#6259 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 04, 2017 6:23 pm
Well, it is becoming quite clear for me to see now that both the GFS and the EURO have a very good consensus right now inside of 5-6 days of the track of Irma coming in to impact the state by the end of this weekend. Both models are nearly mirroring each other with tracking Irma right up the peninsula. Both models show very little interaction, if at all, with Cuba, which would really be terrible for the entire state.
This situation with Irma, and if the EURO and GFS both are as close to being accurate with their modeling as we know as of this evening, this would be well on its way of being the most catastrophic storm ever for the state!! Worst than Andrew, Donna , the Labor Day Hurricane, Wilma etc... Irma I believe has the potential to surpass all of them, and that is really saying something !!
I have no doubt that a big time evacuation is going to have to be carried out a n d that is going to take smart execution by the EOCs and state officials. I hope everyone is in the process of reviewing or most importantly, completing your preparations ahead of the storm.
Things can still change, but with the EURO and GFS locked in on this solution of bringing Irma right up the Florida Peninsula for several runs now, I think the changes will not be drastic this point forward, and they will be really subtle. HOWEVER, in this precarious situation here, even subtle changes can make huge differences!!!
We have to pray that some subtle change or changes with the pattern. or storm itself, like interaction with Cuba, can weaken this monster or somehow shift it away from us, even just a little. I am holding on to some type of hope folks!
Again, my thoughts and prayers at this time are immediately with our neighbors down in the NE Caribbean Islands as Irma bears down on them the next couple of days. More later....
Last edited by
northjaxpro on Mon Sep 04, 2017 6:36 pm, edited 4 times in total.
5 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019