ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#661 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:55 am

Be safe and Godspeed Gustywind!! Praying continually for all down there!!
1 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#662 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:56 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Very impressive radar presentation.

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/909766510675099648




where did he get that radar color scheme from ?

Insane eye... :cry:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#663 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:57 am

northjaxpro wrote:Be safe and Godspeed Gustywind!! Praying continually for all down there!!

thanks a lot, things are getting worst all the islands between Martinica and Antigua... :cry:
2 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#664 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 8:59 am

well I found this... no controls though

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#665 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:04 am

Core is really heating up now.
Eye becoming evident on 8.4um.
Check the eyewall hot tower to its immediate east.
Shrinking eye - worst case scenario.

Image
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
terstorm1012
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1314
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 5:36 pm
Location: Millersburg, PA

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#666 Postby terstorm1012 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:12 am

this is not what I want to see. my thoughts are with everyone in the islands!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#667 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:14 am

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6059
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:
Contact 1900hurricane

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#668 Postby 1900hurricane » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:16 am

The eye is trying to emerge.

 https://twitter.com/DanLindsey77/status/909782025078546432


1 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Top
User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:
Contact Tireman4

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#669 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:17 am

Gustywind wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Stay safe to those in the Leewards and Puerto Rico who will be impacted by Maria.

Thanks a lot Gatorcane. :) Guadeloupe should be on red alert cyclone at 12 AM given the authorities.



Stay safe Gusty..keep us updated...
1 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#670 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:21 am

Would be better if this was zoomed in more... but you can clearly see the eye now.. very tiny tiny..

slide back and forth at end of loop

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... -200-1-100
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#671 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:22 am

looks like we have a close eyewall now..
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#672 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:30 am

Given this is a NE quad pass the convection in the eyewall is deeper and it is closed.. I say recon finds 120 mph with some hints of it being even higher..
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#673 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:34 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Would be better if this was zoomed in more... but you can clearly see the eye now.. very tiny tiny..

slide back and forth at end of loop

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... -200-1-100


Go to Slider and use Mesoscale 2 for Sector
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#674 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:36 am

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Would be better if this was zoomed in more... but you can clearly see the eye now.. very tiny tiny..

slide back and forth at end of loop

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... -200-1-100


Go to Slider and use Mesoscale 2 for Sector


Convective Burst making just about a complete rotation.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/ ... mmb-slider
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#675 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:37 am

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Would be better if this was zoomed in more... but you can clearly see the eye now.. very tiny tiny..

slide back and forth at end of loop

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... -200-1-100


Go to Slider and use Mesoscale 2 for Sector


dont see it..
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#676 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:39 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:Would be better if this was zoomed in more... but you can clearly see the eye now.. very tiny tiny..

slide back and forth at end of loop

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... -200-1-100


Go to Slider and use Mesoscale 2 for Sector


dont see it..

A 10 mile eye isnt going to last very long before an EWRC kicks in.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SouthDadeFish
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2835
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:54 pm
Location: Miami, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthDadeFish

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#677 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:40 am

It's really ramping up on radar now. Eyewall is very well defined. I'm growing increasingly concerned for what recon is about to find in this center pass.
1 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#678 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:41 am

wow look how quickly the eyewall has closed, deepened and thickened..

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... f_com.html
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#679 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:42 am

SouthDadeFish wrote:It's really ramping up on radar now. Eyewall is very well defined. I'm growing increasingly concerned for what recon is about to find in this center pass.


well if the earlier eyewall drop was any indication.. 120 plus is quite possible.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
dukeblue219
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 535
Joined: Fri Sep 30, 2016 3:52 pm

Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#680 Postby dukeblue219 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 9:46 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:It's really ramping up on radar now. Eyewall is very well defined. I'm growing increasingly concerned for what recon is about to find in this center pass.


well if the earlier eyewall drop was any indication.. 120 plus is quite possible.


It's all going to depend on where they drop. With the storm still ramping it wouldn't surprise me to see the SFMR readings around 95-100 knots but a dropsonde fall through something crazy like 135 knots a few hundred feet up.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2017”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 10 guests