ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Callista]

If it does make landfall by 7, maybe it'll slow down soon enough that it'll never be upgraded.

At this point, what category they call it won't make things any safer or less safe for the people--they are either going to evacuate or stick it out, and they've made their choice by now. So the final ruling can be made later, when all the data has been gathered and they can do the statistics.

[tolakram]

215800 2751N 09627W 6971 02900 //// +117 //// 123101 103 086 003 01
215830 2749N 09629W 6962 02888 9711 +130 //// 119105 106 086 003 01
215900 2748N 09630W 6964 02856 9683 +130 //// 118109 111 090 005 01
215930 2747N 09632W 6974 02803 9638 +126 //// 117115 118 095 005 01
220000 2745N 09633W 6964 02771 //// +127 //// 117110 117 098 004 01
220030 2744N 09634W 6961 02729 //// +136 //// 117105 112 098 004 01
220100 2743N 09636W 6980 02662 9454 +147 //// 112069 092 091 003 05
220130 2743N 09636W 6980 02662 //// +150 //// 112050 059 073 002 05
220200 2740N 09638W 6970 02644 //// +150 //// 113034 045 040 001 01

[SunnyThoughts]

Cantore in corpus, live on twc right now wind just whipping Way too many cars passing on the roads as well.

[northjaxpro]

Harvey is slowing down his forward speed noticeably the past hour or so on radar.

[Langinbang187]

Yea definitely not a cat 4. I'd bank on a strong cat 3 landfall at this rate. Not much water left.

[Raebie]

I just love Cantore. He knows how to bring the drama.

[Casper1]

these dam mini tornados...had 3 already up here. I don't recall tornados with Ike...idk

There were tons of those in Hancock Co. Mississippi with Katrina. Driving around after the storm and seeing trees twisted off 15-20' up was an indicator.

[Sanibel]

Might be peak...


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

[tatertawt24]

I wonder what recon would find if they sampled the SW eyewall again. That was where the most intense winds in Celia were. Also, during Andrew, I'm pretty sure convective cells peaked in the southwest eyewall, which caused the extreme damage in Naranja Lakes.

[KatDaddy]

Hurricane Harvey looks incredible on radar and satellite at 125MPH this evening. 47 years since the last major hurricane CAT 3 Celia visited the Coastal Bend and this evening that streak will come to an end. In addition, Harvey 2017 will join the ranks of Beulah 67, Carla 61, Celia 70, and Alicia 83 as CAT 3 major hurricanes to visit the TX Coast since the 60s.

000
WTNT64 KNHC 252156
TCUAT4

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
500 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...5 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...
...SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ABOUT TO MOVE ONSHORE...

A station at Aransas Pass run by the Texas Coastal Observing
Network recently reported a sustained wind of 67 mph (107 km/h) with
a gust to 81 mph (130 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 500 PM CDT...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 96.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.85 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Blake

[bohaiboy]

My fear is the U-Turn starts or has started while still offshore, keeping it offshore as it sweeps up the coastline toward Galveston/Houston. I am about 25 miles north of Houston and that would send very strong winds up this way also as well as the rain.

[Jevo]

Sun Setting on the Eye.. can still see the ocean through it

[wkwally]

130kt =/= 130mph

Woops time for new reading glasses

[tolakram]

[artist]

220330 2735N 09640W 6966 02644 9405 +164 +151 272010 014 021 001 00
220400 2733N 09641W 6968 02642 9408 +168 +142 283020 024 026 001 00


220630 2727N 09647W 6943 02779 9589 +134 //// 310104 108 097 052 01
220700 2726N 09648W 6957 02810 9632 +138 +138 314103 110 092 031 00
220730 2725N 09649W 6968 02837 9663 +134 +134 311096 098 091 027 00

[SunnyThoughts]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/templat ... peed_ms=40

Absolutely awe inspiring..and deadly

[ronyan]

That's THE shot.

[Snowman67]

Snippet from The Houston NWS afternoon discussion:

The potential for copious amounts of rainfall exists with Harvey
over the next five days with the storm total potential of 15 to 35
inches and isolated maximum amounts of 40 inches through next
Wednesday. Rainfall of this magnitude will cause catastrophic and
life-threatening flooding!

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

[Hypercane_Kyle]

[forecasterjack]

Lightning in the eyewall indicates a strong and strengthening storm. Harvey taking advantage of every last second over water https://weather.us/lightning/969-w-279- ... 2210z.html