ATL: IRMA - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2121 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:30 am

:uarrow: The trough is depicted as already lifting up and out on the run above @hr192
1 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
AxaltaRacing24
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:14 am
Location: Jupiter, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2122 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:31 am

WNW
Image
0 likes   
Top
SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2123 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:31 am

Trough vs ridge, which one wins
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4236
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2124 Postby SouthFLTropics » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:31 am

186 ...CMC has in the Bahamas, moving WNW

Image
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10153
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2125 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:31 am

Looks blocked from OTS at 204 hrs?
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2126 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:31 am

This better not be a due north track to NYC on 9/11.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CourierPR
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1335
Age: 71
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:53 pm
Location: Pompano Beach, Florida

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2127 Postby CourierPR » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:32 am

Does it look like there is a bend to the west at 198?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1272
Age: 22
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2128 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:32 am

210 hours

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017090112/gfs_pres_wind_watl_36.png
0 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Top
User avatar
AubreyStorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 337
Age: 44
Joined: Fri Jun 16, 2017 6:21 pm
Location: Texas, USA

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2129 Postby AubreyStorm » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:32 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:186 ...CMC has in the Bahamas, moving WNW

Image


CMC is close to PR?
0 likes   
The posts are NOT an official forecast. Please REFER to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.
Top
AxaltaRacing24
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:14 am
Location: Jupiter, FL

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2130 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:32 am

And this is exactly why you do not get excited when a trend is shown only for a day or so. It will shift back and fourth until Tuesday at least.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10163
Age: 47
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Lake Worth Florida

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2131 Postby SFLcane » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:33 am

Trend westward no doubt on the GFS
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11501
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2132 Postby GCANE » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:33 am

Check 500mb run-to-run, big high building just to Irma's east.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1272
Age: 22
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2133 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:33 am

216 hours

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017090112/gfs_pres_wind_watl_37.png
0 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10153
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2134 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:34 am

@150 miles SW of 06z... Definitely at a crossroad @210 hrs... Likely Cat 5 to boot...
Last edited by Blown Away on Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05… Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Top
User avatar
Kohlecane
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Age: 33
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2011 11:03 pm
Location: Beaufort, SC

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2135 Postby Kohlecane » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:34 am


905 :grrr:
0 likes   
Once I see the REDS and GREENS Converge on a Base Velocity. ... I'm There!!

This is NOT an Official Forecast....Just my Opinion. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HIGHLIGHTS : '13 El Reno Tornado : 2013 Storm Chaser Tour, Joaquin; SC flood event, Matthew '16, Lowcountry Snow storm Jan '18
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20012
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2136 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
weathaguyry
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1272
Age: 22
Joined: Wed Jun 15, 2016 5:16 am
Location: Long Island, NY

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2137 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am

222 hours

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2017090112/gfs_pres_wind_watl_38.png
0 likes   
My posts are only my opinions and NOT official forecasts. For official forecasts, consult the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service.

Irene 11', Sandy 12', Fay 20’, Isaias 20’, Elsa 21’, Henri 21’, Ida 21’
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4231
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2138 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am

12z Canadian looks like a Carolinas hit.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricane Andrew
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1891
Age: 26
Joined: Sun May 23, 2010 2:53 pm
Location: KS

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2139 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am

HR216: Nowhere to go...ridging blocking all escape routes. EURO run will be interesting for sure.
0 likes   

The Enthusiast
NREMT-AEMT, WX nerd

Irene '11, Sandy '12, Irma '17 (SAR)

"Hard to think we were born to live this way..." -Wage War
Top
M3gaMatch
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 38
Joined: Mon Oct 03, 2016 2:32 pm
Location: Queensland, Australia

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2140 Postby M3gaMatch » Fri Sep 01, 2017 11:35 am

new trough to the west though
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest