ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[MetroMike]

Hope the NHC will mitigate the issues with their slow server. I can see it going down again come this weekend.
Remember last season or in 2015 when it was essentially down for days in an important time.

[Aric Dunn]

916.4 mb
151 kt FL
151 kt SFMR

how did you get that soo quick..

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KWBC 052145
NOAA2 1011A IRMA HDOB 07 20170905
213530 1657N 05944W 6919 02757 9513 +118 //// 225140 145 128 005 01
213600 1658N 05945W 6923 02671 9419 +127 //// 223137 143 137 024 01
213630 1700N 05946W 6922 02603 9327 +142 //// 226121 123 140 011 01
213700 1701N 05948W 6904 02561 9242 +161 +143 224090 102 122 009 03
213730 1703N 05949W 6942 02473 9188 +181 +140 213043 057 074 004 00
213800 1704N 05951W 6949 02462 9172 +195 +141 182012 018 075 000 03
213830 1704N 05953W 6958 02449 9164 +205 +136 175003 007 026 001 00
213900 1704N 05956W 6948 02469 9175 +198 +122 013005 007 024 000 03
213930 1706N 05957W 6965 02456 9191 +191 +124 013019 025 028 001 00
214000 1707N 05959W 6971 02454 9202 +186 +132 027030 031 031 002 00
214030 1709N 06000W 6955 02489 9221 +178 +135 026038 042 043 002 00
214100 1710N 06002W 6952 02510 9242 +173 +137 026055 060 055 002 00
214130 1711N 06003W 6966 02516 9278 +157 +143 034080 095 103 004 00
214200 1713N 06004W 6958 02567 9331 +143 //// 037122 140 147 008 05
214230 1714N 06006W 6875 02725 9399 +125 //// 039142 146 151 047 01
214300 1715N 06007W 6892 02768 9482 +120 //// 039149 151 140 042 01
214330 1716N 06008W 6954 02757 9549 +123 //// 041143 147 129 040 05
214400 1717N 06010W 6969 02785 9596 +127 //// 043136 138 112 029 01
214430 1718N 06011W 6971 02816 9633 +131 +116 047132 134 103 018 00
214500 1720N 06012W 6999 02819 9681 +122 +121 052127 128 095 015 00

[NDG]

Pressure continues to drop.

213830 1704N 05953W 6958 02449 9164 +205 +136 175003 007 026 001 00

[Blown Away]

Looks like they will be on the NE quad of 180mph... Pray for them...

[Extratropical94]

916.4 mb
151 kt FL
151 kt SFMR

how did you get that soo quick..

I use the ftp server instead of the NHC homepage. http://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/ur/urnt15.kwbc..txt
Pretty much lag-free for now.

[Aric Dunn]

but yeah..

this is not even the right front quad..
likely even higher

214200 1713N 06004W 6958 02567 9331 +143 //// 037122 140 147 008 05
214230 1714N 06006W 6875 02725 9399 +125 //// 039142 146 151 047 01
214300 1715N 06007W 6892 02768 9482 +120 //// 039149 151 140 042 01
214330 1716N 06008W 6954 02757 9549 +123 //// 041143 147 129 040 05
214400 1717N 06010W 6969 02785 9596 +127 //// 043136 138 112 029 01
214430 1718N 06011W 6971 02816 9633 +131 +116 047132 134 103 018 00
214500 1720N 06012W 6999 02819 9681 +122 +121 052127 128 095 015 00

[WeatherGuesser]

Hope the NHC will mitigate the issues with their slow server. I can see it going down again come this weekend.
Remember last season or in 2015 when it was essentially down for days in an important time.

That's one reason I'm not going there or the Navy site. I have no reason to and neither do many of the gawkers. Leave the bandwidth to the people that need it. I get what I need on sites like this.

[Nimbus]

The high Cirrus from Thirteen outlines the ridge flow over the gulf rather well on the WV.
Ridge extends east almost to Irma and might bridge over.
Hard to tell where the next trough strong enough to reach Irma is going to form from the wv loop.
Forecast wind field for Puerto Rico probably isn't to dire as long as Irma stays on track.

[Kingarabian]

Winds down to 150kts? Did they come through the strongest quad?

[KBBOCA]

Just found this list of Caribbean web cams. Haven't verified how many are operational. But hope this is useful for some folks

http://www.caribbean-on-line.com/caribbean-web-cams/

[AutoPenalti]

Most of water, propane tanks and gas are all out for now in Broward County.
Batteries out too, however new shipments to come every hour for water, according to Publix employees.

Huge line for gas stations stretch more than half a mile in some locations.

[Aric Dunn]

THats a 10 mb drop since the last recon fix.. sheesh..

[NDG]

Winds down to 150kts? Did they come through the strongest quad?

Nope, the went SE to NW quadrant, the NE quadrant has been the strongest.

[supercane4867]

Winds down to 150kts? Did they come through the strongest quad?

Strongest winds are in the NE quadrant. Current pass is SE to NW

[Langinbang187]

Winds down to 150kts? Did they come through the strongest quad?

Nope, the went SE to NW quadrant, the NE quadrant has been the strongest.

It's pretty unlikely the NE quad has winds much stronger than that though. Winds seem to be holding steady.

[T-man]

Just found this list of Caribbean web cams. Haven't verified how many are operational. But hope this is useful for some folks

http://www.caribbean-on-line.com/caribbean-web-cams/

St. Bart's will be very much in the nasty stuff... http://www.caribbean-on-line.com/caribb ... bcam.shtml

[Evil Jeremy]

Most of water, propane tanks and gas are all out for now in Broward County.
Batteries out too, however new shipments to come every hour for water, according to Publix employees.

Huge line for gas stations stretch more than half a mile in some locations.

I've been waiting for propane for almost 2 hours now at an Exxon off of SR-84. They say it's coming.... but if it doesn't, they will have 125 ticked-off people to deal with.

EDIT: The propane gets here literally as I type this post.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 052147
AF305 1111A IRMA HDOB 02 20170905
213830 1742N 06448W 0088 00011 0102 +294 +245 000000 000 /// /// 03
213900 1742N 06448W 0089 00009 0101 +290 +242 000000 000 /// /// 03
213930 1742N 06448W 0089 00010 0101 +290 +245 000000 000 /// /// 03
214000 1742N 06448W 0088 00011 0101 +290 +244 000000 000 /// /// 03
214030 1742N 06448W 0089 00011 0102 +290 +242 000000 000 /// /// 03
214100 1742N 06448W 0089 00011 0102 +289 +242 000000 000 /// /// 03
214130 1742N 06448W 0088 00012 0102 +290 +242 000000 000 /// /// 03
214200 1742N 06448W 0084 00015 0103 +289 +244 000000 000 /// /// 03
214230 1742N 06448W 0085 00015 0103 +290 +244 000000 000 /// /// 03
214300 1742N 06448W 0083 00016 0102 +290 +243 000000 000 /// /// 03
214330 1742N 06448W 0081 00017 0102 +289 +243 000000 000 /// /// 03
214400 1742N 06449W 0079 00019 0101 +289 +243 000000 000 /// /// 03
214430 1742N 06449W 0076 00021 0100 +285 +242 000000 000 /// /// 03
214500 1742N 06449W 0075 00021 0097 +288 +242 000000 000 /// /// 33
214530 1742N 06449W 0074 00022 0097 +290 +245 000000 000 /// /// 03
214600 1742N 06449W 0076 00023 0100 +287 +248 000000 000 /// /// 03
214630 1742N 06449W 0067 00023 0095 +281 +251 048005 009 /// /// 03
214700 1742N 06449W 0067 00023 0091 +278 +251 037012 014 /// /// 03
214730 1742N 06446W 9821 00241 0093 +263 +244 037020 021 /// /// 03
214800 1742N 06445W 9575 00465 0091 +244 +234 035020 021 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Aric Dunn]

Winds down to 150kts? Did they come through the strongest quad?

Nope, the went SE to NW quadrant, the NE quadrant has been the strongest.

It's pretty unlikely the NE quad has winds much stronger than that though. Winds seem to be holding steady.

I would wager they are 20 mph or more higher..