ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane Andrew]

what do you all think.. could we all crowd fund about a few hundred million dollars to have a geostationary microwave satellite for the atlantic ? lol

Well, how many members does s2k have? If each donates a thousand bucks...

[Aric Dunn]

crazy high hot tower.....

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-abi

channel 4 ir ..

[Craters]

crazy high hot tower.....

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-abi

channel 4 ir ..

Aric -- I'm getting an error with that URL. Is it complete?

[Aric Dunn]

crazy high hot tower.....

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-abi

channel 4 ir ..

Aric -- I'm getting an error with that URL. Is it complete?

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and14.html

[Craters]

crazy high hot tower.....

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-abi

channel 4 ir ..

Aric -- I'm getting an error with that URL. Is it complete?

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and14.html

Hah! That worked -- thanks!

[NotSparta]

Trying to build a CDO

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

MARIA is likely building a small core atm, the next 6 hrs will be interesting..

[cheezyWXguy]

After multiple pulses of convection directly over the center over the last few hours, the most recent appears to be the most intense. Starting to see that infamous "fist" or "9" shape as well. May still be a little too early to say for sure, but this is beginning to look like the anticipated intensification phase...
"

[EquusStorm]

Definitely has 'the look'. Won't be surprised to wake up to something very near hurricane intensity.

[djones65]

According to the Best Track ATCF database Maria is up to 55 knots (65 mph) as of 06:00 UTC!
Recon may find our 7th hurricane of the 2017 season when it investigates at 1800 UTC today! Wow!

[1900hurricane]

Ehh, not a bad curved band, but there's still plenty of core building to be done.

[GCANE]

Convection firing on the CoC
Should see intensification into day break.

[flamingosun]

65 mph at 5
sigh

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Maria Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
500 AM AST Sun Sep 17 2017

...MARIA STRENGTHENING..


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 54.9W
ABOUT 460 MI...740 KM ESE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES

[otowntiger]

.

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

It's getting there about half way into a build.

[jlauderdal]

First off, good luck to our friends in the islands including the bahamas. So the gfs does the loop with jose which keeps him around long enough to provide a weakness, euro has no consistency run to run, see more on the models thread, its well discussed there. Really things are no clearer today beyond PR than they were yesterday...gulf to nova scotia has to watch it but strike zone is same as irma at this point key west to the outer banks but much less confidence than irma at the same time frame. Jose is a big player depending on the route he takes and how long it takes to complete his route

And this is deja vu they started advisories on irma...NHC on the left side

The official track forecast is a blend of the latest GFS and ECMWF
predictions, and lies on the left side of the guidance envelope.

[GCANE]

37GHz fixes still staying south of forecast points

[GCANE]

Stronger rotation after deep convective bursts.

[GCANE]

Pretty close to Cat 1

[jlauderdal]

37GHz fixes still staying south of forecast points

its to the left and hurricane center track is left of consensus...irma redux