
ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Wow... just wow. Those poor folks in the islands. Why can't the US govt start chartering flights and getting people the hell out of Puerto Rico and the Virgin islands?
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Irma is about the same strength as TC Winston atm when it hit fiji. I hope the best for anyone in its the path. Fiji recovered and you guys will too.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Ntxw wrote:Avn color image
Classic classic classic. That classic buzzsaw look. It's winds are so high considering its cloud tops though. Interesting.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Sending my thoughts and prayers to the Antilles. Our country has been through this and hopefully like us a spirit of resilience and hope embodies citizens along the path of this tempest.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
invest man wrote:GFS has been showing for days a very intense storm with winds and pressure being where it is now. Most of us could not really buy into it thinking it was in fantasy land. However a question for us is would the stronger lower pressure allow it the more probability to be more or less influenced by the trough and kick it more east or not be influenced at all by the trough and continue more westerly. Perhaps the strength of the storm is why GFS is showing a slight eastern path now. Just an observation.
I can only speak for myself but I never questioned the pressures here, it's the sub 900's up in the Bahamas that are questionable IMO.
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M a r k
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- terstorm1012
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
I just have a sick feeling about this now. Good luck to all our friends in the islands. You're all in my thoughts.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Good morning to all-
Ready for another crazy day- What synoptic feature in the 6Z caused the move back from West Coast to East coast of Florida and do we
expect continued wiper effects for the next few days? Also should we go by the operational or the ensembles?
Thanks-
Craig
Ready for another crazy day- What synoptic feature in the 6Z caused the move back from West Coast to East coast of Florida and do we
expect continued wiper effects for the next few days? Also should we go by the operational or the ensembles?
Thanks-
Craig
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- Evil Jeremy
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Updated intensity forecast.
INIT 05/1200Z 16.7N 57.7W 150 KT 175 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 17.0N 58.9W 155 KT 180 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 17.7N 61.5W 150 KT 175 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.2W 145 KT 165 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 21.2N 72.5W 135 KT 155 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 22.4N 77.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 24.0N 81.0W 130 KT 150 MPH
INIT 05/1200Z 16.7N 57.7W 150 KT 175 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 17.0N 58.9W 155 KT 180 MPH
24H 06/0600Z 17.7N 61.5W 150 KT 175 MPH
36H 06/1800Z 18.6N 64.2W 145 KT 165 MPH
48H 07/0600Z 19.6N 67.0W 140 KT 160 MPH
72H 08/0600Z 21.2N 72.5W 135 KT 155 MPH
96H 09/0600Z 22.4N 77.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
120H 10/0600Z 24.0N 81.0W 130 KT 150 MPH
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
BlowHard wrote:Arsynic wrote:WAcyclone wrote:First visible:
Good Morning, beautiful...
Beautiful? Sure wish I had the luxury of that emotion. This storm is about to blow apart the world of millions down here. In PR, we have been told to expect to be without electricity for up to three months.
Tigers will eat you alive, but they are still beautiful. I'm in the cone and I can see the beauty in her without discounting her lethality.
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I never received my Hogwarts letter, so I'm leaving the Shire and becoming a Sith Lord.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
BlowHard wrote:Arsynic wrote:WAcyclone wrote:First visible:
Good Morning, beautiful...
Beautiful? Sure wish I had the luxury of that emotion. This storm is about to blow apart the world of millions down here. In PR, we have been told to expect to be without electricity for up to three months.
Praying for you guys.
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- eastcoastFL
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Are they not updating the map for 8am?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- 1900hurricane
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
If not for recon, Irma would not have been analyzed as a category 5 hurricane with a DT of 6.5.

The 12Z NHC forecast is worth almost 40 ACE alone.

The 12Z NHC forecast is worth almost 40 ACE alone.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
I think I recall someone saying that the pressures sub 900 were out in fantasy land. Now I am not so sure this won't happen. Like some kind of bad dream is happening.
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- SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Recon Discussion Thread
This drop in the NE eyewall measured 188 kt winds at 902 mb.... By the time it reached the surface it was already in the NW eyewall.


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
1900hurricane wrote:If not for recon, Irma would not have been analyzed as a category 5 hurricane with a DT of 6.5.
https://i.imgur.com/8vSTwoY.gif
The 12Z NHC forecast is worth almost 40 ACE alone.
It probably did a little earlier overnight with W ring and some CMG and winds lagged a bit. Still though the winds are very high without a ring of CMG. Lots to ponder about typhoons and some EPAC systems. But not to understate the intensity of Irma which is now one of the strongest storms in the Atlantic on record.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Lets stay civil folks and be thoughtful of others. There is a scientific and human part to all of this we are all aware. Discuss the storm, not other posters.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Nightwatch
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
I hope that at least Haiti gets spared... I really wonder what the next few days bring...
It has been since 2005 that two names in one Atlantic season are being taken from the name list, this season could at least get two as well...
It has been since 2005 that two names in one Atlantic season are being taken from the name list, this season could at least get two as well...

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The only thing we really get for free is the weather...
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