ATL: MARIA - Models

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Now will it mis the DR to the north like Irma?

[Aric Dunn]

not likely.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Good for S. FLA bad for the DR.

[Aric Dunn]

Good for S. FLA bad for the DR.

everyting from the floirida straights to NE are still equally in play right now..

[Miami Storm Tracker]

This far out I agree that is one big cone, none of us need another one so soon. I don't normally pay attention to local news, but one met just said most model when it nears the Bahamas that it should move north of Florida. Not sure I would be that confident this far out.

[CrazyC83]

At this point, the cone stretches from Suriname to Iceland.

[WeatherEmperor]

At this point, the cone stretches from Suriname to Iceland.

Hey I was born in Suriname. Not often I hear Storm2k mention it lol. But yes so many places are still in play. Models are keeping Jose around a bit longer so lets see how that affects Maria


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[shah83]

The problem with false intensities for high latitude storms needs to be fixed and pronto.

[cjrciadt]

Staying just off the coasts! Stair stepping to the Bahamas!

[Aric Dunn]

And this time around the patter changes around again... throwing this GFS out as well. at least past 3 days.

[Alyono]

not usableafter PR

GFS thinks Jose will somehow intensify after it goes stationary over cool waters. Whole run should be thrown out after 132 hours as it is not physically possible as GFS portrays it to be

[SFLcane]

Weakness " excape alley " left by Jose there once again should allow for this to to recurve.

[shah83]

well, for theoretical purposes, how warm are the waters up there?

[boca]

Is the strength of Jose that the GFS portraying turning Marie to the north into the weakness?

[SFLcane]

Is the strength of Jose that the GFS portraying turning Marie to the north into the weakness?

Yep models seem to be owning on that right now. Jose leaving enough of a weakness

[txwatcher91]

well, for theoretical purposes, how warm are the waters up there?

Technically, waters are actually pretty warm if it stalls east like the GFS shows.

[AxaltaRacing24]

This is comical

[sma10]

The models seem hellbent on insisting that Jose and Maria ultimately do a tango. Not sure how believable this is.

[Alyono]

well, for theoretical purposes, how warm are the waters up there?

they will be around 68-70F if Jose moves as slowly as GFS says it will. This slow of a motion causes those temps off of the Carolinas like in Ophelia in 2005, much less the already cool north Atlantic

[Aric Dunn]

this is hilarious.. lol