ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Geez, my dad in Puerto Rico, just got his power back from Irma. This one will hit his side of the island, he is on the SE side in Aguirre.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
sweetpea wrote:Geez, my dad in Puerto Rico, just got his power back from Irma. This one will hit his side of the island, he is on the SE side in Aguirre.
Hopefully Maria spare us here but we have to be prepared for the worst case scenario and hoping for the best.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
cycloneye wrote:sweetpea wrote:Geez, my dad in Puerto Rico, just got his power back from Irma. This one will hit his side of the island, he is on the SE side in Aguirre.
Hopefully Maria spare us here but we have to be prepared for the worst case scenario and hoping for the best.
Stay safe!! Praying for everyone in the path. This one has me concerned, she is named after my mom. She is hell on wheels.

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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Wow. Didn't expect Maria this quickly. It's going to be challenging for some people who were hit by Irma to prepare again for Maria. Not everything is even back up and running yet.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Well at least it wont be hurricane force winds extending out 100 plus miles like IRMA the high winds "should be" more confined.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
GCANE wrote:With the RI and 37GHz way south of forecast points, I wonder if they scramble recon.
They ought to go in at dawn instead of later in the day.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
gatorcane wrote:Ouch now NHC is forecasting 120 knots. Hope Leewards and Puerto Rico are preparing.
I'm seeing 120 mph in the Discussion, not knots. 120 knots would be 138 mph! Although, I wouldn't rule out that possibility, given Maria's excellent satellite presentation and favorable conditions ahead.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Juan PR
720 PM AST Sat Sep 16 2017
LONG TERM...Tuesday through Friday...
Almost all weather conditions on Tuesday will begin to be
dominated by the approach of then Hurricane Maria. Showers will
begin to increase over the U.S. Virgin Islands, and on the
windward side of Puerto Rico, (northeast, east and southeast).
Currently the confidence is increasing that Hurricane Maria will
pass near to Saint Croix and over Vieques and over the northeast
half of Puerto Rico. Wednesday and Wednesday night. Hurricane
force winds will likely still be over the local waters northwest
of Puerto Rico on Thursday. Bands from Hurricane Maria will pass
over Puerto Rico on Thursday night and Friday with more rain.
Tropical moisture is expected to follow the hurricane over the
following weekend with more heavy rains.
Impacts from the passage of this system will be as serious or more
serious than any system that has passed in the last 15 years if
the track continues as published by the National Hurricane Center.
This would include life threatening winds, flooding and mudslides
and storm surge on the eastern . Danger from falling trees and
powerlines will begin even before the hurricane force winds and
rain.
National Weather Service San Juan PR
720 PM AST Sat Sep 16 2017
LONG TERM...Tuesday through Friday...
Almost all weather conditions on Tuesday will begin to be
dominated by the approach of then Hurricane Maria. Showers will
begin to increase over the U.S. Virgin Islands, and on the
windward side of Puerto Rico, (northeast, east and southeast).
Currently the confidence is increasing that Hurricane Maria will
pass near to Saint Croix and over Vieques and over the northeast
half of Puerto Rico. Wednesday and Wednesday night. Hurricane
force winds will likely still be over the local waters northwest
of Puerto Rico on Thursday. Bands from Hurricane Maria will pass
over Puerto Rico on Thursday night and Friday with more rain.
Tropical moisture is expected to follow the hurricane over the
following weekend with more heavy rains.
Impacts from the passage of this system will be as serious or more
serious than any system that has passed in the last 15 years if
the track continues as published by the National Hurricane Center.
This would include life threatening winds, flooding and mudslides
and storm surge on the eastern . Danger from falling trees and
powerlines will begin even before the hurricane force winds and
rain.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I think the NHC will probably up the wind to 55 mph maybe 60.. given the continued trends.
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I believe the sky is falling...
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:I think the NHC will probably up the wind to 55 mph maybe 60.. given the continued trends.
I don't think the NHC ever uses 55 mph. Unless you mean knots.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hello microwave imagessss.. whhheeerrreee arrreeeee yooouuuuu ?
All we have is this BLurry AMSUB image.. still clearly showing a eyewall underway..

All we have is this BLurry AMSUB image.. still clearly showing a eyewall underway..

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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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I believe the sky is falling...
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Yeah, SSMIS passes have been MIA for some reason.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Long duration Convective Burst, 2 Hours, of Hot Towers (Yellow Dots) creating the Eyewall around 12N 53W










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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like Maria was entered as 40 kt for 00Z in best track, which is strange with SAB and TAFB both at 3.0 (45 kt verbatim).
AL, 15, 2017091700, , BEST, 0, 123N, 531W, 40, 1004, TS, 34, NEQ, 40, 30, 0, 40, 1012, 150, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, MARIA, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 028,
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
After Irma and coming back on Tuesday night(thankfully came to a home intact and with power) after being away since Friday, I may have to watch/prepare for Maria also here in Jacksonville, Florida?
Prayers to those that may/will get Maria.....
Prayers to those that may/will get Maria.....
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Stay safe y'all
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion
DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
16/2345 UTC 12.3N 53.2W T3.0/3.0 MARIA
16/2345 UTC 12.3N 53.2W T3.0/3.0 MARIA
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