ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Sanibel]

Getting word that I-75 north is a "parking lot"...

[sikkar]

Appears to be deepening on IR.

[sponger]

How far from the turnpike do you live? Are you relatively close to State Rd 7?

Just East for Dad! Pays 3 times what I do for homeowners insurance as a result.

Maybe off topic a little, but you saying you were in Margate made me think of this:

In the last '60's, my husband was a carpenter working on homes in Margate, a lot of those homes were built with CONCRETE ROOFS!!!

What did your dad do to "over-engineer" his roof??

My brother over builds everything. Extra backing, high end shingles, extra nails, hurricane straps, the works. Margate code wanted him to rip up a piece for for inspection after letting it sit for 6 weeks with paper only, waiting on inspection. Had to get a wind engineer to certify it who said he never seen anything like it. Margate code enforcement is a mess but we will see if all of their issues do any good for roof quality.

[jasons2k]

Don't know if it has been mentioned but there is a double max on recon, hence the higher pressure.

That's not why....she's had concentric eyewalls for quote some time...

[DESTRUCTION5]

Getting word that I-75 north is a "parking lot"...

As is 95 and Pike...If leaving prepare for a 12 hr trip min from miami to Ga.

[sikkar]

Any radar coverage right now?

[jasons2k]

Just East for Dad! Pays 3 times what I do for homeowners insurance as a result.

Maybe off topic a little, but you saying you were in Margate made me think of this:

In the last '60's, my husband was a carpenter working on homes in Margate, a lot of those homes were built with CONCRETE ROOFS!!!

What did your dad do to "over-engineer" his roof??

My brother over builds everything. Extra backing, high end shingles, extra nails, hurricane straps, the works. Margate code wanted him to rip up a piece for for inspection after letting it sit for 6 weeks with paper only, waiting on inspection. Had to get a wind engineer to certify it who said he never seen anything like it. Margate code enforcement is a mess but we will see if all of their issues do any good for roof quality.

There is another thread for preps. Use it!

[dukeblue219]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels

Based on what? They literally just measured 155mph surface winds (ok, estimated with the SFMR) on the last pass through.

155mph is C4...157+ is C5.

Sorry, I think we were just talking about two different things. I was trying to make the point that one measurement that the extremes of cat4 levels does not say anything about the overall strength when plenty of other measurements have been higher today. I see that you were speaking directly about the one quadrant, although a category 5 storm will rarely have category 5 winds in all four quadrants.

[Sanibel]

Irma is touch north of trop points...

[boxwes]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

NE quadrant is strongest, NW quadrant is weakest

[GCANE]

[SkeetoBite]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

Really? Please explain.

[Crackbone]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

Really? Please explain.

Yeah I'd like to hear this too. This is -removed- and misinformation at its finest. Please stop, it's not only flat out wrong, it's flat out dangerous.

[ronyan]

000
URNT15 KNHC 071743
AF305 1711A IRMA HDOB 53 20170907
173400 2006N 06935W 6970 03073 9996 +092 +092 199072 074 057 013 00
173430 2005N 06934W 6966 03080 9997 +091 +091 203071 072 060 009 00
173500 2004N 06933W 6967 03087 0003 +092 +092 204069 071 061 009 00
173530 2003N 06932W 6969 03086 9999 +094 +094 201069 070 059 009 03
173600 2002N 06930W 6968 03090 0009 +094 +094 200072 073 058 011 00
173630 2001N 06929W 6965 03097 0006 +094 +094 199071 072 058 011 00
173700 2000N 06928W 6963 03106 0017 +092 +092 200068 071 052 011 03
173730 1959N 06927W 6968 03099 0020 +091 +091 198066 067 052 009 00
173800 1958N 06926W 6967 03107 0026 +088 +088 198062 064 049 007 00
173830 1957N 06925W 6967 03106 0018 +090 //// 200062 063 049 006 01
173900 1955N 06924W 6967 03106 0011 +090 //// 201060 062 048 005 01
173930 1954N 06923W 6967 03110 0015 +087 //// 202059 060 049 003 01
174000 1953N 06922W 6971 03107 //// +084 //// 202062 062 048 002 01
174030 1952N 06921W 6970 03115 //// +084 //// 200063 064 049 002 01
174100 1951N 06920W 6963 03124 0022 +085 +084 198064 064 049 002 01
174130 1950N 06919W 6964 03124 //// +085 //// 198062 063 048 000 01
174200 1949N 06918W 6970 03120 //// +085 //// 200063 063 049 002 01
174230 1948N 06917W 6963 03128 0023 +089 +082 199061 063 048 002 00
174300 1947N 06916W 6969 03128 //// +085 //// 195059 060 046 002 01
174330 1945N 06915W 6967 03133 //// +084 //// 195058 059 045 002 01
$$
;

[dgparent]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

I think that statement is pretty ridiculous.

[dukeblue219]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

Come on. This is terrible analysis based off a single wind reading in the weakest quadrant. Someone may read it and take you seriously. This storm is NOT weakening substantially at the moment and poses a fatal threat to anyone in south florida right now.

[meriland29]

The strongest winds in a hurricane hail from the eastern side, not the western.

[PTPatrick]

Can I just say how eerie it is that basically Harvey and Irma could both have been one of those "it could really happen" hurricane specials on TWC. I mean yes Harvey was a rain event for houston and a cat 5 into galveston would be devastating, but I'm actually not sure money-wise if it would have done more damage since Houston is somewhat inland. Water is really their biggest vulnerability and Harvey exploited it.

Then you have Irma on its heels. If the south to north cat 5 into Biscayne bay comes to fruition, they can rerun that episode for us to know the effects. Its not good. We will easily have 2 most expensive canes in history, weeks apart. I would say that it wouldn't be possible but with coastal buildup we have replaced all the top 10 expensive canes of the last 100 years in the last 15 years...and Katrina and Rita both jumped in a month apart, as did Ivan and Charley. So I hesitate to say it, if this goes down like it looks, big momma Katrina, who is now number 2, may soon be number 3.

[Langinbang187]

Surprised winds in NW are down to C4 levels...NE likely still a C5.

NW quadrant has been strongest winds, looks like it is a Cat. 4 now as the NHC predicted a few days ago, but backed off on in recent forecasts. Could weaken enough to not be a major threat to Fl.

Everything about this post is just plain wrong.

[gatorcane]

Irma is looking even better the past couple of hours with CDO building west and north.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12