ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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GCANE
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6021 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:48 pm

ISS Passes Over Hurricane Irma - 9/6/2017



Link: https://youtu.be/XoMRueJ17Rc
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6022 Postby KC7NEC » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:49 pm

Interesting and crazy fact on TWC just now.

Irma has been a Cat 5 for 33 Hours now.... the previous record was 18 Hours.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6023 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:50 pm

jlauderdal wrote:twitter messages not showing on android tapatalk for me...just the code shows


You should be able to click in the link in tapatalk and open the message in the twitter app. Works for me anyway.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6024 Postby abajan » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:51 pm

KC7NEC wrote:Sen. Rubio on TWC right now sounds very distressed. I really am nervous and think this is going to be a second major blow in the season.

A Florida hit isn't cast in stone. While the model cluster is disconcerting, Irma is still a good way off. Just last year, wasn't there a similar agreement between models with Matthew which didn't pan out?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6025 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:52 pm

tolakram wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:twitter messages not showing on android tapatalk for me...just the code shows


You should be able to click in the link in tapatalk and open the message in the twitter app. Works for me anyway.

i have tried that but its not all highlighted, i will investigate further...thx
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6026 Postby Meteorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:53 pm

KC7NEC wrote:Interesting and crazy fact on TWC just now.

Irma has been a Cat 5 for 33 Hours now.... the previous record was 18 Hours.


I assume they meant something like longest consecutive time with 180+ mph winds, because I think the satellite era record is 42 hours or so, and a 1932 Cuba storm holds the basin record (although given lack of observations that number is suspect).
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6027 Postby Jelff » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:54 pm

JPmia wrote:
Jelff wrote:Thinking about Florida and storm surge?
.....


Can you provide this map for Broward County?? Thanks in advance!


Sure.
Here is the same map zoomed in just a bit more and centered near the middle of the Broward County coast.

https://mappingsupport.com/p/gmap4.php? ... ricane.txt

This GIS overlay of surge data goes all along the Florida coast.
You can drag the map anywhere and wait a bit. The surge data should appear.
The state GIS server that is hosting this surge data is getting slammed with requests for data.
You can also try zooming in one step and then zooming back out one step. That seemed to help but maybe I just imagined it helped.

Anyone can make their own custom map link.
Do it like so:
1. Make the map look on your screen the way you want it to look when it opens. You might need to wait a bit before all the surge data appears on your screen.
2. Click Menu ==> Link to this map
3. Copy that link and paste it into a browser.

Tip: If you make map links and post on social media be aware that some platforms will trash the link. For Facebook I always use a link shortener. Reddit on the other hand requires the original link.

For more tips please click "Map Tips" in the upper left corner of the map.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6028 Postby CDO62 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:54 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Bunkertor wrote:Sorry for the delay, my monitor suddenly went off.
KBBOCA wrote:Are you on an app or a mobile device? I know sometimes viewing twitter messages doesn't always work from a mobile phone, especially if you have data restrictions set up.

No, i use a normal desktop.

tolakram wrote:Are they blocked for you? Use a modern browser (Chrome, IE 10+, or Firefox)?

Yes, i´m using the most recent FF, ublock and privacy badger are switched off. Hmm
twitter messages not showing on android tapatalk for me...just the code shows


I right click the twitter link and open in it a new tab.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6029 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:54 pm

 https://twitter.com/tlyzawx/status/905592974561697792




Might be eyewall melding again. Maybe this is just how eyewall replacement is in top tier tropical cyclones experiencing good conditions and we haven't had good enough data on it until now.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6030 Postby Buck » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:55 pm

abajan wrote:
KC7NEC wrote:Sen. Rubio on TWC right now sounds very distressed. I really am nervous and think this is going to be a second major blow in the season.

A Florida hit isn't cast in stone. While the model cluster is disconcerting, Irma is still a good way off. Just last year, wasn't there a similar agreement between models with Matthew which didn't pan out?


I don't recall the models for Matthew ever being this tight in agreement as they have become with Irma (at least at this point in the track). Even without a Florida direct hit, the impacts will still be pretty great no matter what. And for local leaders, with Harvey's impacts dominating all media the last few weeks... I'm sure they are dealing with an enormous amount of stress from their constituents.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#6031 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:55 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 070053
AF309 1511A IRMA HDOB 20 20170907
004400 1940N 06714W 6970 03092 9984 +094 +071 034070 072 047 004 00
004430 1938N 06714W 6967 03091 9975 +096 +076 031069 073 047 005 00
004500 1935N 06713W 6970 03085 9964 +104 +074 031065 067 048 003 00
004530 1933N 06712W 6968 03085 9961 +103 +074 033066 067 048 003 00
004600 1931N 06712W 6970 03080 9961 +101 +074 031065 066 047 003 00
004630 1929N 06711W 6969 03077 9955 +104 +068 031063 064 048 004 00
004700 1927N 06711W 6969 03074 9957 +100 +068 029063 064 049 004 00
004730 1925N 06710W 6967 03074 9960 +095 +068 027064 065 050 004 00
004800 1923N 06710W 6970 03064 9957 +092 +069 025064 064 050 004 00
004830 1921N 06709W 6970 03060 9954 +090 +069 022064 065 052 004 00
004900 1919N 06708W 6969 03060 9950 +091 +068 020065 065 051 005 00
004930 1917N 06708W 6969 03059 9946 +094 +066 017064 065 051 006 00
005000 1915N 06707W 6967 03058 9941 +097 +067 015065 065 052 005 00
005030 1912N 06707W 6970 03056 9937 +098 +067 013065 065 054 004 00
005100 1910N 06706W 6969 03056 9932 +103 +065 009064 065 054 004 00
005130 1908N 06705W 6969 03054 9930 +103 +064 005064 064 053 005 00
005200 1906N 06705W 6967 03056 9928 +104 +064 000062 064 053 006 00
005230 1904N 06704W 6968 03056 9936 +098 +072 358063 065 052 007 03
005300 1901N 06703W 6969 03054 9926 +105 +064 354062 063 053 006 00
005330 1859N 06703W 6969 03053 9924 +107 +062 351063 063 052 004 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6032 Postby tolakram » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:55 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6033 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:56 pm

yeah just mentioned that.. likely deepening even more..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6034 Postby Meteorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:56 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Might be eyewall melding again. Maybe this is just how eyewall replacement is in top tier tropical cyclones experiencing good conditions and we haven't had good enough data on it until now.


All this fantastic temporal/spatial resolution remotely-sensed data we are currently receiving is going to be of great use in someone's master's thesis or phd dissertation on topics such as the one you mentioned above
Last edited by Meteorcane on Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6035 Postby WeatherGuesser » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:56 pm

KBBOCA wrote:A correction to a tweet I posted earlier about using a special radar feature to view the double eyewall:



It's just as easy (same amount of steps) to post the text of the message so everyone can read it as it is to post a link to something only some can see.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6036 Postby Blown Away » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:57 pm

abajan wrote:
KC7NEC wrote:Sen. Rubio on TWC right now sounds very distressed. I really am nervous and think this is going to be a second major blow in the season.

A Florida hit isn't cast in stone. While the model cluster is disconcerting, Irma is still a good way off. Just last year, wasn't there a similar agreement between models with Matthew which didn't pan out?


Agree and Matt was never forecasted to landfall, just skirt like Irma may do...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6037 Postby GCANE » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:57 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6038 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:58 pm

If the outer eyewall is indeed fading away, this can be used as a great study in the behavior of very intense tropical cyclones. If I remember right, Haiyan also did this too.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6039 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:58 pm



This is the exact tweet that led NHC's Eric Blake to write that "It's like the movie groundhog day"
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#6040 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 06, 2017 7:59 pm

How much ACE has this Hurricane made? Should probably be within the top 5 for Atlantic hurricanes based on this value seeing that Ivan, Frances, Georges and Igor didn't become as strong as far east or hold such power.
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