ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Gustywind]

Why there is no recon by the plane? This thing is organizing and becoming close of the 53 W during the couple of hours even less... time to make good and quick décisions for those who live in the EC, Windwards, Leewards...

[CrazyC83]

Looks like this will be Maria as TD#14 suddenly took the name Lee.

This could really be a big deal too.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Yeah 96l looks to be trouble for same islands devestated by Irma. Will that hold true for Florida? I'm not liking the long term 500mb pattern with massive midlevel high pressure sitting off the midatlantic coast in 7 days. Plenty of time to watch. Things change. I am so ready for this season to be over. Can't wait for our first strong cold front. My storm fatigue factor is near 10 now.

I dont like pattern either...Have feeling this will be a case of faster Jose goes away faster ridge builds deal. I expect a westward trend as time wears on based on this mornings modeling.

[weathaguyry]

Why there is no recon by the plane? This thing is organizing and becoming close of the 53 W during the couple of hours even less... time to make good and quick décisions for those who live in the EC, Windwards, Leewards...

GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 47(55) 14(69) 1(70)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 10(34) 1(35)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15)

Stay safe Gustywind!

[SoupBone]

DISCLAIMER: I don't think this will happen.

When was the last time, the Gulf Coast, Florida (I know it's part of the Gulf Coast, but I always see it as a stand alone), and the East Coast have all been hit with a major in a single season?

[CrazyC83]

DISCLAIMER: I don't think this will happen.

When was the last time, the Gulf Coast, Florida (I know it's part of the Gulf Coast, but I always see it as a stand alone), and the East Coast been hit with a major?

1893 perhaps?

[TheStormExpert]

[Gustywind]

Why there is no recon by the plane? This thing is organizing and becoming close of the 53 W during the couple of hours even less... time to make good and quick décisions for those who live in the EC, Windwards, Leewards...

GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 47(55) 14(69) 1(70)
GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 10(34) 1(35)
GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15)

Stay safe Gustywind!

thanks...

[SoupBone]

At this point I am most concerned for the northern Leewards. Another hit on Barbuda or St. Martin or the Virgin Islands would be unbelievably devastating.

Sadly, there's not much left of Barbuda to destroy, and all of its citizens were evacuated to Antigua.

[Alyono]

At this point I am most concerned for the northern Leewards. Another hit on Barbuda or St. Martin or the Virgin Islands would be unbelievably devastating.

Sadly, there's not much left of Barbuda to destroy, and all of its citizens were evacuated to Antigua.

looks like a greater chance of massive flooding from Martinique through Guadeloupe

[hurricaneCW]

I just hope this takes a long time to organize. Antigua and the Virgin Islands will definitely be under the gun again.

[Fishing]

TWC's Paul Goodloe just used the term "on like donkey kong" when referring to PTC#15. I seriously think this season hasn't gotten to everyone.
Prayers to the islands !

[RT23]

not sure if i am buying into the track, visible imagery shows a more westerly track atm.

[Aric Dunn]

THis is likely more near 60mph at the moment..

[cycloneye]

THis is likely more near 60mph at the moment..

60?

[Aric Dunn]

THis is likely more near 60mph at the moment..

60?

Yep... given forward speed amount of organization with the convection.. if recon were there to close off a circ ( which it very likely is) I would not be surprised if it were 55 to 60 ..

[Aric Dunn]

all the right conditions are there for this to be a hurricane sooner rather than later..

[Kazmit]

Would a stronger storm gain more latitude quicker?

[Aric Dunn]

Would a stronger storm gain more latitude quicker?

there is a tendency for strong hurricanes to have a northerly component. however, it all depends on the ridging. right now the ridging is strong and a steady wnw track is quite likely.

[Gustywind]

THis is likely more near 60mph at the moment..

60?

What? It's already a TS with 95 km/h Aric? You're sure?