HDGator wrote:Steve wrote:LoveWeather12 wrote:Could it shift east? I live on the east coast of Florida and the people think we are out of the woods
At best, you'll have tropical storm conditions and hurricane gusts. At worst, you're getting destroyed. Let people think what they want. Don't be them until you are out of the woods.
Excellent summary of where we currently sit on the Florida east coast. These all clears have me ready to puke. People are hugely underestimating the size of the wind field on this storm. The surprise felt today by the west coast of Florida when they thought they were out of the woods is going to be felt by the east coast in 24-36 hours when they see the wind, surge and waves.
The continued reporting of model tracks by lines and spaghetti models lulls the public into a sense of complacency with the actual track of the storm based on its size. I hate to say it but this is going to be a tragic wake up call to both Florida coasts to not focus on the line.
Yeah. I mean I messed up on that other thread and missed the point that TheStormExpert was making with the TWC windspeed graphics (which in retrospect, the eyeroll was funny) for their moving west toward landfall in FL. I read the text and ignored the graphic. But it's tough to know what the top windspeeds will be in SE FL. 80? 125? 145? Pretty much everyone in SFL is screwed with at least some cleanup to do. But part of the mystery of Irma late in the game is who in Florida gets what. IMHO other than the model tracks kind of coalescing on the Western side of the state on the last aggregate, specific location effects are pretty uncertain - and probably more uncertain than usual within a day and a half of US landfall.
