ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6161 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:38 pm

it will be over water ( port Lavaca ) within 3 hours .. if this convection near the center after nearly 24 hours of nothing near it is because it's starting to feel water then that means it would likely not have a hard time building convection around the center. often times circs will lose the convergence after being over land for awhile and it takes a long time to build back up.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6162 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:39 pm

The closer it gets to water the more the moisture will be able to fire its core...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6163 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:39 pm

A large area of moderate to heavy rainfall is setting up over the Brazos and Colorado River basins. Satellite imagery shows cloud tops cooling some over the area. Rainfall rates don't look hyper-crushing, but it's extremely consistent rain. Some parts of the Colorado watershed there have already seen over 20" of rain.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6164 Postby meriland29 » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:40 pm

Apparently TWC's hurricane specialist thinks that from now on out, unless there is a large amount of water in a short time, the water should slowly go down despite the forecasted rain.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6165 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:41 pm

Nearly all of the far southeast US being affected by either Harvey or #10 with low clouds from 10 moving underneath the high clouds from Harvey across the N Gulf Coast. Gusty winds from one or the other occurring depending on the location

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6166 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:46 pm

artist wrote:

Link: https://youtu.be/_tjPPZo_iOY



We have not had a pure wind destructive hurricane in a long long time. maybe andrew was the last time ? that is crazy the amount of damage or destroyed buildings..


I know its not funny.. but did anyone one else notice whats wrong with the house at 3 min 43 seconds ?

lol what are the odds ?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6167 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:46 pm

ABC 13 reported that the Army Corps of Engineers confirmed that they will probably have to start doing some releases on Barker & Addicks reservoirs. They know that doing this will flood the streets in the immediate areas, but may not have a choice. http://www.swg.usace.army.mil/Media/New ... barker-da/
Last edited by SunnyThoughts on Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6168 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:52 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:

I know its not funny.. but did anyone one else notice whats wrong with the house at 3 min 43 seconds ?

lol what are the odds ?



The canoe? (Took me a while. I thought it was a big pillow.)
Last edited by Sanibel on Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6169 Postby WeatherCat » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:53 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
artist wrote:

Link: https://youtu.be/_tjPPZo_iOY



We have not had a pure wind destructive hurricane in a long long time. maybe andrew was the last time ? that is crazy the amount of damage or destroyed buildings..


I know its not funny.. but did anyone one else notice whats wrong with the house at 3 min 43 seconds ?

lol what are the odds ?



Good eye! I completely missed that!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6170 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:54 pm

Sanibel wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:

I know its not funny.. but did anyone one else notice whats wrong with the house at 3 min 43 seconds ?

lol what are the odds ?



The canoe?



yep.. lol I mean otherwise the house is pretty much intact except for the Canoe.. so random..


Hey "Bob" you canoe is in my room.....
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6171 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:56 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Sanibel wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:

I know its not funny.. but did anyone one else notice whats wrong with the house at 3 min 43 seconds ?

lol what are the odds ?



The canoe?



yep.. lol I mean otherwise the house is pretty much intact except for the Canoe.. so random..


Hey "Bob" you canoe is in my room.....


Plot twist: "Bob" likes to keep canoes in his room.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6172 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:56 pm

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/901940753332654081



Mark Sudduth ✔ @hurricanetrack
A friend of mine traveling west on interstate 10 just sent me this video it looks like buses for evacuations? They're headed to HOU.
6:53 PM - Aug 27, 2017
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6173 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:58 pm

 https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/901938656688177154



NHC Atlantic Ops ✔ @NHC_Atlantic
The flood threat from #Harvey is spreading farther east in Louisiana. Stay vigilant. @NWSNewOrleans @NWSLakeCharles @NWSWPC
6:45 PM - Aug 27, 2017

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6174 Postby sponger » Sun Aug 27, 2017 5:59 pm

Mark Sudduth ✔ @hurricanetrack
A friend of mine traveling west on interstate 10 just sent me this video it looks like buses for evacuations? They're headed to HOU.
6:53 PM - Aug 27, 2017[/quote]

Thank goodness![/quote]
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6175 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:00 pm

Hopefully those bus's will be evacuating folks to Dallas, where they are setting up that "mega" evacuation center
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6176 Postby Michele B » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:07 pm

bayoubebe wrote:
collegebroke wrote:I've been on this site since it started and just love how kind everyone is on this site. I also have been living in Sugarland/Richmond SW Houston area for 40 years. I've been through depressions, storms, Allison, Ike, and just general storms. At my house we have received 22" of rain in 35 hours and expecting more. The current forecast brings the storm directly over our house tomorrow night or Tuesday morning. Never, Never, have evacuations taken place like this. If you don't live here, you can't really understand. Just on a Friday or Sunday night, the normal traffic pattern is so heavy that it takes an amazing amount of time to get home. During the one evacuation that was called during Rita (I think), We spent an hour on the main road to leave and only got 1/2 mile. We chose to stay this time because we've had 22" of rain before and that was pretty much the forecast at first. Secondly, the storms usually move out pretty quick or at least give us a break for water to drain. Not this one. The thing is that the only one who would have known what this storm would do is its Creator. Considering the horrible experience that we had with trying to evacuation 6+ million (people died on the highway while stranded, sick and out of gas), and the bad experiences in the last year plus Allison, considering that the governor got disaster declarations two days before it hit, considering that all the county judges (including Ed Emmet) and city mayors have worked together to pull resources together, things could have been much, much worse. I'm grateful for the planning and good sense that is here now. I does not help to see people who really don't know talk badly about the people that I think have done an excellent job. Seems to me that the energy that is being used to lay blame would better be used to lay bricks on the road to recovery. Yes we have a leak in the roof, yes we are stranded in our neighborhood, yes, we are expecting it to get a little worse, but we have power, food, water, and a generator. I woke up on the right side of the daylight. I can't ask for more. Thanks for letting me vent.

Honestly, I was wondering why more people did not evacuate(including relatives and friends). When I heard CATASTROPHIC and what they were expecting, I thought, I would be out of there! Thanks for shedding light on the situation. I hope you remain safe and lives are spared. Praying for all in its path.


I live in a small town, and I'm sure it's different in a big city (although I HAVE lived in large
Cities), but let me say this:

I KNOW plenty of ways - using back roads, cutting through neighborhoods, etc. to get OUT of Dodge! I would venture to say there may have been ways, using shortcuts and such, may have been better ways to move through and out of town than being on the highways where everyone was trying to be.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6177 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:15 pm

anyone have the numbers for ukmet.. ? that track is not good..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6178 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:23 pm

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/901947412285014016



Philip Klotzbach ✔ @philklotzbach
Latest public information statement from Houston NWS on observed precip in #Harvey is available. Many reports >20"https://forecast-v3.weather.gov/products/locations/HGX/PNS/1 …
7:19 PM - Aug 27, 2017

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6179 Postby Janie2006 » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:29 pm

I've always said that it's very wise to know all of the highways and byways in this kind of situation.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6180 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sun Aug 27, 2017 6:29 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:anyone have the numbers for ukmet.. ? that track is not good..


Not sure on the numbers but the 18z Navgem shifted east again to about the same location as 12z UK
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