ATL: IRMA - Models

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6421 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:39 pm

A bit more South from 18z, about 50 miles or so.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6422 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:39 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6423 Postby birddogsc » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:40 pm

Just at tick south of 18Z through 36 hours..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6424 Postby pcolaman » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:41 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Image


Ridge looks stronger
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6425 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:41 pm

Still a bit sw
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6426 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:41 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6427 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:42 pm

The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6428 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:43 pm

Stronger ridging and a hair south
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6429 Postby SFLcane » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:43 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..


Good! Maybe it will go out to sea.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6430 Postby pcolaman » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:43 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..

That's what I thought
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6431 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:43 pm

So far the 0z GFS is fairly similar to previous 18z run, slightly stronger & 25 miles further south at 54 hr.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6432 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..

Problem with that being ridge is stronger...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6433 Postby otowntiger » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..

So would that equal earlier recurve, Florida miss?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6434 Postby Ken711 » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..


A good thing right?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6435 Postby SouthFLTropics » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:44 pm

SFLcane wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..


Good! Maybe it will go out to sea.


Deeper trough...Deeper Ridge. For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. The stronger the trough is the stronger the ridge will be.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6436 Postby tolakram » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:45 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6437 Postby Kohlecane » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:45 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Stronger ridging and a hair south
Image

Just me or does ridge to west not as deep or atleast slower
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6438 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:45 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..


But it actually shows a slightly stronger ridging to the north of Irma, the most important.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6439 Postby RL3AO » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:45 pm

I don't see a big change. Height contours are maybe 20 miles further south near the base of the trough.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#6440 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 04, 2017 10:46 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:
SFLcane wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:The trough is way way way more pronounced and deeper at 48 hours..


Good! Maybe it will go out to sea.


Deeper trough...Deeper Ridge. For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction. The stronger the trough is the stronger the ridge will be.


yeah that does not mean its out to sea.. just a big difference in the synoptics... I wonder if that weird cut off low forms over the MS valley now..
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