ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

I have looked at that several ways on GOES and METEOSAT it wasn't an illusion, it dived southwest

then you did not check the recon fixes.. due west.

just the eye contracting on satellite..

It's also the angle of the shape of the arc of Cuba that helps make that illusion.

[Aric Dunn]

run the full 50 images .. the last 45 min to hour it has come almost to a dead stop right at the coast..

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and14.html

[SEASON_CANCELED]

I have looked at that several ways on GOES and METEOSAT it wasn't an illusion, it dived southwest

Eye contracted... not a SW movement

Nah..look at last goes frame bro

thats 2 frames now. If thats an eye illusion like that it would be a neat trick but we wont have much longer to wait

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... imated.gif

[Aric Dunn]

I have looked at that several ways on GOES and METEOSAT it wasn't an illusion, it dived southwest

Eye contracted... not a SW movement

Nah..look at last goes frame bro

thats 2 frames now

look at recon.. dont need satellite right now to determine motion.. was moving straight west.. and now has pretty stopped moving..

[CourierPR]

Aside from this debate over Irma's direction, it seems the bigger story is the slowing in forward speed.

[jasons2k]

Recon doesn't lie and the fixes are due west. Next 3-6 hours are pretty critical as to what happens down the line.

[AutoPenalti]

Looks like it's going to attempt some sort of trochoidal oscillation.

[floridasun78]

:roll:

 https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/906339796003573761

look bit too high wind for miami?

[gatorcane]

You can see how she slows to a crawl as she landfalls in Cuba:

[SEASON_CANCELED]

You can see how she slows to a crawl as she landfalls in Cuba:

well im done debating irma's direction. Time will tell on that

And prayers go out to that part of cuba

[tgenius]

You can see how she slows to a crawl as she landfalls in Cuba:

But if she spins long enough wouldn't the mountains in the SE part of Cuba disrupt the outflow a bit?

[TeamPlayersBlue]

See a crack in the NW quadrant. Good news. I think Cubas terrain in this part of the island is the highest it has to offer, but its enough to damage the system a bit. Every little bit counts.

[Hurricane Andrew]

How is she strengthening?! She's half on land!

[SEASON_CANCELED]

:roll:

 https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/906339796003573761

look bit too high wind for miami?

Alarmist mode atTWC. She finally met her match in Cuba, Cat 2 probably now... Ernesto 2.0

Its good for ratings.

Im not celebrating yet. Ernest had us whacking out up here aswell

[1900hurricane]

Per best track, it appears that a 140 kt landfall is occurring pretty much right now. I think Irma may be the first NAtl system to make a category 5 landfall in two different areas.

[Michele B]

:roll:

 https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/status/906339796003573761

look bit too high wind for miami?

Those are gusts, aren't they?

[Snowman67]

Looks like she's expanding in size.

[SoupBone]

See a crack in the NW quadrant. Good news. I think Cubas terrain in this part of the island is the highest it has to offer, but its enough to damage the system a bit. Every little bit counts.

It's not. It's actually the flattest in that area. However, it is interacting with the land, causing friction.

[Aric Dunn]

but use this site or the other one that is every few minutes..

it has stopped lilely a small loop from the deepening ... will know if it start moving wnw soon..

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and14.html

[PandaCitrus]

What happens if Irma just sits and spins for hours on the Cuban coast? The models didn't forecast this. does this mean a turn further east?