SouthFLTropics wrote:Well models this is not what you were supposed to do. I was hoping for the continued shift to the right with a prayer of OTS. Could it happen...I'm sure it's still a possibility. But I think that window is closing fast. These models are just too good at this range to not expect a significant impact from Irma here in Florida. Today's 12z Euro could very well be the nail in the coffin. If it's on course or trends back west some then in my opinion the Florida forecast chapter in Irma's book is nearly completed. From here on out the devil will be in the details. Lots of wobble watching over the next 4 days.
Yeah that window's closing fast. We'll really see where Irma goes by Thursday-Friday for Florida. Of course if the models keep it around SC, the entire state (since it's so small) will definitely need to be on alert. This is definitely a Hugo flashback. Hugo tore up South Carolina but move west of most of North Carolina. Hugo's daughter is coming if the models stay with a SC hit (think Euro also had it hitting SC last run too).
), or are interpreting a model. There's too much thinking without enough evidence in here and it's not helpful. 
