ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tarheelprogrammer]

It does look much more impressive sadly, and it still has plenty of time over water. What does the NHC say its max is now?

[meriland29]

It does look much more impressive sadly, and it still has plenty of time over water. What does the NHC say its max is now?

Not up yet, 10 more min..

[CrazyC83]

Has that recon flight given their official values yet for the flight?

The vortex went 113 for the SFMR. I have just enough doubts to hold the intensity for now to 110 kt.

[FLpanhandle91]

It does look much more impressive sadly, and it still has plenty of time over water. What does the NHC say its max is now?

12AM still has her at 120mph. Given the recent pass through the NE and NW eyewall and the unflagged 113kt SFMR, I believe NHC bumps her up to 125 mph at 931mb.

[PTPatrick]

TwC just said they found the slightly higher wind, and reported the drop to 931. But didn't say whether nhc would officially call it...also just said recon no longer finding 2 eyewalls. Although I don't think that means the double wind maxima is gone

[meriland29]

TwC just said they found the slightly higher wind, and reported the drop to 931. But didn't say whether nhc would officially call it

Yeah, just saw that too.

[CaptinCrunch]

Irma now looks to be moving NNW @ 6mph looked like it took a direct move North per radar.

[Alyono]

as I suspected, NHC kept the winds at 105 kts, likely due to flight level winds and flagging

[Sciencerocks]

Looks to be moving almost directly north at a good rate. If it hits the keys it will count as another major landfall.

[Raebie]

as I suspected, NHC kept the winds at 105 kts, likely due to flight level winds and flagging

Really is semantics at this point. That water isn't going away and the winds likely won't get any weaker. It's going to be horrible.

[toto]

Mb 931
Still no change in wind speed.

01:00 AM EDT Sun Sep 10
Location: 23.7°N 81.2°W
Moving: NW at 6 mph
Min pressure: 931 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph



.

[meriland29]

Well yes, still 120mph as per NHC. It will be hourly with the NHC tonight and continuous throughout the night with Recon, right?

[rickybobby]

Irma now looks to be moving NNW @ 6mph looked like it took a direct move North per radar.

Yes that's what wesh 2 just said.

[AubreyStorm]

Cat4 again

[LesKat]

My vibes and prayers and hope for good common sense is with everyone in Florida tonight. My dads house was 27 ft above sea level in Katrina on the MS coast and was thrown off its slab by surge and totaled.

Everyone be safe, hunker down. Hide from the wind and flee from the water

[Raebie]

Well yes, still 120mph as per NHC. It will be hourly with the NHC tonight and continuous throughout the night with Recon, right?

Yeah. Stay tuned. It might get worse. Fingers crossed, right?

Night all.

[meriland29]

Well, I am definitely staying up past my bedtime for sure, good thing I got some strong tea. I just can't believe this madness on the radar

[Alyono]

some here are downplaying the winds far too much. You get cat 4 winds, you are getting destruction regardless as to whether or not you get a surge. See Charley. Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda, and Arcadia were leveled despite minimal surge

[ColdMiser123]

Cat4 again

The 05 next to the 113 KT SFMR means that reading is questionable. Highest non-SFMR flagged reading is 109 KT, which is up from previous passes. Won't take too much for this to regain low-end Category 4 status.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100507
AF302 2911A IRMA HDOB 32 20170910
045730 2406N 08253W 6970 03044 9920 +105 +072 005059 060 054 000 00
045800 2403N 08253W 6967 03049 9919 +104 +073 006059 060 054 001 00
045830 2401N 08254W 6967 03049 9920 +102 +074 007061 061 051 001 00
045900 2359N 08255W 6967 03049 9921 +105 +073 009060 061 050 000 00
045930 2357N 08256W 6969 03047 9918 +105 +078 008061 063 050 000 00
050000 2355N 08256W 6969 03045 9912 +110 +060 002062 063 049 001 00
050030 2352N 08257W 6970 03043 9912 +110 +054 002064 065 048 000 00
050100 2350N 08258W 6964 03047 9914 +106 +068 001065 066 047 001 00
050130 2348N 08259W 6970 03043 9921 +101 +072 002062 066 047 000 00
050200 2346N 08259W 6964 03050 9923 +100 +073 004060 061 046 001 00
050230 2344N 08300W 6967 03045 9921 +101 +069 004058 059 047 000 00
050300 2341N 08301W 6969 03043 9918 +103 +069 003058 059 048 001 00
050330 2339N 08302W 6969 03043 9917 +105 +067 003058 059 048 001 00
050400 2337N 08302W 6966 03045 9922 +099 +071 004057 058 046 002 00
050430 2335N 08303W 6967 03044 9927 +095 +076 006056 056 048 002 00
050500 2333N 08304W 6967 03045 9925 +095 +074 006056 057 046 000 00
050530 2331N 08305W 6966 03049 9927 +097 +067 004057 058 047 001 00
050600 2329N 08305W 6967 03048 9928 +096 +069 003058 058 046 000 00
050630 2326N 08306W 6970 03047 9933 +094 +072 002057 058 046 001 00
050700 2324N 08307W 6966 03053 9937 +092 +077 002056 057 046 001 00
$$