ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jlauderdal]

Euro not forecasting it to explode.

Moderate strengthening to about 928 at landfall is current I believe.

I do understand that's still a terrible storm with life-threatening effects. And also that it's size makes it more difficult. Whether the higher winds make it down to the surface will also be interesting.

At the current rate of deepening, it will be at 928mb by midnight.

Is that the xtrp intensity model?

Sent from my DL8006 using Tapatalk

[Aric Dunn]

Southern outer most eyewall is right on the coast over the flat marshy islands. From here on out it can really start to deepen.

[KBBOCA]

Alex Lamers‏Verified account @AlexJLamers 6m6 minutes ago
Replying to @AlexJLamers

Recon shows model-advertised pressure falls begun. 4mb drop 2:30 to 4 PM. Wind field still very broad. Plays into surge threat. #Irma

[Rail Dawg]

Hurricane Chaser here.

I am in downtown Naples in a tall parking garage.

Will report here live until... well... I can't lol.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Entirely depends on how the inner core reorganizes, but it's entirely possible the MSLP continues to deepen but winds don't catch up, instead the storm just continues to become more and more massive. Ike in 2008 did this after landfall in Cuba.

[Craters]

... Hope to see you after the storm...

Hope that's sooner rather than later, Sanibel. Godspeed!

[Raebie]

Some webcams:

https://www.boston.com/news/national-ne ... in-florida

[NDG]

Wow, while I was getting my backyard ready Irma's pressure already went down to 935mb just like that. I would think that her pressure dropping down to 910 if not a little lower would not be that hard to reach if it has almost 24 hours over water before making landfall in SW FL.

[SouthDadeFish]

This could be the most dangerous storm the FL Keys have seen since 1935. At the very least, since Donna and Betsy in the 60s. Awful situation unfolding.

[tolakram]

Some webcams:

https://www.boston.com/news/national-ne ... in-florida

Nice list, thanks. My computer is already overloaded watching all these streams.

[meriland29]

How long does it usually take winds to catch up to pressure drops?

[galaxy401]

Evacuating now..Put all extra food down disposal...Only wasted about $75 worth and took rest...


Still only about 15mph here in neighborhood...Took last shower for probably a while...


They have expanded the surge zone evacuations to "D"...Germaine Arena Shelter full but taking people anyway...


Just have to set hurricane locks in garage doors...Use T Bar to shut off water main at street...And last exit shutters...Will do idiot check list before leaving...


Hope to see you after the storm...

Late here but good luck with the storm Sanibel. The storm surge will probably be the biggest threat. Hope to see you soon.

[Meteorcane]

This could be the most dangerous storm the FL Keys have seen since 1935. At the very least, since Donna and Betsy in the 60s. Awful situation unfolding.

Wasn't Georges a beast for them?

[Kingarabian]

000
URNT15 KWBC 092041
NOAA2 2711A IRMA HDOB 21 20170909
203130 2407N 07853W 6960 03094 9960 +099 //// 144071 071 044 007 01
203200 2409N 07851W 6955 03103 9967 +097 +095 145072 072 043 006 00
203230 2410N 07850W 6954 03106 9969 +096 +092 147073 073 044 006 03
203300 2413N 07850W 6961 03102 9970 +099 +092 146074 074 039 004 03
203330 2415N 07850W 6961 03103 9972 +100 +087 144073 073 037 003 00
203400 2418N 07849W 6957 03111 9976 +099 +089 144072 072 035 004 00
203430 2420N 07849W 6953 03113 9976 +099 +090 144071 071 035 004 00
203500 2423N 07849W 6954 03115 9983 +095 +090 146072 072 036 005 00
203530 2425N 07849W 6955 03119 9982 +100 +090 144070 070 036 004 00
203600 2428N 07849W 6957 03118 9988 +095 +088 145069 070 036 003 00
203630 2430N 07848W 6956 03122 9996 +092 +088 145069 070 036 002 00
203700 2433N 07848W 6958 03117 9992 +094 +091 145070 072 035 003 00
203730 2435N 07848W 6954 03127 9998 +091 //// 146073 074 033 004 01
203800 2438N 07848W 6958 03123 9999 +092 //// 146071 071 030 003 01
203830 2440N 07847W 6957 03126 0002 +091 +090 147070 071 029 002 00
203900 2443N 07848W 6954 03131 0003 +093 +088 144070 070 027 003 00
203930 2445N 07848W 6958 03129 0010 +090 +088 145069 070 028 003 00
204000 2448N 07850W 6957 03131 0006 +096 +079 141067 069 029 002 00
204030 2450N 07851W 6957 03133 0008 +096 +071 136066 067 027 002 00
204100 2452N 07853W 6958 03130 0001 +100 +071 133064 065 031 002 00

[AdamFirst]

70 MPH gust at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport just reported

almost 200 miles away from the center

[Raebie]

Some webcams:

https://www.boston.com/news/national-ne ... in-florida

Nice list, thanks. My computer is already overloaded watching all these streams.

Lol. I'm just leaving my charger in. Awkward but effective. Marathon is taking a beating even this far out.

[SouthDadeFish]

The outer eyewall is starting to look really well defined on the last few radar scans.

[otowntiger]

CORRECTION: In spite of what tweet says, this seems to be a model, not NWS. Sorry for posting incorrect info.

NWS Forecast - 144 MPH winds for West Coast of FL

Eric Holthaus‏ @EricHolthaus 2h2 hours ago

This isn't a model, this is the actual official NWS forecast. Wind gusts up to 144mph for the West Coast of Florida.

https://twitter.com/EricHolthaus/status ... 9763406849

Retweeting this:

Eric Fisher‏ @ericfisher

NWS forecast wind gust speeds for Southwest Florida and Tampa area. #Irma


 https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/906501278162997249




Image link: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DJSKF9AWAAIVF-r.jpg

yikes!!

[weathaguyry]

Now people are boasting about the "peepholes" they left in their shutters

[Frank P]

Another streaming web cam from Marathon FL

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gaErEed7UPI