Charleston: Update on expected flooding
https://twitter.com/NWSCharlestonSC/status/905941127509016580
ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
The Turks and Caicos must be getting absolutely pounded. The Bahamas have had a horrible streak of dealing with hurricanes recently, from Joaquin to Matthew and now to Irma. Horrible.
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Kingarabian
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
CrazyC83 wrote:galaxy401 wrote:Cat 5 winds still on the NW eyewall.
I'd probably go with 140 or 145 kt.
Despite the discrepancies in the SFMR?
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EquusStorm
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Unfortunately, if the eye is larger and the current NHC track precisely verifies, that's going to widen the eyewall wind swath even further in an almost perfect worst case scenario for wind damage in South FL.
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Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
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FLeastcoast
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Anyone know what the people in The Villages could get as far as wind speeds?
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Kingarabian wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:galaxy401 wrote:Cat 5 winds still on the NW eyewall.
I'd probably go with 140 or 145 kt.
Despite the discrepancies in the SFMR?
SFMR supports at least 140 kt. Since the flight is not finished, I'd drop it to 145 for now.
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CrazyC83
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
FLeastcoast wrote:Anyone know what the people in The Villages could get as far as wind speeds?
I'd prepare for at least category 1 conditions there.
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FLeastcoast
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
CrazyC83 wrote:FLeastcoast wrote:Anyone know what the people in The Villages could get as far as wind speeds?
I'd prepare for at least category 1 conditions there.
Should orlando be the same?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
What are the chances it undergoes another ERC just before the expected landfall in Florida?
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SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Whoops this post was supposed to go in the models thread. Sorry. Instead, here's a recent 37-GHz WindSat pass:
Last edited by SouthDadeFish on Thu Sep 07, 2017 7:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
CrazyC83 wrote:Kingarabian wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:
I'd probably go with 140 or 145 kt.
Despite the discrepancies in the SFMR?
SFMR supports at least 140 kt. Since the flight is not finished, I'd drop it to 145 for now.
they are not going to change it without all quds sampled.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:I am seeing alot of tweets out of miami about people not being able to leave because there is still no gas. Seems like panic is setting in.
That is very bad.
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tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC went with 919mb.
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Tropicwatch
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meriland29
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Is her slow weakening due to a ERC? I keep hearing she has been undergoing for a long time, and looks close to finished?
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1900hurricane
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
miamijaaz wrote:What are the chances it undergoes another ERC just before the expected landfall in Florida?
Hard to tell at the current moment.
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meriland29
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Snowman67 wrote:Steve wrote:Come on Michelle. Lets be serious. If it hits 100B, it will be one of only two storms in history though we are still counting Harvey. If it hits 175B, it will be the only one. So multiply that times six.
People believe anything nowadays.
I've seen several estimates coming in for Harvey around the $200 Billion mark. They are predicting that it will easily surpass the Katrina figure.
We have a thread in Talkin' Tropics. Last update I saw was $80B with more to come. 200 could happen but would be beyond the end of a legit range. Point is Maue was being a kind of a chump by posting that and drawing attention to a tweet and stoking paranoia among an excitable fanbase. I'll leave it at that.
My point to her and now to you is you really think even if Harvey becomes our most costly storm in history at 200B, do you really think we can exceed that with a like event by a factor of 5? It's not in any way realistic, and I'm glad that other met called him out on his Bull.
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itglobalsecure
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
I had hoped to get my husband out by train on the 8th and bought an Amtrak ticket but it was cancelled. Tri Rail stops working tomorrow, Friday. On Wednesday I was told by a Tri Rail service engineer at one of the stations, that they will need to remove the arms on the crossing guards. Those are the mechanical arms that come down and shut off a street. I would Hazard a guess that these things blow away in the Wind. So getting out of town via Amtrak is not an option as of the 8th. I have used Amtrak numerous times to escape other storms and it is an ideal way to travel even with the delays due to Freight on the rails. But it cannot be used for evacuation this time
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