ATL: JOSE - Models
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
12Z EPS tracks for Jose: https://weather.us/cyclone-tracks/euro/ ... -jose.html
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Obviously it's crazy to put too much stock in models this far out, but 18Z GFS is showing an intriguing dance between Jose and Lee at day 13. Any precedents for that kind of interaction in this part of the Atlantic?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Does the Azores anticyclone more or less guarantee they're protected from a tropical storm striking from the west, or could some exotic interaction between Jose and Lee actually overcome that and lead at least one of those storms over the islands?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
sflicht wrote:Obviously it's crazy to put too much stock in models this far out, but 18Z GFS is showing an intriguing dance between Jose and Lee at day 13. Any precedents for that kind of interaction in this part of the Atlantic?
Isn't that a Fujiwara effect depicted?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Way out there, but the 0z Euro wants to turn Jose into Jeanne 2.0.
Lots of options for Jose after Day 5.
Lots of options for Jose after Day 5.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
This is in fantasy range for sure, but models and their ensembles do hint at building heights in the western Atlantic later next week...


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- AtlanticWind
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
This would be a nightmare for us in florida ,another major hurricane?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Ryan MaueVerified account @RyanMaue 26m26 minutes ago
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Hurricane Jose will need to be watched closely next week as steering currents collapse & storm may loop a la Jeanne [2004].

More
Hurricane Jose will need to be watched closely next week as steering currents collapse & storm may loop a la Jeanne [2004].

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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
I seriously hope this is a bad case of the Euro being horrendous in its long-range like it's known to be this season. That's the last thing folks need in SE FL!
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Category four Gulf hurricane hitting while RI followed by a long-lived, island-shredding, 'I'-named Cat 5 Cape Verde ACE churner heading generally for Florida and then a 'J'-named possible looping hit following fairly close behind? Is this 2004 or 2017??
Seriously though... I heard mention of a possible Lee on long range GFS earlier, how long is the ridging supposed to be this strong? It's really not good to have a Cape Verde train going while under super strong ridging, obviously
Seriously though... I heard mention of a possible Lee on long range GFS earlier, how long is the ridging supposed to be this strong? It's really not good to have a Cape Verde train going while under super strong ridging, obviously
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
GOD FORBID!!!!!!!!!
A double whammy of two major hurricanes impacting Florida within 10 days??
Oh my heavens?? I freaked out seeing the latest 0Z EURO run.
A Jeanne '04 type scenario Part 2 in the making? The Ridge building right back in to steer Jose back at the Bahamas and Florida? This would be a complete nightmare if this verified.
A double whammy of two major hurricanes impacting Florida within 10 days??
Oh my heavens?? I freaked out seeing the latest 0Z EURO run.
A Jeanne '04 type scenario Part 2 in the making? The Ridge building right back in to steer Jose back at the Bahamas and Florida? This would be a complete nightmare if this verified.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
TheStormExpert wrote:I seriously hope this is a bad case of the Euro being horrendous in its long-range like it's known to be this season. That's the last thing folks need in SE FL!
Alot of people would be hoping maybe its just as you say the ec being horrendous @L/R.
If not who know's some real estate may become uninhabitable for years.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Quite a few ECMWF ensembles are showing Jose doing an anti-cyclonic loop:


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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Jose seems to shift further west every single day...
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models

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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Insult to injury that the models are trending towards Jose tracking over or close to the Leeward Islands, unreal.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
0Z Euro loop solution


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Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
I guess the Euro is showing Jose making a cyclonic loop near Florida just like the GFS did a few days ago. People better pay attention to this just in case. I know people are still talking about Harvey and now Irma, but this could be bad also.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Michele B wrote:Yes, I watched this loop!
Not sure how to embed.
Just wrap it in image tags like you would any other type of image. That's what I did above.
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