ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Prof]

I'm getting really stressed about figuring out where to go. Will the roads be too crazy to drive on Thursday?

You need to put your location in your profile.

Sorry. Melbourne.

[Aric Dunn]

I'm getting really stressed about figuring out where to go. Will the roads be too crazy to drive on Thursday?

You need to put your location in your profile.

Sorry. Melbourne.

im from melbourne well satellite beach

[Prof]

You need to put your location in your profile.

Sorry. Melbourne.

im from melbourne well satellite beach

Yay! So if your sister, her husband, and two young kids lived there, what would you tell her to do and when?

Our house was built in 2003 and we have hurricane shutters. It's two stories.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 050116
AF305 0611A IRMA HDOB 27 20170905
010700 1656N 05533W 6963 02879 //// +114 //// 052123 124 100 002 01
010730 1655N 05532W 6970 02841 9669 +119 //// 050127 129 106 008 01
010800 1654N 05531W 6960 02817 9659 +120 +120 051128 130 107 014 00
010830 1653N 05530W 6963 02778 9612 +126 +126 053116 129 117 018 00
010900 1652N 05529W 6971 02735 9548 +136 //// 052088 105 117 015 05
010930 1651N 05528W 6966 02722 9499 +152 +146 054077 084 111 001 03
011000 1650N 05527W 6966 02699 9466 +164 +149 055063 072 075 001 00
011030 1649N 05525W 6969 02679 9440 +173 +151 055051 058 057 003 00
011100 1647N 05524W 6967 02670 9428 +172 +155 056042 048 051 003 00
011130 1646N 05523W 6966 02660 9426 +165 +118 056030 037 042 002 00
011200 1645N 05522W 6969 02648 9418 +165 +115 052020 026 030 001 00
011230 1643N 05521W 6965 02649 9419 +161 +121 055006 014 025 001 00
011300 1642N 05519W 6967 02650 9428 +157 +113 235008 011 026 000 00
011330 1641N 05518W 6970 02653 9439 +154 +108 221020 025 029 002 00
011400 1640N 05516W 6961 02676 9453 +151 +106 201035 040 031 002 03
011430 1641N 05515W 6965 02673 9459 +146 +113 184041 042 /// /// 03
011500 1643N 05516W 6968 02662 9444 +150 +133 162036 041 039 002 00
011530 1644N 05518W 6967 02654 9435 +150 +140 139030 034 038 002 03
011600 1644N 05519W 6966 02653 9429 +154 +137 116017 027 027 000 03
011630 1643N 05521W 6966 02650 9426 +156 +124 090005 012 026 001 03
$$
;

[Bhuggs]

In terms of damage, if a cat 5 were to make landfall and travel directly up the spine, how much damage would be done (how much intensity would be lost) when it got to an area like Orlando or Tampa. Would we still be looking at Cat 3 winds that could potentially damage buildings etc?

Doesn't take CAT 3 winds to damage buildings. 70mph is plenty to take shingles off of older roofs. This hurricane drought in Florida has led to a lot of older roofs. While CAT 3 winds can cause a structure to fail, any hurricane force wind can cause some pretty severe property damage

[RL3AO]

Our house was built in 2003 and we have hurricane shutters. It's two stories.

Do you know what evacuation zone it is in? How far above sea level it is? Could make a big difference on if evacuation would be necessary IF the storm went up the coast of FL.

[Ntxw]

She is getting really intense. White is almost complete on BD and inner core is getting better and better. Eye looks to be warming as well.



Easily T6.5

[GeneratorPower]

All posters please put your location in your S2K profile so it shows up with ALL your posts. Don't expect us to remember where you are 30 posts later.

[Blown Away]

Going to start getting windy Friday in SFL...

[storm4u]

My girlfriends dad is up from port st lucie florida... He is going back thursday... Hope its not bad for him

[Aric Dunn]

Sorry. Melbourne.

im from melbourne well satellite beach

Yay! So if your sister, her husband, and two young kids lived there, what would you tell her to do and when?

Our house was built in 2003 and we have hurricane shutters. It's two stories.

Of course it all depends on track. and my opinion is slightly biased so if the evacuation order goes out and they are not familiar with hurricanes I suggest they leave beachside.

[Preemptivestrike]

She is getting really intense. White is almost complete on BD and inner core is getting better and better. Eye looks to be warming as well.



Easily T6.5

Goodness. I pray South Floridians take it seriously and don't put off preparations or leave too late if they choose to leave.

[seaswing]

Remember people Marion County isn't a good place to evacuate to, ya'll will want to go a bit further up the road. Trust me and spread the news, Ocala is a terrible evacuation location. Gainesville is where its at.

Absolutely. Gainesville has many evacuation shelters for folks. Also it's located very close to the middle in one of the widest parts of the state. Craig Fugate I believe he's with FEMA now, if you remember him. He was Manager of Alachua County Emergency Management.

[Langinbang187]

If she can clear her eye our completely we may have a cat 5 as early as the AM.

[pcolaman]

I know the western atlantic pressure field will be slightly different when the GFS takes this to the sub 900's.. but can you imagine the wind speed ? its 945 and 140 mph.. if it were to drop another 40 to 60 ++ mb ?

Guessing 180 to 190 winds?

[pcolaman]

I know the western atlantic pressure field will be slightly different when the GFS takes this to the sub 900's.. but can you imagine the wind speed ? its 945 and 140 mph.. if it were to drop another 40 to 60 ++ mb ?

Guessing 180 to 190 winds?

[Sciencerocks]

noaa


005930 1522N 05530W 7498 02530 0033 +136 +115 267036 037 028 002 00
010000 1523N 05528W 7504 02526 0036 +134 +104 264038 039 029 001 00
010030 1523N 05525W 7504 02525 0037 +134 +105 262039 039 027 001 00
010100 1523N 05523W 7500 02527 0034 +134 +108 262038 038 027 002 00
010130 1523N 05521W 7499 02528 0032 +137 +105 259038 039 026 002 00
010200 1524N 05518W 7503 02526 0031 +138 +105 259040 041 028 001 00
010230 1524N 05516W 7499 02529 0033 +137 +101 257040 041 029 001 00
010300 1524N 05513W 7499 02529 0033 +135 +102 256040 040 027 002 00
010330 1524N 05511W 7498 02528 0036 +132 +101 255039 039 026 001 00
010400 1524N 05508W 7498 02529 0037 +132 +103 251039 039 025 002 00
010430 1525N 05506W 7502 02526 0036 +135 +101 250039 039 024 002 00
010500 1525N 05503W 7502 02527 0035 +135 +101 248039 039 024 002 00
010530 1525N 05501W 7498 02531 0034 +137 +101 246039 039 023 002 00
010600 1525N 05459W 7501 02530 0034 +138 +097 246039 040 023 002 00
010630 1525N 05456W 7499 02531 0043 +130 +107 242039 039 025 001 00
010700 1526N 05454W 7501 02529 0038 +136 +111 235036 037 024 001 00
010730 1526N 05451W 7499 02535 0038 +136 +113 229039 040 023 002 00
010800 1526N 05449W 7498 02536 0040 +136 +101 226040 040 023 002 00
010830 1526N 05447W 7498 02538 0039 +138 +096 228040 041 022 001 00
010900 1526N 05444W 7503 02532 0039 +140 +101 229042 042 023 001 00
010930 1526N 05442W 7498 02541 0045 +138 +094 231041 041 024 002 00
011000 1526N 05440W 7497 02546 0048 +136 +103 228036 038 028 004 00
011030 1526N 05437W 7499 02541 0049 +135 +113 226038 039 027 003 00
011100 1526N 05435W 7508 02534 0048 +136 +102 223035 036 024 002 00
011130 1526N 05433W 7497 02549 0050 +138 +099 223034 034 023 002 00
011200 1526N 05430W 7498 02548 0047 +141 +102 223032 033 023 002 00
011230 1526N 05428W 7499 02545 0049 +141 +094 225033 033 023 002 00
011300 1526N 05426W 7498 02551 0055 +138 +100 224033 034 025 001 00
011330 1526N 05424W 7498 02551 0057 +136 +103 217033 034 025 001 00
011400 1526N 05421W 7497 02552 0059 +134 +106 214034 034 024 002 00
011430 1526N 05419W 7497 02556 0060 +136 +104 213034 035 025 002 00
011500 1526N 05417W 7497 02555 0062 +135 +104 213031 033 025 002 00
011530 1526N 05414W 7499 02552 0061 +135 +109 208032 035 026 002 00
011600 1526N 05412W 7499 02552 0062 +133 +116 208033 034 027 001 00
011630 1526N 05410W 7496 02562 0071 +130 +118 208033 033 028 002 00
011700 1526N 05408W 7496 02562 0069 +130 +122 206031 031 027 002 00
011730 1527N 05406W 7499 02556 0070 +129 +123 207032 033 029 002 03
011800 1529N 05405W 7497 02560 0070 +130 +117 205033 033 /// /// 03
011830 1531N 05405W 7499 02554 0065 +133 +110 203033 034 /// /// 03
011900 1533N 05407W 7498 02556 0066 +131 +114 202034 034 026 002 00

[Ntxw]

If using Goes-16 might be even a little stronger

[Spacecoast]

Ok... seen enough. I'm outta here.Going on an evacu-cation Any tips on securing house for the duration?

[ConvergenceZone]

I've been a bit behind, trying to catch up with this storm. Is there a probability % you would give this of still maybe moving out to sea?