ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[WeatherGuesser]

This is the estimated rainfall 'storm totals' for the PAH radar area. Note the sharp cutoff line as if Harvey literally hit a wall.




.

[CrazyC83]

This is the estimated rainfall 'storm totals' for the PAH radar area. Note the sharp cutoff line as if Harvey literally hit a wall.




.

That would be the edge of a frontal axis?

Also the white areas are 10+ inches of rain, correct?

[WeatherGuesser]

That would be the edge of a frontal axis?

Also the white areas are 10+ inches of rain, correct?

Sharp cold front. Temps only in the low 70s today where they were mid 80s yestarday.

White area is NE Arkansas showing 10.5 when hovering over it.

[PaulR]

That would be the edge of a frontal axis?

Also the white areas are 10+ inches of rain, correct?

Sharp cold front. Temps only in the low 70s today where they were mid 80s yestarday.

White area is NE Arkansas showing 10.5 when hovering over it.

Interestingly, the forecast map shows a front, but not along that rainfall gradient.



That area around "Lauderdale" got a soaking worthy of a system coming into FL.

[tropicwatch]

Raining pretty good in Panama City from Harvey's feeder. Currently coming down at 2.83inches an hour at my house.

[CrazyC83]

Now post-tropical.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.4 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 87.1
WEST. RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A LOSS OF MOST TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS. MUCH OF THE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ARE ORGANIZED
TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT.
HARVEY IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY AND WEAKENS
INTO SATURDAY. AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ARRIVING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
SHOULD BEGIN TO INTERACT WITH THE HARVEY IN OHIO ON SATURDAY AND
THIS IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A SECONDARY EXTRATROPICAL LOW OVER NEW
ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB... 29.59
INCHES.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Of note: The GFS 12z initialized noticeably south of the GFS 06z HR6 point. Just food for thought.

EDIT: Wrong thread, sorry.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/USACEGALVESTON/status/903645837456281600



USACE Galveston ✔ @USACEGALVESTON
Addicks and Barker are operating as expected. Addicks is releasing at approximately 7000 cfs and Barker is at approximately 6300 cfs.
11:48 AM - Sep 1, 2017

[PaulR]

That would be the edge of a frontal axis?

Also the white areas are 10+ inches of rain, correct?

Sharp cold front. Temps only in the low 70s today where they were mid 80s yestarday.

White area is NE Arkansas showing 10.5 when hovering over it.

Interestingly, the forecast map shows a front, but not along that rainfall gradient.



That area around "Lauderdale" (earlier post / graphic) got a soaking worthy of a system coming into FL.

Meh - looks like "weather" map updates - useless now...

[Steve]

It's in the thread in Talkin Tropics, but Harvey has passed up Andrew as second most costly hurricane in US history. It's at 80 billion and climbing. The WP article says Katrina was 125B but is 160B in today's dollars. I still don't know if Harvey will or won't reach #1 all time.

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf ... short_home

[StormChaser75]

i don't know if this belongs here so sorry if its in the wrong place,but here are some pics i took near Refugio Texas about 6 days ago after going back to corpus after evacuating.

[1900hurricane]

According to HGX, it looks like the Brazos and Colorado Rivers overwhelmed the San Bernard River and joined together via that drainage. This is the first time this has happened since December 1913 I believe.

[cycloneye]

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2017

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY GRADUALLY WEAKENS...

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.2N 85.0W
ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...WNW OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY
ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...ENE OF FORT KNOX KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...20 MPH...30 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS AS WELL AS FLOOD ADVISORIES IN
THE MID-OHIO VALLEY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
TEXAS...WESTERN LOUISIANA...AS WELL AS SCATTERED AREAS IN
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.2 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 85.0
WEST. HARVEY HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN SINCE YESTERDAY MORNING WHEN
IT WAS DECLARED POST-TROPICAL. THE AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO
SHRINK AND IS NOW CONFINED TO THE MID-OHIO VALLEY. MEANWHILE...AN
AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPMENT ALONG A WARM
FRONT. THE CIRCULATION OF HARVEY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS UPSTATE NEW YORK ON SATURDAY ...REACHING THE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY IN CANADA BY MONDAY. MEANWHILE...THE
SECONDARY LOW NEAR THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY
DEVELOP AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
DURING THE WEEKEND BEFORE ABSORBING HARVEY IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES ON MONDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE AN
ADDITIONAL HALF AN INCH TO AN INCH OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS
PENNSYIVANIA INTO WESTERN NEW YORK FOLLOWED BY 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. MEANWHILE, RESIDUAL
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN AND AROUND HOUSTON, BEAUMONT/PORT
ARTHUR/ORANGE, AND EASTWARD AROUND THE LOUISIANA BORDER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE AFFECTED AREA IF YOU
ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO FLOODED ROADWAYS.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5
AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32

...ARKANSAS...
WATSON 9 N 9.96
LAKE POINSETT RAWS 6.63
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
LITTLE DIXIE 6.24
CANAL 43 N. NEAR DUMAS 6.03
HARRISBURG 4.33
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT 4.33
FELSENTHAL 7 NNW 3.21
CROSSETT 0.9 S 2.79
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT 2.01

...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 7.95
MILTON 7.33
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
CRESTVIEW - SIKES ARPT 5.63
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
PANAMA CITY ARPT 4.03

...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT 2.04
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD 1.70

...KENTUCKY...
GREEN RIVER NEAR BROWNSVILLE 1 NE 8.82
RUSSELLVILLE 2 W 8.20
HAYS 2 SSE 7.93
BARREN RIVER AT BOWLING GREEN 7.59
ELKTON 5 SW 7.19
GUTHRIE 1 WNW 7.10
PLANO 2 NW 7.04
PROVIDENCE 3 ENE 6.83
GLASGOW RGNL ARPT 6.51
PLUM SPRINGS 3 SSE 6.37
BOWLING GREEN RGNL ARPT 5.99
FRANKLIN 2 NE 5.58
SCOTTSVILLE 2 W 5.54
WISDOM 1 SSW 4.82
AUBURN 6 WNW 4.39
HODGENVILLE 2 E 4.20
CORINTH 3 SW 4.06
LOUISVILLE STANDIFORD FIELD 2.09

...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17

...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40

...TENNESSEE...
RED RIVER AT PORT ROYAL 9.17
LAKELAND 8.15
LEXINGTON 7.44
FAIRVIEW BOWIE NATURE CENTER 7.12
MILLEDGEVILLE 2 S 6.78
SPRINGFIELD ROBERTSON CNTY ARPT 6.15
CLARKSVILLE 6.10
CENTERVILLE 15 NE 5.02
NASHVILLE INTL ARPT 4.52
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT 4.30
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT 4.05

...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
CLEAR LAKE 48.14
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...KENTUCKY...
BLACK GNAT 4 N 43
VERSAILLES 7 E 41

...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER KONG

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 02/0900Z 38.2N 85.0W
12HR VT 02/1800Z 39.1N 83.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 03/0600Z 42.7N 81.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36HR VT 03/1800Z 43.5N 76.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48HR VT 04/0600Z 46.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
$$

[tolakram]

SLIDER band 3, water absorbs 100% of this band and shows up as black.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4408&y=4835.5&z=4&im=6&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=2&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[mpic]

For the record if anyone is keeping tabs, I had a total rainfall in Splendora TX of 35" but 3 times the rain gauge was overflowed before I got to it.

[cycloneye]

Finnally the very last advisory on Harvey.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL092017
1100 AM EDT SAT SEP 02 2017

...POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HARVEY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.1N 84.9W
ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...WNW OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY
ABOUT 60 MILES...100 KM...ENE OF FORT KNOX KENTUCKY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...15 MPH...25 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 045 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE ONGOING SCATTERED THROUGHOUT
EASTERN TEXAS...THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...TENNESSEE
VALLEY...AND THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.1 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 84.9
WEST. HARVEY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
THE MID-UPPER OHIO VALLEY BY TONIGHT ALONG WITH ANY LINGERING
HEAVY RAIN AND RUNOFF THREAT DIRECTLY RELATED TO THE CIRCULATION.
HOWEVER, A SEPARATE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE
MID-ATLANTIC REGION AHEAD OF HARVEY WILL INTERACT WITH ITS REMNANT
MOISTURE PLUME TO PRODUCE AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SUNDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1013 MB...29.92 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
-------
RAINFALL...RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE IN AND AROUND HOUSTON,
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR/ORANGE, AND EASTWARD AROUND THE LOUISIANA
BORDER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL IN THE
AFFECTED AREA IF YOU ARE IN A SAFE PLACE. DO NOT DRIVE INTO
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

...SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 11
AM EDT

...ALABAMA...
GASQUE 8.00
BONSECOUR 7.91
GRAND BAY 10.5 NE 6.81
FOLEY 7.4 SW 6.44
ELBERTA 6.31
ORANGE BEACH 6.03
TILLMANS CORNER 4.3 WNW 6.01
MOBILE REGIONAL AIRPORT 5.83
MOBILE/BATES FIELD 5.83
FAIRHOPE 5.77
GULF SHORES 5.60
SUMMERDALE 4.73
MONTROSE 4.52
DAPHNE 0.4 SW 4.42
FISH RIVER NEAR SILVERHILL 3W 4.35
SONNY CALLAHAN ARPT 4.32

...ARKANSAS...
WATSON 9 N 9.96
LAKE POINSETT RAWS 6.63
MAMMOTH SPRINGS 2 SSE 6.42
LITTLE DIXIE 6.24
CANAL 43 N. NEAR DUMAS 6.03
HARRISBURG 4.33
STUTTGART MUNI ARPT 4.33
FELSENTHAL 7 NNW 3.21
CROSSETT 0.9 S 2.79
JONESBORO MUNI ARPT 2.01

...FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA REGIONAL AIRPORT 7.95
MILTON 7.33
UNIVERSITY WEST 2.0 WNW 6.36
CRESTVIEW - SIKES ARPT 5.63
PACE 5.35
GULF BREEZE 5.28
PANAMA CITY ARPT 4.03

...GEORGIA...
COLUMBUS METRO ARPT 2.04
ATLANTA RGNL ARPT - FALCON FIELD 1.70

...INDIANA...
HENRYVILLE 2.2 NNE 4.32
JEFFERSONVILLE 0.8 NW 4.23
NEW ALBANY 4.8 NNE 3.68
GALENA 4.3 ENE 3.51

...KENTUCKY...
GREEN RIVER NEAR BROWNSVILLE 1 NE 8.82
RUSSELLVILLE 2 W 8.20
HAYS 2 SSE 7.93
BARREN RIVER AT BOWLING GREEN 7.59
ELKTON 5 SW 7.19
GUTHRIE 1 WNW 7.10
PLANO 2 NW 7.04
PROVIDENCE 3 ENE 6.83
GLASGOW RGNL ARPT 6.51
PLUM SPRINGS 3 SSE 6.37
BOWLING GREEN RGNL ARPT 5.99
FRANKLIN 2 NE 5.58
SCOTTSVILLE 2 W 5.54
WISDOM 1 SSW 4.82
SANDERS 2 NNE 4.80
AUBURN 6 WNW 4.39
HODGENVILLE 2 E 4.20
CORINTH 3 SW 4.06
LOUISVILLE STANDIFORD FIELD 2.09

...LOUISIANA...
BAYOU CONWAY 22.25
BAYOU TORO NEAR TORO 20.62
KENNER GULLY AT MARK LEBLEU 18.23
CALCASIEU RVR AT OLD TOWN BA 18.15
W-14 AT JOE SPEARS RD 17.85
W-6 AT WARD LINE ROAD 17.24
MOSS BLUFF 16.70
BELFIELD DITCH AT BELFIELD ROAD 16.37
IOWA 0.9 ESE 16.36
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT GOOS RD 16.02
BAYOU ARSENE AT HECKER ROAD 15.84
GOLDSMITH CANAL AT HWY 171 15.74
LAKE CHARLES 11.5 SSW 15.41
RAGLEY 5.0 SE 15.18
EB L-14 AT IOWA BASEBALL FIELD 14.85
INDIAN BAYOU AT COFFEY ROAD 14.10
TOPSY 4 NNW 14.08
LACASSINE BAYOU AT LORRAIN BRIDGE 13.04
ZAVALLA 2 ENE 12.87
SULPHUR 2.2 E 12.54
BON WIER 2 ENE 12.44
HACKBERRY 5 SSE 12.33
CONTRABAND BAYOU AT 18TH STREET 12.28
WELSH 0.7 W 12.26
W-4 AT NELSON ROAD 12.12
GILLIS 4 WSW 12.11
FORT POLK 11.96
BUXTON CREEK AT DOUGLAS ROAD 11.21
CHOUPIQUE BAYOU AT HWY 90 11.02
LACASSINE NATIONAL 2 ENE 10.55
BAYOU DINDE AT PICARD ST 9.76
LEBLEU SETTLEMENT 2 WNW 9.64
FORKED ISLAND 5 ENE 9.37
BUNDICK CREEK NEAR DE RIDDER 9.26
PECAN ISLAND 2 E 9.14
LAKE CHARLES MUNI ARPT 9.08
NEW IBERIA/ACADIANA 8.92
VERNON - FTS 8.77
LAFAYETTE RGNL ARPT 7.14
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 5.88
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 5.33
ENGLAND AFB/ALEXANDRIA 4.84
SLIDELL AIRPORT 3.82
BATON ROUGE/RYAN MUNI ARPT 3.17

...MISSISSIPPI...
GAUTIER 8.27
SANDHILL CRANE - FTS 7.90
GRAND BAY 6.06
OCEAN SPRINGS 3.6 ESE 4.61
MOSS POINT - TRENT LOTT INTL ARPT 4.55
PASCAGOULA 4.54
PEARLINGTON 4.4 N 3.99
JOURDAN RIVER NEAR KILN 3.35
TANGIPAHOA RIVER AT OSYKA 3.15
TYLERTOWN 9 WNW 3.08
NATCHEZ/HARDY 2.91
KEESLER AFB/BILOXI 2.55
GULFPORT-BILOXI 2.40

...NORTH CAROLINA...
SNOW HILL 3.1 NNE 5.05
WINTERVILLE 4.3 ESE 5.05
CLAYTON 2.9 W 4.87
GREENVILLE 2 SE 4.61
ASHEBORO 7.6 SW 4.40
KENLY 4.9 SE 4.20
COOKE FARM 4.15
DUCK 0.3 S 3.73
FAYETTEVILLE RGNL ARPT 3.02

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
CAMDEN 2.7 NNW 4.00
MYRTLE BEACH 7.6 NW 3.43
HARTSVILLE 5.4 WSW 2.95
MCCLELLANVILLE 0.5 ESE 2.88

...TENNESSEE...
RED RIVER AT PORT ROYAL 9.17
LAKELAND 8.15
LEXINGTON 7.44
FAIRVIEW BOWIE NATURE CENTER 7.12
MILLEDGEVILLE 2 S 6.78
SPRINGFIELD ROBERTSON CNTY ARPT 6.15
CLARKSVILLE 6.10
CENTERVILLE 15 NE 5.02
NASHVILLE INTL ARPT 4.52
JACKSON MCKELLAR-SIPES RGNL ARPT 4.30
MEMPHIS INTL ARPT 4.05

...TEXAS...
CEDAR BAYOU AT FM 1942 51.88
CLEAR CREEK AT I-45 49.40
DAYTON 0.2 E 49.23
MARYS CREEK AT WINDING ROAD 49.20
CLEAR LAKE 48.14
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 47.35
SANTA FE 0.7 S 46.70
PASADENA 4.4 WNW 45.74
HORSEPEN CREEK AT BAY AREA BLVD 45.60
SOUTH HOUSTON 4.0 SSW 44.91
BERRY BAYOU AT FOREST OAKS BLVD 44.80
BERRY BAYOU AT NEVADA 44.44
FRIENDSWOOD 2.5 NNE 44.05
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT BURKE RD 43.52
HOUSTON WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 43.38
LEAGUE CITY 2.7 NE 43.32
WEBSTER 0.4 NW 43.32
LNVA CHEEK CANAL AT DITCH 407 43.11
LITTLE CEDAR BAYOU AT 8TH ST 42.32
ARMAND BAYOU AT GENOA-RED BLUFF RD 42.16
TURKEY CREEK AT FM 1959 42.12
BOONDOCKS RD AT TAYLORS BA 41.86
ARMAND BAYOU AT PASADENA LAKE 41.20
TAYLOR LAKE AT NASA ROAD 1 40.44
SH 124 AT HILLEBRANDT BAYOU 38.18
MAHAW BAYOU AT ENGLIN RD 37.75
JACINTO CITY 37.60
HUNTING BAYOU AT LOOP 610 EAST 37.00
TELEPSEN 36.60
MAHAW BAYOU AT BRUSH ISLAND ROAD 36.53
FIRST COLONY 4 WSW 36.34
BEAMER DITCH HUGHES RD 36.32
LA PORTE 1 N 36.24
BAYTOWN 2 NW 35.64
MOUNT HOUSTON 35.60
HOUSTON/CLOVER FIELD 33.37
HOUSTON/INTERCONTINENTAL 31.26
KATY 6 NE 31.23
HOUSTON/WILL HOBBY 27.88
HOUSTON/D.W. HOOKS 27.01
GALVESTON/SCHOLES 22.84
COLLEGE STATION 2 SSW 19.64
VICTORIA 3.8 NW 15.60
AUSTIN 4 SSE 10.28
AUSTIN/MUELLER MUNI ARPT 10.07
CORPUS CHRISTI 3.6 S 6.23

...VIRGINIA...
RICHMOND 9.6 WNW 2.80
RIVANNA RIVER AT PALMYRA 2.32
CROZIER 2.19
ASHLAND - HANOVER CO MUNI ARPT 2.17

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...KENTUCKY...
BLACK GNAT 4 N 43
VERSAILLES 7 E 41

...TEXAS...
PORT ARANSAS 2 ENE 132
COPANO VILLAGE 1 ENE 125
LAMAR 2 SSW 110
ROCKPORT 1 S 108
TAFT 5 NNE 90
MAGNOLIA BEACH 8 ESE 79
EDNA 73
FLOUR BLUFF 4 ESE 72
ARANSAS PASS 7 SE 71
CLEAR LAKE SHORES 1 WSW 71
BRAZOS 451 70
PALACIOS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 69
CORPUS CHRISTI NAS 5 SE 65
GANADO 7 S 64
LA WARD 64
BAYOU VISTA 13 E 61
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
QUINTANA 1 NE 58
SUGAR LAND MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 58
JONES CREEK 9 SW 55
LA MARQUE 2 E 55
FREEPORT 1 ESE 54
SAN LEON 19 E 54
MISSOURI CITY 1 SE 53
SAN ANTONIO INTL ARPT 53
WEBSTER 53
BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 52
GONZALES AIRPORT 52
NASSAU BAY 52
TEXAS CITY 4 ENE 52


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER FOR THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS
------------------
INITIAL 02/1500Z 38.1N 84.9W
12HR VT 03/0000Z 39.8N 82.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24HR VT 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$

[CrazyC83]

Now we can safely say goodbye...and good riddance!!!

There's no doubt about it, the is your fate, Harvey! NO WAY are we seeing you in 2023.

[CrazyC83]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

This is UNOFFICIAL, but here is how I would set the BT based on all the available data:

AL092017, HARVEY, 68,
20170817, 1200, , TD, 13.1N, 53.3W, 30, 1008,
20170817, 1800, , TS, 13.0N, 55.0W, 35, 1006,
20170818, 0000, , TS, 13.0N, 56.6W, 40, 1004,
20170818, 0600, , TS, 13.0N, 58.3W, 40, 1004,
20170818, 1200, , TS, 13.1N, 60.2W, 35, 1006,
20170818, 1800, , TS, 13.4N, 62.0W, 35, 1007,
20170819, 0000, , TS, 13.6N, 63.2W, 35, 1006,
20170819, 0600, , TS, 13.7N, 65.0W, 35, 1006,
20170819, 1200, , WV, 13.8N, 67.0W, 30, 1008,
20170819, 1800, , WV, 13.9N, 68.8W, 30, 1009,
20170820, 0000, , WV, 14.1N, 70.8W, 30, 1008,
20170820, 0600, , WV, 14.2N, 72.9W, 25, 1008,
20170820, 1200, , WV, 14.4N, 75.0W, 25, 1008,
20170820, 1800, , WV, 14.7N, 77.0W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 0000, , WV, 15.1N, 78.7W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 0600, , WV, 15.7N, 80.5W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 1200, , WV, 16.4N, 82.5W, 25, 1008,
20170821, 1800, , WV, 17.2N, 84.6W, 25, 1008,
20170822, 0000, , WV, 18.0N, 86.4W, 25, 1009,
20170822, 0600, , WV, 18.7N, 87.9W, 25, 1010,
20170822, 1200, , LO, 19.5N, 88.9W, 25, 1010,
20170822, 1800, , LO, 20.0N, 89.8W, 25, 1010,
20170823, 0000, , LO, 20.6N, 90.5W, 25, 1009,
20170823, 0600, , LO, 20.9N, 91.5W, 25, 1008,
20170823, 1200, , TD, 21.3N, 92.4W, 30, 1006,
20170823, 1800, , TD, 21.5N, 92.6W, 30, 1005,
20170824, 0000, , TS, 22.0N, 92.5W, 35, 1003,
20170824, 0600, , TS, 22.8N, 92.5W, 45, 998,
20170824, 1200, , TS, 23.8N, 92.9W, 60, 985,
20170824, 1800, , HU, 24.4N, 93.6W, 75, 978,
20170825, 0000, , HU, 24.9N, 94.3W, 80, 973,
20170825, 0600, , HU, 25.6N, 95.1W, 90, 965,
20170825, 1200, , HU, 26.4N, 95.9W, 95, 950,
20170825, 1800, , HU, 27.1N, 96.3W, 105, 942,
20170826, 0000, , HU, 27.7N, 96.8W, 115, 939,
20170826, 0245, L, HU, 27.9N, 97.0W, 120, 937, Landfall, at S end of San Jose Island, max wind and min pressure
20170826, 0345, L, HU, 28.0N, 97.1W, 120, 939, Landfall, at Rockport, TX
20170826, 0500, L, HU, 28.2N, 97.1W, 110, 942, Landfall, 4 miles WNW of Holiday Beach, TX
20170826, 0600, , HU, 28.2N, 97.2W, 100, 948,
20170826, 1200, , HU, 28.6N, 97.3W, 65, 978,
20170826, 1800, , TS, 29.0N, 97.5W, 55, 988,
20170827, 0000, , TS, 29.2N, 97.5W, 50, 993,
20170827, 0600, , TS, 29.3N, 97.6W, 45, 997,
20170827, 1200, , TS, 29.1N, 97.3W, 40, 999,
20170827, 1800, , TS, 29.0N, 97.1W, 40, 999,
20170828, 0000, , TS, 28.9N, 96.9W, 40, 998,
20170828, 0600, , TS, 28.7N, 96.5W, 35, 998,
20170828, 1200, , TS, 28.6N, 96.2W, 35, 998,
20170828, 1800, , TS, 28.5N, 95.9W, 40, 997,
20170829, 0000, , TS, 28.2N, 95.5W, 40, 996,
20170829, 0600, , TS, 28.0N, 95.1W, 45, 995,
20170829, 1200, , TS, 28.4N, 94.7W, 45, 995,
20170829, 1800, , TS, 28.9N, 94.3W, 50, 993,
20170830, 0000, , TS, 28.7N, 93.9W, 50, 991,
20170830, 0600, , TS, 29.3N, 93.5W, 45, 989,
20170830, 0915, L, TS, 29.8N, 93.4W, 40, 988, Landfall - near Cameron, LA
20170830, 1200, , TS, 30.1N, 93.3W, 40, 990,
20170830, 1800, , TS, 30.6N, 93.1W, 35, 994,
20170831, 0000, , TS, 31.3N, 92.6W, 35, 997,
20170831, 0600, , TD, 32.0N, 92.1W, 30, 999,
20170831, 1200, , TD, 32.5N, 91.6W, 30, 1000,
20170831, 1800, , EX, 33.4N, 90.9W, 30, 1000,
20170901, 0000, , EX, 34.3N, 89.2W, 25, 1000,
20170901, 0600, , EX, 35.3N, 88.1W, 25, 1001,
20170901, 1200, , EX, 35.9N, 87.3W, 25, 1003,
20170901, 1800, , EX, 36.5N, 86.0W, 20, 1005,
20170902, 0000, , EX, 37.2N, 85.1W, 20, 1008,
20170902, 0600, , EX, 37.8N, 85.0W, 15, 1011,
Absorbed by trough at 1200

A lot to write about that, and it is likely to be adjusted once more data comes in. But I estimate the peak intensity was 120 kt when it hit San Jose Island and Rockport. It likely became extratropical a bit earlier based on the presence of frontal zones on August 31 as well.

[MBryant]

I just got internet access back after Harvey. I hope this is as good a place to post as any.

A micro vortex hit about 100 feet south of me (1 lot over) and took out about 6 oak trees, with each falling in a different direction. Because the ground was so saturated, it didn't take that much wind to uproot them or break the one which was rotten to the core. But this tool out the feeder circuit to this area and also took out my internet connection.

I have fringe damage. House got water to the thresh-hold, but only intrusion ( that I know of) was from wakes of rescue vehicles or boats. Rescued Wednesday from the house, then returned to the house when the evacuation shelter couldn't get buses to other shelters equipped for the numbers needed. I waded back to my home and sheltered there. Water went down Friday, but flooding from the Sabine hit Saturday and is just now falling again.

My car did nor sit in water, but it's telling me not to move it.I both love and hate smart alec cars telling me what to do.

Thanks for letting me vent. My heart goes out for the many who were hit harder. I also thank those who have ventured out to those without transportation bringing emergency stocks of water or even a loaf of bread. There are millions of good neighbors out there.

[tolakram]

I just got internet access back after Harvey. I hope this is as good a place to post as any.

A micro vortex hit about 100 feet south of me (1 lot over) and took out about 6 oak trees, with each falling in a different direction. Because the ground was so saturated, it didn't take that much wind to uproot them or break the one which was rotten to the core. But this tool out the feeder circuit to this area and also took out my internet connection.

I have fringe damage. House got water to the thresh-hold, but only intrusion ( that I know of) was from wakes of rescue vehicles or boats. Rescued Wednesday from the house, then returned to the house when the evacuation shelter couldn't get buses to other shelters equipped for the numbers needed. I waded back to my home and sheltered there. Water went down Friday, but flooding from the Sabine hit Saturday and is just now falling again.

My car did nor sit in water, but it's telling me not to move it.I both love and hate smart alec cars telling me what to do.

Thanks for letting me vent. My heart goes out for the many who were hit harder. I also thank those who have ventured out to those without transportation bringing emergency stocks of water or even a loaf of bread. There are millions of good neighbors out there.

Thanks for the update, glad you made it through ok.