ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gtalum]

Googling Dominica, I see only the reports that came in via Facebook last night from the nation's Prime Minister. Nothing since.

[vbhoutex]

The track in PR may go right over the giant radio telescope at Arecibo in mountainous terrain. My uncle worked there with Cornell University in building that facility.

Ouch!! I forget that very important facility is there. I'm sure they have procedures to secure, but with CAT5 winds a possibility, I wonder how much they can do?

[Aric Dunn]

The track in PR may go right over the giant radio telescope at Arecibo in mountainous terrain. My uncle worked there with Cornell University in building that facility.

Ouch!! I forget that very important facility is there. I'm sure they have procedures to secure, but with CAT5 winds a possibility, I wonder how much they can do?

I Know ! without it Dr. Araway wont be able to find the signal with instructions to build a "device" that send you through a wormhole to meet "dear ole dad"

no good ..

[utweather]

The track in PR may go right over the giant radio telescope at Arecibo in mountainous terrain. My uncle worked there with Cornell University in building that facility.

Not looking good for Puerto Rico. Any info on how many shelters are available and filled up? Any way to get a mass evacuation this late if they are full? Whats the plan??

[dukeblue219]

Peak flight level winds 143kt on this pass, pressure extrapolates to 927.8. Looks like we lost another 1mb or so while maintaining winds.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

What cities in PR are prone to storm surge, (and)has there ever been such event in the past? Not quite enlightened yet on Antillean and Caribbean geography....

[RL3AO]

San Juan has a really good chance at seeing the eyewall. I hope people are as prepared as they can be.

[loro-rojo]

The track in PR may go right over the giant radio telescope at Arecibo in mountainous terrain. My uncle worked there with Cornell University in building that facility.

Not looking good for Puerto Rico. Any info on how many shelters are available and filled up? Any way to get a mass evacuation this late if they are full? Whats the plan??

According to the governor this morning... 500 shelters available but only 299 people using them.

[loro-rojo]

San Juan has a really good chance at seeing the eyewall. I hope people are as prepared as they can be.

They are. People are on the verge of panic. No one is taking this one lightly.

[abajan]

It'd be nice if there were a right shift to spare PR the worst.

Except that that would increase the threat to the Virgin Islands, who were already battered almost into oblivion by Irma!

[tolakram]

200 frame visible. The darn eye continues to shrink.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso2-02-200-1-100

[SoupBone]

San Juan has a really good chance at seeing the eyewall. I hope people are as prepared as they can be.

Not just the eyewall, but specifically the NE quad if the Euro holds true. I really hope they are prepared. What's the expected impact timeline for Puerto Rico?

[Ken711]

San Juan has a really good chance at seeing the eyewall. I hope people are as prepared as they can be.

Not just the eyewall, but specifically the NE quad if the Euro holds true. I really hope they are prepared. What's the expected impact timeline for Puerto Rico?

From 2 AM through say 2-3 PM on Wednesday.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... d_wind.png

[wxman57]

I notice that all the SFMR winds are flagged as being unreliable. An issue with the instrument, perhaps?

[SouthDadeFish]

If you extrapolate the motion since landfall in Dominica, the eye of Maria would pass directly over Puerto Rico and very near San Juan. I'm not saying that will for sure happen, but it's not a good sign...

[Aric Dunn]

pressure 928 mb

[mpic]

Have there been any reports from Dominica yet? I checked online but it seems communications are still down over there.

Check here https://m.facebook.com/DominicaNewsOnline/

[dukeblue219]

I notice that all the SFMR winds are flagged as being unreliable. An issue with the instrument, perhaps?

They're not just flagged but if I've been reading it correctly they're simply not reported at all.

Also, vortex message is out:
URNT12 KNHC 191442
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL152017
A. 19/14:24:40Z
B. 16 deg 17 min N
063 deg 03 min W
C. 700 mb 2498 m
D. NA
E. NA
F. 100 deg 143 kt
G. 014 deg 7 nm
H. 928 mb
I. 10 C / 3047 m
J. 20 C / 3042 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C10
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1.5 nm
P. AF305 0415A MARIA OB 23
MAX FL WIND 144 KT 093 / 14 NM 13:10:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 190 / 17 KT

[SouthDadeFish]

pressure 928 mb

With 17 kt winds at splash. Minimum pressure likely between 926-927 mb now.

[jdjaguar]

If you extrapolate the motion since landfall in Dominica, the eye of Maria would pass directly over Puerto Rico and very near San Juan. I'm not saying that will for sure happen, but it's not a good sign...

what about St. Croix?

I am in contact with an old college friend who is riding it out in her house with her 4 dogs.

Very Concerned about her safety!