Western Gulf disturbance
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
NHC removed it from the 2am TWO.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
panamatropicwatch wrote:NHC removed it from the 2am TWO.
and now the convection looks the best it has so far down there
1 likes
-
- Admin
- Posts: 19182
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
It appears anything that forms will stay in the same general area and never get organized.
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6617
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
This should eventually get drawn northward sometime early next week.
0 likes
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
It is hard to tell but it looks like there might be a slight rotation south-south east of Brownsville Texas.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
Convection has been steadily increasing down in the BOC/SW GOM region since last night. GFS dropped the idea of development down in this region late yesterday and NHC dropped mention of this area in their TWO.
I will say this. I will be watching closely to see if the models jump back on board with development. Obviously, we must watch this carefully. I was hoping that this area would not perculate with activity in the wake immediately of Harvey's aftermath. But, convection is increasing down there again.
I will say this. I will be watching closely to see if the models jump back on board with development. Obviously, we must watch this carefully. I was hoping that this area would not perculate with activity in the wake immediately of Harvey's aftermath. But, convection is increasing down there again.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Sep 01, 2017 12:42 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
Just read the latest TWD. There is a surface trough in the BOC.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
panamatropicwatch wrote:Just read the latest TWD. There is a surface trough in the BOC.
Yes, Panama , there is, deep down in the Bay of Campeche, as analyzed by NHC/WPC at 16Z
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
Also, I am curious about the tropical wave currently approaching the Yucatan Peninsula. This wave has remained an entity across the entire Caribbean basin as it has tracked W/NW. I wonder how the wave interacts with the trough in place in the BOC in the next couple of days. It may be the kicker to start development down there. Something to watch going into the holiday weekend.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5596
- Age: 36
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
Lot of convection blowing up over the BOC and Central Gulf. Tropical wave approaching from the NW Caribbean.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/h5-loop-vis.html
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6617
- Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
I think the NHC is a little preoccupied with Irma who is still over 1,000 miles from the U.S.
1 likes
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 192
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Jul 08, 2017 7:38 am
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
I think this may be developed for real. The convection/TW to the east of this would merge with this convection and Jose would come out from this...
NHC and models... wake up!
NHC and models... wake up!
0 likes
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
It doesn't look like anyone is paying attention to this > http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4734&y=6838&z=3&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=90&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139596
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Western Gulf disturbance
Note= This thread has been locked as it was made for another area of interest on August 30th that never developed.A new thread for the BOC area is now available for open discussion.
Disturbed weather at Bay of Campeche thread
Disturbed weather at Bay of Campeche thread
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Gums, HurakaYoshi, nlosrgr8, pepeavilenho and 78 guests