ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7361 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:00 pm

RL3AO wrote:Image

Outer eyewall now stronger. Won't be much longer. A run at sub 900 tomorrow wouldn't surprise me.


we might end up with an Isabel size eye after this one...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7362 Postby NDG » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:01 pm

NHC shifted the track a little more to the west a little closer to the Euro!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7363 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:01 pm

Big shift during days 4 and 5. Good news for SC/NC.

Image
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Re: RE: Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7364 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:02 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
T-man wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:This is probably a stupid question and I'm sure I already know the answer but here it goes. My parents live in Boca Raton and have boarded up all their 2nd Floor windows and all first floor east facing windows, however they do not have any protection for 6 sets of sliding glass doors in the back of the house which faces southeast...they plan to stay in the house for the storm...does anyone see any possible way that they will be safe in the house?

If any of the glass doors break, it could spell disaster. Lots of homes lost roofs when the garage doors failed, and their are some similarities, don't you think?


I am very worried for them...they won't leave because they have a safe room in the interior of the home that they plan to go into if the weather gets to bad. We have impact windows at our place and insisted they come stay with us but they are refusing because the "storms are never as bad as forecasted"
Safe room isnt safe if those doors go...evacuation in order
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7365 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:03 pm

South Florida now under a hurricane warning
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7366 Postby psyclone » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:03 pm

NDG wrote:NHC shifted the track a little more to the west a little closer to the Euro!


ummmm. yikes :eek:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7367 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:05 pm

Does anyone have a good shear forecast? The only thing I see keeping this from going back to a 5 in the Straights is possible shear.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7368 Postby pokkeherrie » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:05 pm

Just got the text. Hurricane warning in effect.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7369 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:05 pm

Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7370 Postby meriland29 » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:06 pm

As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment
. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."
Last edited by meriland29 on Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7371 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:06 pm

Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7372 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:07 pm

The warnings are out, and everyone's cellphones are ringing. The dreaded emergency alarm strikes again.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7373 Postby HurricaneRyan » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:07 pm

And my Dad and my half-sis seriously think Tampa is gonna save them?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7374 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:08 pm

Yep,From what I can see nothing to get us out of this one.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7375 Postby jdray » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:09 pm

Stay safe my south Florida neighbors.
Those of us in Central and North Florida need to finish prep now and get ready to hunker down.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7376 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:09 pm

Forecasted 135 kt landfall. Ouch.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7377 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:09 pm

meriland29 wrote:As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment
. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."


thats how little we all know ....
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7378 Postby lando » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:10 pm

Auto I heard 95 is better than turnpike there
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7379 Postby floridasun78 » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:11 pm

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect

me too weather radio came on
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#7380 Postby Raebie » Thu Sep 07, 2017 10:11 pm

meriland29 wrote:As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment
. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."


That seems rather ...comforting.
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