ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1001 Postby AutoPenalti » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:28 pm

chris46n wrote:Chances of this hitting s florida are very slim.......

Can we stop with the slim chances here? As of now, we are all at equal chances of something along the east coast. We won't know for sure who gets it until we are 2-3 days out.
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1002 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:28 pm

with a cat 5 ( if it is ) wont matter much when its moving this slow. but the capital looks like it might end up on the southern eyewall..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1003 Postby Exalt » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:29 pm

What's with this trend of this year's Cat 5s looking like WPAC Super Typhoons..? The structure is much different.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1004 Postby Raebie » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:29 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like concentric rings on radar now. Let's see if recon observes a double wind maximum.


Any chance it could weaken before landfall if an EWRC is starting?
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1005 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:29 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like concentric rings on radar now. Let's see if recon observes a double wind maximum.


yep and the eyewall is starting rotate around in it a little.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1006 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:30 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:
chris46n wrote:Chances of this hitting s florida are very slim.......


Laughably presumptive statement. Too far out and too many variables.



South Florida chances are pretty slim right now based on the setup. I wouldn't rule it out, but he's correct.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1007 Postby madinina972 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:31 pm

Here in martinica, info TV said the end of violet alerte but more winds ?!
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1008 Postby Exalt » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:32 pm

Raebie wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like concentric rings on radar now. Let's see if recon observes a double wind maximum.


Any chance it could weaken before landfall if an EWRC is starting?


All depends on how this ERC goes, considering what we saw with Irma, it may not..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1009 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:33 pm

Exalt wrote:
Raebie wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like concentric rings on radar now. Let's see if recon observes a double wind maximum.


Any chance it could weaken before landfall if an EWRC is starting?


All depends on how this ERC goes, considering what we saw with Irma, it may not..


not enough time from now till landfall to have a impact..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1010 Postby Hurrilurker » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:33 pm

This season seems dead set on leveling every island in the Caribbean, I've never seen anything like it.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1011 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:34 pm

I think the GFS showed a northerly jog about now, wonder if the EWRC could actually bring it about?
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1012 Postby dukeblue219 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:34 pm

925mb and 139 knots SFMR!! Wow

URNT15 KNHC 182331
AF303 0315A MARIA HDOB 16 20170918
232300 1533N 06114W 6965 03057 9956 +099 +099 055071 072 055 012 00
232330 1532N 06113W 6974 03033 9944 +102 +102 057073 078 062 014 03
232400 1530N 06112W 6975 03020 9927 +104 +104 058080 083 065 019 00
232430 1529N 06111W 6963 03014 9904 +103 +103 058082 085 071 022 03
232500 1528N 06110W 6968 02983 9875 +107 +107 059091 096 075 036 03
232530 1527N 06109W 6962 02965 9839 +113 +113 067100 101 084 024 00
232600 1526N 06108W 6981 02905 9784 +120 +120 062099 103 094 023 00
232630 1525N 06107W 6969 02880 9738 +120 +120 062110 113 100 035 00
232700 1524N 06106W 6973 02826 9686 +121 +121 063119 122 104 048 00
232730 1523N 06105W 6971 02770 9622 +121 +121 062128 132 123 064 00
232800 1522N 06104W 6957 02706 9533 +127 +127 065129 136 139 050 00
232830 1521N 06103W 6991 02592 9430 +138 //// 065096 118 152 017 05
232900 1520N 06103W 6963 02576 9344 +155 +136 074051 082 /// /// 03
232930 1518N 06102W 6970 02548 9329 +156 +104 078029 035 040 002 00
233000 1516N 06102W 6972 02528 9287 +182 +099 055014 029 034 001 03
233030 1515N 06101W 6973 02520 9259 +207 +096 252016 029 035 001 03
233100 1514N 06059W 6975 02544 9325 +165 +123 230071 090 078 005 03
233130 1513N 06057W 6967 02651 9477 +137 +137 219119 125 122 020 00
233200 1512N 06056W 6972 02755 9591 +129 //// 212119 125 122 018 05
233230 1511N 06055W 6969 02808 9648 +127 +127 213110 116 118 016 00
Last edited by dukeblue219 on Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1013 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:34 pm

926mb, 139 knot SFMR!!!

Not even the quadrant with the strongest winds, I believe.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1014 Postby Exalt » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:34 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
not enough time from now till landfall to have a impact..


Exactly, it has plenty room and warm SSTs to restrengthen..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1015 Postby sikkar » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm

Can you post the radar link again please, thanks.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1016 Postby Gustywind » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:with a cat 5 ( if it is ) wont matter much when its moving this slow. but the capital looks like it might end up on the southern eyewall..

Aric Dunn...do you think that a Cat 5 is possible close to Dominica or Guadeloupe tonight? That seems unreal and worrying if that happens. Any thoughts? Thanks. Gustywind
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1017 Postby ronjon » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm

Raebie wrote:
rickybobby wrote:Tom from cbs 6 said this will be over 300 miles off the coast of Florida. Not a threat to FL or US.


Tom from CBS is an idiot.


Was he the same guy that showed all the offshore spaghetti models, saying south florida dodged the bullet with Irma? :lol:
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1018 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:35 pm

232830 1521N 06103W 6991 02592 9430 +138 //// 065096 118 152 017 05

152 sfmr NW quad..
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1019 Postby galaxy401 » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:36 pm

:eek: :eek: :eek:

Pray for everyone in Dominica.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1020 Postby Raebie » Mon Sep 18, 2017 6:36 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:This season seems dead set on leveling every island in the Caribbean, I've never seen anything like it.


Where's the dislike button?
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