Houston. Will this be a wind issue.

I think you're looking at broken windows, fallen tree branches, roof tiles blown off, garden sheds destroyed.... the same you would get with a windstorm. It's nothing to sneeze at. And of course there is still the risk of tornadoes. You want to be in a sturdy building, away from flood plains and away from the windows.

[DodgeDemon2018]

I understand the rain issue.

The rain is THE issue for the Houston area. We're talking about potentially the one of the worst flooding events in American history centered near Houston.

The whole area from Corpus to Houston may see in excess of 20-60" of rainfall! And Texas is a big state, that is some hefty real estate. 2-5 feet of rain..

I think people are misunderstanding me I get it the rain is bad I live in Kemah. Point understood im asking if on the second loop does this have a chance to be a wind issue if the eye hits galveston? I work in Baton Rouge so im not gonna leave unless its a wind and rain issue as the house is prepped for rain.

[hurricaneCW]

The catastrophe from Harvey will shockingly not be due to the wind or surge, it will be due to the biblical rainfall totals spread over hundreds of miles.

I think a lot of people are going to be caught off guard because they think it's only a wind issue.

[gfsperpendicular]

Wonder if the storm2k users online record will be broken? I think the record was from Matthew bearing down on Florida from last year (though it says May):

In total there are 1373 users online :: 183 registered, 12 hidden and 1178 guests (based on users active over the past 15 minutes)
Most users ever online was 1581 on Mon May 29, 2017 2:08 pm

I'm guessing it will.

Also, wow, nearly 1200 guests!!

[FLpanhandle91]

Recon heading back in for a NE quad/eye pass

[tolakram]

The rain is THE issue for the Houston area. We're talking about potentially the one of the worst flooding events in American history centered near Houston.

The whole area from Corpus to Houston may see in excess of 20-60" of rainfall! And Texas is a big state, that is some hefty real estate. 2-5 feet of rain..

I think people are misunderstanding me I get it the rain is bad I live in Kemah. Point understood im asking if on the second loop does this have a chance to be a wind issue if the eye hits galveston? I work in Baton Rouge so im not gonna leave unless its a wind and rain issue as the house is prepped for rain.

Too soon to tell and your best bet is to pay attention to the NHC and local forecasts. If the NHC does not know we do not know.

[weunice]

Confirmed tornado with one of the warnings ....

AT 359 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER BAYOU VISTA, OR
NEAR LA MARQUE, MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH. WEATHER SPOTTERS
REPORTED A TORNADO ON BROADWAY AND SEAWALL THAT HAD DONE DAMAGE TO A
MCDONALD`S SIGN AT 347 PM CDT.

[Rail Dawg]

For the record this is my 12th chase.

But I do understand the moderation of posts.

I will report what I see.

I'm glad you have some experience. I'm a little worried that you're talking about driving at night into a hurricane. You should have already been positioned there now. This will likely be a category 4 at landfall. Driving towards the center is crazy. Doing it at night is downright insane.

I'm listening trust me.

If I can't reach Victoria in under 100mph winds I turn around.

Once there it's the Citizens Medical Center parking garage with concrete stairwells.

Truck handles these winds easily.

I always have a back-up plan. A way out.

[DodgeDemon2018]

It's enough to cause a lot of trouble, but even if Houston gets only a "complete miss" with a couple feet of rain and some flooding, I'll feel they've dodged a bullet.

Red Cross has set up shelters and is preparing to respond, of course, as usual.

I am talking about the second loop I am wondering if the eye is hitting Houston. Will this be a wind issue. That is as much as some people are tall...

I think you're looking at broken windows, fallen tree branches, roof tiles blown off, garden sheds destroyed.... the same you would get with a windstorm. It's nothing to sneeze at. And of course there is still the risk of tornadoes. You want to be in a sturdy building, away from flood plains and away from the windows.

Okay thanks for that.

[gatorcane]

Copying link from discussion to this thread:

http://www.kristv.com/category/292861/live-stream Great live stream out of corpus

[Steve]

Lol at TWC trying to be serious as joyriders tour Corpus Christi bayfront in cars and on foot. Wind is cranking but still. Oh and a McDonalds sign got damaged in a spotted tornado. It will get worse

[Aric Dunn]

You all have to realize they are talking about the center ashore not the eyewall. .. tje entire half of the circulation has to be onshore. Thats at least 6 hours.

The eyewall though is going to be pounding areas for hours ! Wind damage from such a prolonged high wind event is going to be high

[sponger]

Lots of Tornado Warnings, the less talked about hazard with Harvey...

I am in Galveston and very tempted to turn my phone off - every 15 minutes another tornado warning/watch! On the radar I spotted one curve that could have been a tornado less than a mile from me - that was a while back.I shouldn't be this way but I find the constant blare of alarms from my phone annoying. We are safe as we can be.

Reminds me of Jeanne. Finally turned the weather radio to static and the kids slept like babies!

[lrak]

Well my power is flickering so I'll post. Winds are 50-60 and rain is sideways. very dark for this time of day. Stay safe Houston you people are going to get a lot of rain. It looks like CC TX may have dodged the bullet if the loop is farther north of here I hope.

[txwatcher91]

Is it me or does this seem to be going more WNW on radar and satellite in the last few frames?

[Sanibel]

TWC Norcross says eye tightening could make run at category 4...

[BYG Jacob]

Is it me or does this seem to be going more WNW on radar and satellite in the last few frames?

Its wobbling