ATL: IRMA - Models

[stormlover2013]

They will keep flip flopping

[bamajammer4eva]

12z Nova Scotia, 18z Cape Cod. 00z Outer Banks. Yikes

[blp]

Back to 06z GFS run this morning. Very similar.

[TJRE]

all I can say is, god bless the weather mafia on their fine work........ffs
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... eus_40.png

[Bizzles]

Back to 06z GFS run this morning. Very similar.

Notably faster though

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Going to crash,

For those of you staying up for the EURO, will check the results in the morning.

[ConvergenceZone]

I think the chance of this recurving out to sea is diminishing unfortunately. I know it's early, but this trend is not good.

[AxaltaRacing24]

I think the chance of this recurving out to sea is diminishing unfortunately. I know it's early, but this trend is not good.

No matter who it is, the chances of people getting hit by this monster went up significantly today.

[weathaguyry]

Days of unfathomable rain, wind, surge, and waves for the Chesapeake area, OBX, NJ coast and Long Island

[Vdogg]

Is that....is that a Cat 4/5 hitting Va. Beach/Outer Banks? We'd be gone, people would be talking about us like Pompei. Hell, we hit our 500 year flood level last year when Matthew rolled through. Looking at the surge map, pretty much all parts of Va. Beach would be under water past a cat 3. Not a good run.

[bamajammer4eva]

Whens the last time the GFS threw in an East of Bermuda run instead of all of this trending southward junk??

[AxaltaRacing24]

Here comes Jose with the RKO

[AxaltaRacing24]

Whens the last time the GFS threw in an East of Bermuda run instead of all of this trending southward junk??

It has never gone east of there. Right off the bat it was hitting them with a 909mb storm.

[tigerz3030]

What time does Euro model run next again?

[AxaltaRacing24]

He heads out to sea

[AxaltaRacing24]

What time does Euro model run next again?

1:45 est

[northjaxpro]

Right quick to quickly expand upon what I'm referring to as pumping the ridge for those who may not be aware, for intense tropical cyclones like Irma , the outflow from them causes the air to expand and causes rise in air pressure around the cyclone. Keep in mind High Pressure ridges of course are larger scaled features. Tropical cyclones for the most part are smaller scaled features. However, when tropical cyclones grow intense and larger, they have in these situations created their own environment within, and thus can expand a ridge of High Pressure further..

This is one of the main reasons why unfortunately I think the Gulf Coast region may be possibly under the gun next week. This is just my analysis.

Check NHC for all things official of course....

[toad strangler]

Ryan Maue says 00z GFS is off it's rocker. No explanation.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Right quick to quickly expand upon what I'm referring to as pumping the ridge for those who may not be aware, for intense tropical cyclones like Irma , the outflow from them causes the air to expand and causes rise in air pressure around the cyclone. Keep in mind High Pressure ridges of course are larger scaled features. Tropical cyclonesbfor the most part are smaller scaled features. However, when tropical cyclones grow intense and larger, they have in these situations create their own environment within, and thus can expand a ridge of High Pressure.

This is one of the main reasons why unfortunately I think the Gulf Coast region may be possibly under the gun next week. This is just my analysis.

Check NHC for all things official of course....

I am hoping this doesn't happen. But let me make something clear; the next time the Cajun Navy begins operations, I'll be helping from Day 1. I am done sitting on the sidelines. I am done watching powerlessly.

[ConvergenceZone]

Days of unfathomable rain, wind, surge, and waves for the Chesapeake area, OBX, NJ coast and Long Island

Well, if this track does happen, I wouldn't say "days of rain". This is moving pretty fast. While it could be strong, we aren't talking about another Harvey when it comes to rainfall. We may never see another Harvey in our lifetime. Thank God