ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[bqknight]

Getting slammed again here in Orlando at the moment but we still thankfully have power. Seeing lots of green flashes from transformers in the distance though.

Yup. Im in a new building downtown and they must have not built it well, water leaking into my apartment from the balcony.

[snowpocalypse]

Between Tampa & Lakeland - maybe 25 sustained, gusts 50-60, ramped up some over the last 15 min. Lost power a couple hours ago. Seems like it is finally starting the NW motion.

[cjrciadt]

Water coming into my room thru the ac window unit.

[jdjaguar]

Water coming into my room thru the ac window unit.

Duct tape

[Meteorcane]

Just to clarify something here, the winds you see in products by your local NWS office (such as the tabular forecast) are being generated/populated by the NHC and not your local office. Usually the local offices create their own wind grids but in the case of tropical cyclones the NHC takes over creating those grids with their own special tools, this is mainly done for consistency purposes.. e.g. you don't want an abrupt gradient in winds between County Warning Areas (CWAs). Although these gradients are discouraged within the NWS and there are tools that let offices "blend" with their neighbors, in a hurricane this is difficult to do unless one entity is making all the forecasts..

[Blown Away]

NWS Melbourne confirmed wind gusts up to 100 mph along East Coast Central Florida...

[cjrciadt]

while Orlando will see gusts in the 80s from Irma, this will not be a Charley repeat. I do not expect sustained 80+ with gusts over 110 like we had with Charley

Any sensors left working in Kissimmee?

[jdjaguar]

Just to clarify something here, the winds you see in products by your local NWS office (such as the tabular forecast) are being generated/populated by the NHC and not your local office. Usually the local offices create their own wind grids but in the case of tropical cyclones the NHC takes over creating those grids with their own special tools, this is mainly done for consistency purposes.. e.g. you don't want an abrupt gradient in winds between County Warning Areas (CWAs). Although these gradients are discouraged within the NWS and there are tools that let offices "blend" with their neighbors, in a hurricane this is difficult to do unless one entity is making all the forecasts..

It appears the NWS JAX office was a bit late populating NHC data, but at least now I know what we are facing.

thanks!

[MrJames]

Damn...

[aperson]

More flood gauges going into moderate / major flooding with a long way to go for Gainesville / Jacksonville area

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jax

[kranki]

The house is groaning pretty good now and the frogs are croaking something fierce. lol

[MrJames]

Just to clarify something here, the winds you see in products by your local NWS office (such as the tabular forecast) are being generated/populated by the NHC and not your local office. Usually the local offices create their own wind grids but in the case of tropical cyclones the NHC takes over creating those grids with their own special tools, this is mainly done for consistency purposes.. e.g. you don't want an abrupt gradient in winds between County Warning Areas (CWAs). Although these gradients are discouraged within the NWS and there are tools that let offices "blend" with their neighbors, in a hurricane this is difficult to do unless one entity is making all the forecasts..

It appears the NWS JAX office was a bit late populating NHC data, but at least now I know what we are facing.

thanks!

Yeah, 30-40 sustained with 50-60 gusts sounded too good to be true considering what the models were predicting for us. I just hope it doesn't increase any further due to the track adjustment.

[galaxy401]

I am alive and back to Storm2k after Irma moved north of Puerto Rico sparing us from the core winds of 185 mph.There was some damage to homes especially in the NE part of the island like in the little island of Culebra.The main thing that happened was the power grid failure (Is fragil) and that was big because there was no internet nor cellular communications.My prayers go to those S2K friends that took it very hard in the northern Leewards and BVI /U.S Virgin islands.

Glad to hear you are OK. Man that must of been scary seeing an extremely dangerous hurricane getting really close to you. Also glad that Jose missed the islands as well. Certainly was a beast.

[jdjaguar]

Just to clarify something here, the winds you see in products by your local NWS office (such as the tabular forecast) are being generated/populated by the NHC and not your local office. Usually the local offices create their own wind grids but in the case of tropical cyclones the NHC takes over creating those grids with their own special tools, this is mainly done for consistency purposes.. e.g. you don't want an abrupt gradient in winds between County Warning Areas (CWAs). Although these gradients are discouraged within the NWS and there are tools w am.
that let offices "blend" with their neighbors, in a hurricane this is difficult to do unless one entity is making all the forecasts..

It appears the NWS JAX office was a bit late populating NHC data, but at least now I know what we are facing.

thanks!

Yeah, 30-40 sustained with 50-60 gusts sounded too good to be true considering what the models were predicting for us. I just hope it doesn't increase any further due to the track adjustment.

Gust estimate just ticked up to 76mph tomorrow
At my locale off San pablo

[Blown Away]

Damn...

The GFS showed that little E bump and then back to NW... That turned Irma into a Cat 1/2 event for E Coast Florida and may have saved W Coast Fl N of Ft Myers from an extraordinary surge/wind event...

Amazing that GFS model picked that up...

[Pebbles]

The governor of Florida has been yelling from the rooftops this was a statewide event and even shut down every school in the state. That alone should have been a big heads up. We have even been hearing this all the way up in IL. If folks chose not to take it seriously or think it wasn't going to be 'bad' or possibly impact them... I do not know how to say this nicely... but what more do you want? Everyone was told it was a big storm. No one should be blaming anyone else for being surprised or not being warned. They were.

[jdjaguar]

The governor of Florida has been yelling from the rooftops this was a statewide event and even shut down every school in the state. That alone should have been a big heads up. We have even been hearing this all the way up in IL. If folks chose not to take it seriously or think it wasn't going to be 'bad' or possibly impact them... I do not know how to say this nicely... but what more do you want? Everyone was told it was a big storm. No one should be blaming anyone else for being surprised or not being warned. They were.

We are smack in the middle of this statewide storm, what is your point?
Can you pick up some generators and drive down here to help your fellow citizens?

[Pebbles]

The governor of Florida has been yelling from the rooftops this was a statewide event and even shut down every school in the state. That alone should have been a big heads up. We have even been hearing this all the way up in IL. If folks chose not to take it seriously or think it wasn't going to be 'bad' or possibly impact them... I do not know how to say this nicely... but what more do you want? Everyone was told it was a big storm. No one should be blaming anyone else for being surprised or not being warned. They were.

We are smack in the middle of this statewide storm, what is your point?
Can you pick up some generators and drive down here to help your fellow citizens?

My post was in response to people returning hurricane supplies and/or blaming news channels for not being prepared.

As for the personal attack at my willingness to help fellow citizens, I have been in my own way. I also have many times in the past including doing volunteer disaster relief for those that lost there homes to a hurricane and being all up and down damaged areas doing damage assessment while six months pregnant. One can be willing to help those in need and also believe it is not out of line to expect people to take personal responsibility for preparedness.

[Evenstar]

The governor of Florida has been yelling from the rooftops this was a statewide event and even shut down every school in the state. That alone should have been a big heads up. We have even been hearing this all the way up in IL. If folks chose not to take it seriously or think it wasn't going to be 'bad' or possibly impact them... I do not know how to say this nicely... but what more do you want? Everyone was told it was a big storm. No one should be blaming anyone else for being surprised or not being warned. They were.

We are smack in the middle of this statewide storm, what is your point?
Can you pick up some generators and drive down here to help your fellow citizens?

My post was in response to people returning hurricane supplies and/or blaming news channels for not being prepared.

As for the personal attack at my willingness to help fellow citizens, I have been in my own way. I also have many times in the past including doing volunteer disaster relief for those that lost there homes to a hurricane and being all up and down damaged areas doing damage assessment while six months pregnant. One can be willing to help those in need and also believe it is not out of line to expect people to take personal responsibility for preparedness.

Amen, sister.

[TheBigO]

Getting slammed again here in Orlando at the moment but we still thankfully have power. Seeing lots of green flashes from transformers in the distance though.

Man, you don't know how lucky you are to have power right now. We lost ours around 7:00 PM in the Sanford/Heathrow area. Transformers popping all over the place along the horizon.