ATL: IRMA - Models

[xironman]

Uh... Euro seems to be delayed. Never even loaded past 12 hours on Weatherbell.

It's like the McGregor vs Mayweather fight. Too many people trying to view it and it crashed the PPV. Too many people trying to view one of the most important model runs of the year.

Nah, I think the data generation is having a problem, my eurowx that I use for winter storms is dead at 12 as well.

[sponger]

Uh... Euro seems to be delayed. Never even loaded past 12 hours on Weatherbell.

It's like the McGregor vs Mayweather fight. Too many people trying to view it and it crashed the PPV. Too many people trying to view one of the most important model runs of the year.

Nah, I think the data generation is having a problem, my eurowx that I use for winter storms is dead at 12 as well.

Doesn't it know we are WAITING???

[USTropics]

Uh... Euro seems to be delayed. Never even loaded past 12 hours on Weatherbell.

It's like the McGregor vs Mayweather fight. Too many people trying to view it and it crashed the PPV. Too many people trying to view one of the most important model runs of the year.

Nah, I think the data generation is having a problem, my eurowx that I use for winter storms is dead at 12 as well.

It's a data update issue from the ECMWF server side. You can get all of the public data here - ftp://data-portal.ecmwf.int/20170904000000/ (which you can run in programs like IDV to produce output graphics).

[InstantWeatherMaps]

ECMWF FTP site only has free files to 72 right now. Last update was over 20 minutes ago. The problem is with ECMWF's systems, not any of the map sites.

[MississippiWx]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

[Steve]

Once again, DO NOT USE THE HWRF-P

The HWRF is ONLY intended to be run with the nested grid. Plus, it is not really a different model, it is simply the parent domain with the high res inner nests interpolated onto the coarser resolution

.
I know. I think it always results in the movement being too smoothed out. I'm not counting on it for track, but sometimes it does foreshadow motion (in this case, not enough lift in my opinion). I didn't want to put in a giant disclaimer though. Appreciate the look out. Btw, for the TT sites, GEFS seems to like the FL West Coast and the GEPS is a hair farther west.

[wxmann_91]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

Thanks. At 12Z 9/7 it's much further south... closer to the north coast of Hispaniola.

[northjaxpro]

The UKMET and GFS taking this into Cuba needs to be seriously considered. The UKMET has been the best model so far with track forecast.

Reminiscent of Ike almost exactly 9 years ago.

Yep.

[tailgater]

if I'm on the right run of the Euro its out to sea again making a pretty hard right off OBX

[WeatherHoon]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

Is this the 00z? It looks identical to the 12z.

[AdamFirst]

if I'm on the right run of the Euro its out to sea again making a pretty hard right off OBX

You're likely looking at the 12z. No updates beyond 72hr on Tropical Tidbits

[Alyono]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

Thanks. At 12Z 9/7 it's much further south... closer to the north coast of Hispaniola.

ummm... that looks like the 12Z run

[northjaxpro]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

Thanks. At 12Z 9/7 it's much further south... closer to the north coast of Hispaniola.

ummm... that looks like the 12Z run

It is.

[Steve]

I'm surprised they're not running extra commercials knowing all the people hitting refresh and all. Hahaha. C'mon EC

[ConvergenceZone]

it feels like a rain delay during a ballgame lol

[xironman]

if I'm on the right run of the Euro its out to sea again making a pretty hard right off OBX

Probably not, some sites will switch you back to the previous run if you go beyond what the current run has, for the site https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/79 ... 1800z.html
This on the bottom

ECMWF/Global Euro HD (10 days) from 09/03/2017/12z

[AxaltaRacing24]

it feels like a rain delay during a ballgame lol

A tied ballgame that is in extra innings.

[MississippiWx]

https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/623-w-130-n/base-reflectivity/20170907-1200z.html

Go to this site. It's a little further out than other Euro outputs somehow and it puts out free Euro data such as radar.

Thanks. At 12Z 9/7 it's much further south... closer to the north coast of Hispaniola.

ummm... that looks like the 12Z run

Read the fine print. I said it's out a little further than most sites. If you look at the fine print, it tells you which run is which. The hour I linked everyone to is the last frame of the 0z run.

[SouthFLTropics]

it feels like a rain delay during a ballgame lol

A tied ballgame that is in extra innings.

Man I went to a Marlins game like that one time back at Joe Robbie. It went 18 innings and had three rain delays. The game lasted almost 9 hours long. Thought it was never going to finish.

[MississippiWx]

When you click on the link that I attached, you should see a radar image of this current run. It's the final image of the current run which has Irma just north of Hispaniola.