ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jdjaguar]

This storm is crazy! Weird how everywhere else but FL has gotten hurricane action in the last 11 years. Matthew didn't do much.

Speak for yourself, Mathew did plenty, believe me.

Both of my neighbors had 100 year oaks destroy their roofs, miraculously no one was killed.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

SFMR:

113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)

[artist]

If it wobbles west too much that would put Corpus Christi in the western or southwest eyewall.

That dopey mayor mccomb didnt issue an evacuation order

No mandatory evacuations in Corpus Christie?!

They urged people to leave, but not mandatory. He said he was just in the. Edge of declaring it yesterday, but never did.

[Cunxi Huang]

212000 2740N 09643W 6982 02701 9552 +141 //// 055077 093 113 026 01

SFMR 113 kt... well well well

[tropicwatch]

This storm is crazy! Weird how everywhere else but FL has gotten hurricane action in the last 11 years. Matthew didn't do much.

Shhh!

[BYG Jacob]

SFMR:

113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)

Surface level??

[Kingarabian]

I wonder how this will measure up to Ike.

Surge may not be as strong as Ike due to some circumstances and location of landfall, but it is just as fierce if not more.

Again if this were in the EPAC or WPAC it looks good enough to be estimated for Cat 4. When you can see blue clear down the eye on JSL loops you know it takes a very intense storm to get that view.

[img]https://i.imgbox.com/LjMbbZwG.gif[img]

Here's the ADT comparison:

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.2.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 25 AUG 2017 Time : 201500 UTC
Lat : 27:27:41 N Lon : 96:30:29 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
6.1 / 942.4mb/117.4kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
6.1 6.2 6.4

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 18 km

Center Temp : +6.5C Cloud Region Temp : -69.3C

Scene Type : EYE

Not too far off.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

SFMR:

113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)

Surface level??

SFMR, so yea.

[BYG Jacob]

SFMR:

113 knots
(~ 130.0 mph)

Surface level??

SFMR, so yea.

Holy crap

[NDG]

The town of Rockport will be one of the hardest hit towns, right on the track of Harvey.

[MrStormX]

If there is any good news, it looks like there is a good chance of landfall on a sparsely developed national wildlife refuge, unfortunately this could mean some serious surge for villages near the refuge like Seadrift, Austwell and Port O'Connor. Since these villages are remote, it might take awhile for emergency services to reach these locales, I hope everyone evacuated.

Keep in mind that I am not an official forecaster, and locals should refer to their proper government officials for accurate information.

[galaxy401]

Oh boy, here we go....Going to be a long night in Texas. Might be strongest storm to hit US since Charley and the strongest for Texas since Carla I believe...

[South Texas Storms]

Is it me or does this seem to be going more WNW on radar and satellite in the last few frames?

Its wobbling

If it wobbles west too much that would put Corpus Christi in the western or southwest eyewall.

Yeah I think there's a decent chance Corpus Christi could get hit by that western eyewall in a few hours. We'll see how much longer this westerly wobble continues.

[hipshot]

If it wobbles west too much that would put Corpus Christi in the western or southwest eyewall.

That dopey mayor mccomb didnt issue an evacuation order

No mandatory evacuations in Corpus Christie?!

Nope, I heard the Mayor on the radio this morning and he said people were smart enough to leave if they wanted to. Sounds like a real leader to me!!!

[tatertawt24]

I just realized: Member Andrew92's second-year-after-El-Nino rule is proving itself yet again.

[RL3AO]

Since we have so many people on the forum, I want to make another post about the rain.



The flooding threat from rainfall with Harvey cannot be understated. The Weather Prediction Center had to add an additional color to their legend because of Harvey. The entire Houston metro will likely see over 20" of rain in the next week. Areas that you've never seen flood will flood next week. If you live inside the red, pink, or purple area on the above image, you need to be ready for catastrophic flooding that may block roads and cutoff neighborhoods for days. And remember...NEVER EVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS OR AROUND BARACADES.

[Kingarabian]

113kts on SFMR!1!

[storm_in_a_teacup]

I heard that Harvey is forecast to make a second landfall near Houston and so the storm surge will move up the bayous at the same time the rainwater is moving down. They say the surge will basically block the bayous from draining and so make the flooding worse.

Is this accurate?

[OntarioEggplant]

This is probably a category 4

[NDG]

Looking at Google Maps traffic, looks like there are people on the highways stuck in traffic heading out of Corpus Christi.