
ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Flooding in St Augustine...
Right, so, landfall at Marco Island concurrent with flooding in Miami, St. Augustine & Charleston.... HUGE STORM
https://twitter.com/WJXTvic/status/906907880535846912
Right, so, landfall at Marco Island concurrent with flooding in Miami, St. Augustine & Charleston.... HUGE STORM
https://twitter.com/WJXTvic/status/906907880535846912
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Let's take a little humor break, shall we?
This is the first thing I think of when I hear the name of this storm:

Now, back to your regularly scheduled coverage of Hurricane Irma Gerd.
(Apologies if this was a bit tasteless.)
This is the first thing I think of when I hear the name of this storm:

Now, back to your regularly scheduled coverage of Hurricane Irma Gerd.
(Apologies if this was a bit tasteless.)
Last edited by 404UserNotFound on Sun Sep 10, 2017 3:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Please note: Never take any statements I make about forecasts at face value, as I am nowhere near professional at that.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Checking in here in Port St Lucie, FL. Tons of tornado warnings around the area. I, surprisingly, still have power- but my lights have been flickering since around 9am this morning. Most people I asked that live near me have no power. Stay safe everyone!
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Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Wilma '05, Matthew '16, Irma '17, just to name a few 

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cat 1 wind maybe... Naples on W side of eyewall and locations on W side of eyewall reporting much lower winds so far... Hope trend continues for peninsula...
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Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
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Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Dan Lindsey @DanLindsey77 4m4 minutes ago
#GOES16 30-sec VIS imagery showing #Irma making a second landfall in Florida #FLwx
https://twitter.com/DanLindsey77/status/906970397324836864
#GOES16 30-sec VIS imagery showing #Irma making a second landfall in Florida #FLwx
https://twitter.com/DanLindsey77/status/906970397324836864
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Someone I know has parents currently in Varadaro and the reports ain't great. There were more than 200 people in the basement of their hotel after evacuations etc.. they have been there for more than 24hours and came out to a lot of devastation.
They were supposed to fly home 4 days ago but their flight was cancelled and then Irma decided to ride the coast longer than expected so they had a tough time.
Hopefully they will be flying home on Tuesday if all is ok and any debris etc.. is cleared up.
They were supposed to fly home 4 days ago but their flight was cancelled and then Irma decided to ride the coast longer than expected so they had a tough time.
Hopefully they will be flying home on Tuesday if all is ok and any debris etc.. is cleared up.
MrStormX wrote:BYG Jacob wrote:By the way, anybody have damage reports for Cuba? They got raked by a major hurricane for a day and I haven't heard anything from there.
Check this article:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/wor ... 651125001/
Damage was pretty bad.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like everyone in the Margate area are out of power, but checking my cameras, somehow still have power.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Can anyone tell me what formula to use to extrapolate winds from velocity data at X beam height to the surface.
Example I am in Ocala using KTBW and want to know what the winds translate to at the surface. KTBW is roughly 90 miles from me.
Thank you.
Example I am in Ocala using KTBW and want to know what the winds translate to at the surface. KTBW is roughly 90 miles from me.
Thank you.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:Looks like everyone in the Margate area are out of power, but checking my cameras, somehow still have power.
Yep, my dads went off at 530 this morning.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
sponger wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Looks like everyone in the Margate area are out of power, but checking my cameras, somehow still have power.
Yep, my dads went off at 530 this morning.
Mayor of Margate messaged me via Messenger to ask if I was okay, I told him that I evacuated a while ago.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
I think the hurricane is east enough on track to maybe take some heat off Sanibel Island...Coming right here...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask

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I believe the sky is falling...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Based on the data from Marco Island, I would set the landfall intensity at 105 kt (assuming a bit higher winds in the Everglades) and a pressure of 936mb.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:http://www.ustream.tv/channel/2TRywcaNHMV
Looks very grim for those there.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:I think the hurricane is east enough on track to maybe take some heat off Sanibel Island...Coming right here...
Yea it seems it's gonna have to wobble quite a bit west to make the next forecast point
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