ATL: IRMA - Models

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2061 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:50 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2062 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:50 am

12z GFS... 72 hrs... Seems to be moving W now... @40 miles farther W than 06Z...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2063 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:51 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2064 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:54 am

12z GFS... 84 hrs... Still @due W now... @55 miles farther W than 06Z and seems to be picking up forward speed...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2065 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:55 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2066 Postby BucMan2 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:55 am

Great Point by Blown Away- Although the models may show a modest 30- to 50 mile difference from the previous model that won't make
anyone in the US nervous at this time, it could be the difference between one of the Islands getting slammed or not, so it is very important!!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2067 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:56 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2068 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:59 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2069 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 10:59 am

So far the GFS seems a little bit faster and maybe a little more to the SW compared with the 06z run. I'm curious to see what it does with the ridging and how quickly it turns it WNW/NW.

EDIT - By hour 102 it is a good deal further west/south than the 06z run.
Last edited by txwatcher91 on Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:00 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2070 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:00 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2071 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:00 am

This is the farthest south and west we've seen a recent GFS run.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2072 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:01 am

12z GFS... 102 hrs... Moving just N of W @280... @ 50 miles farther WSW than 06Z...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2073 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:01 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2074 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:02 am

Trend
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2075 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:03 am

12z GFS @65 miles NE of the 00z Euro at this point...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2076 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:04 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2077 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:04 am

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Trend
Image

Ridge is stronger compared to 06z
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2078 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:05 am

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2079 Postby tgenius » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:05 am

Yet with a stronger ridge appears to be moving more poleward when it should be the opposite right?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2080 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:06 am

tgenius wrote:Yet with a stronger ridge appears to be moving more poleward when it should be the opposite right?

Most likely. Just something to keep in mind.
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