invest man wrote:txwatcher91 wrote:invest man wrote:I think the sharp turn ene is due to the weakness left by Jose. Look at the model where they last show Jose remnants and it looks like Maria is head to that spot. Not saying front and ULL is not playing in it but it funny how it takes off toward those remnants. I wonder if models are overly hanging these remnants around to long?
The being left behind doesn't sound good! Are you thinking over Hatteras or even ENC/ Albemarle and Pamlico sounds!
There is a trough swinging through southern Canada that will act to kick it east. The concern is the GFS has been trending a bit weaker and flatter with that trough and building a HP in instead. It’s possible if that trend continues that Maria could get left behind... I hope not.
I don’t think it will get left behind... but it’s something to watch out for as a trough passing too far north would leave it drifting around either offshore or just inland. Even then a 24 hour storm just sitting and pounding the coast is going to be bad.