ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[KBBOCA]

Just saw the latest Charleston NWS statement. Very good summary of expected impacts in their area. Here's the graphic:

 https://twitter.com/NWSCharlestonSC/status/905828852500496384




NWS Charleston, SC‏Verified account @NWSCharlestonSC 13m13 minutes ago

Significant impacts from #Irma becoming more likely across SE SC/GA early next week. Full brief: http://www.weather.gov/media/chs/briefi ... iefing.pdf … #scwx #gawx

[sponger]

I think my brother is fascinated with the first big test of my Dads over engineered roof he installed in Margate FL. If this track comes in a bit West of forecast, he will get his wish.

[tarheelprogrammer]

I couldn't resist posting this since it is relevant to the storm lol.

https://www.facebook.com/king.Gutta828/posts/1109606822505562

[Kazmit]

You don't see this every day.

[Jelff]

NOAA just posted their storm surge estimate for south Florida. Below is a link to a Google + GIS map that displays that data.

When the map opens it is centered at Homestead Air Reserve Base south of Miami. The light brown color indicates a potential storm surge depth of 6 to 9 feet of water on the runways.

To know what the other colors mean you need to look at the map legend for this overlay layer. Click “Map Tips” in the upper left corner and then click the “Legend” button.

Map link - NOAA storm surge data: https://bit.ly/2j77zrr

[AutoPenalti]

I think my brother is fascinated with the first big test of my Dads over engineered roof he installed in Margate FL. If this track comes in a bit West of forecast, he will get his wish.

How far from the turnpike do you live? Are you relatively close to State Rd 7?

[lando]

This could be Frances and Jeanne but worse. Jose possibly pulling the loop

[Centralflamama]

Just heard my cousins in Palm Beach County aren't evacuating. So frustrating. Any idea what they can expect?

[tarheelprogrammer]

NOAA just posted their storm surge estimate for south Florida. Below is a link to a Google + GIS map that displays that data.

When the map opens it is centered at Homestead Air Reserve Base south of Miami. The light brown color indicates a potential storm surge depth of 6 to 9 feet of water on the runways.

To know what the other colors mean you need to look at the map legend for this overlay layer. Click “Map Tips” in the upper left corner and then click the “Legend” button.

Map link - NOAA storm surge data: https://bit.ly/2j77zrr

It doesn't seem like that much. S FL can handle surge quite well from what I have read online at other places, and on this forum.

[RL3AO]

WOW NWS, according to the TWC, are strong with their wording

"...Miami and parts of SFL will be inhabitable for weeks and maybe even months"

nws may be worried that all this talk of a shift is leading s FL to underestimate Irma. Expect a big ramp up in language.

[newtotex]

With Irma maintaining strength for so long and building up surge, how will this affect surge in the Bahamas and South Florida compared to if it strengthened at the last minute?

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 071643
AF305 1711A IRMA HDOB 47 20170907
163400 2156N 07051W 6972 03135 0031 +098 +068 057081 084 049 003 00
163430 2156N 07053W 6967 03145 0028 +103 +065 056075 077 047 003 00
163500 2156N 07056W 6965 03148 0028 +105 +057 056074 075 047 002 00
163530 2156N 07058W 6969 03146 0027 +107 +056 059072 073 045 003 00
163600 2157N 07101W 6970 03139 0023 +111 +051 062077 079 043 003 00
163630 2157N 07103W 6965 03151 0034 +103 +056 062079 080 042 002 00
163700 2157N 07106W 6971 03141 0045 +095 +056 061077 080 048 005 00
163730 2157N 07108W 6969 03145 0052 +090 +058 062075 076 054 006 00
163800 2157N 07111W 6967 03149 0059 +084 +076 061072 075 056 008 03
163830 2157N 07113W 6972 03143 0076 +096 +096 061073 079 055 018 03
163900 2157N 07116W 6961 03155 0069 +099 +099 053073 076 047 017 00
163930 2157N 07118W 6991 03123 0077 +095 +095 052071 075 043 017 00
164000 2157N 07120W 6963 03157 0055 +089 +075 054072 073 043 007 00
164030 2157N 07123W 6969 03155 0058 +090 +081 057071 073 042 006 00
164100 2157N 07125W 6966 03160 0055 +092 +078 057071 072 041 007 00
164130 2157N 07128W 6966 03165 0064 +088 +079 057069 072 041 008 00
164200 2158N 07130W 6964 03168 0066 +091 +072 054066 067 042 006 03
164230 2156N 07132W 6959 03178 0073 +090 +069 051061 064 /// /// 03
164300 2155N 07132W 6967 03166 0069 +088 +080 052058 059 040 008 00
164330 2154N 07130W 6968 03157 0065 +087 +080 051057 058 042 007 00
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

URNT12 KNHC 071613
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112017
A. 07/15:56:40Z
B. 20 deg 34 min N
069 deg 55 min W
C. 700 mb 2426 m
D. 147 kt
E. 045 deg 13 nm
F. 134 deg 147 kt
G. 046 deg 16 nm
H. 923 mb
I. 12 C / 3056 m
J. 18 C / 3047 m
K. 14 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C22
N. 12345 / 07
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 1711A IRMA OB 21
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 152 KT 352 / 19 NM 16:04:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 180 / 7 KT
MAX FL TEMP 19 C 044 / 9 NM FROM FL CNTR
;

[GCANE]

You don't see this every day.

 https://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/905770545899286528

[guyclaude08]

I'm in Santiago de los Caballeros in the DOminican Republic the winds are picking up, lot of rains, lot of trees have fallen in different parts of the country and floods things aren't looking that good

[GlennOBX]

Apologies for the 101 level question:

Would more land interaction (over Cuba, for example) slow the forward speed of Irma, and if this were to happen, would that be enough of a change in forward speed to affect the track of the storm? Or would the only effect of more land interaction be the lessening of intensity of the storm?

[tolakram]

I'm in Santiago de los Caballeros in the DOminican Republic the winds are picking up, lot of rains, lot of trees have fallen in different parts of the country and floods things aren't looking that good

Thanks for the update, please stay safe!

[sponger]

I think my brother is fascinated with the first big test of my Dads over engineered roof he installed in Margate FL. If this track comes in a bit West of forecast, he will get his wish.

How far from the turnpike do you live? Are you relatively close to State Rd 7?

Just East for Dad! Pays 3 times what I do for homeowners insurance as a result.

[sponger]

I think my brother is fascinated with the first big test of my Dads over engineered roof he installed in Margate FL. If this track comes in a bit West of forecast, he will get his wish.

How far from the turnpike do you live? Are you relatively close to State Rd 7?

Just East of 441 for Dad! Pays 3 times what I do for homeowners insurance as a result.

[guyclaude08]

if you guys wanna see videos of the Dominican Republic go ton instagram: @losmocanos they have a lot of videos of floods trees falling on houses etc