ATL: LEE - Post-Tropical Low - Discussion

[storm_in_a_teacup]

After being underestimated and ignored, Lee wrote a song. It's called "Look What You Made Me Do."

The funny thing is I myself have given some thought to if hurricanes could perform music, what kind of music would each storm like. Only have done this for storms from decades ago though.

...But in any case he's a smol boi. Though not quite a teacup storm

(Whoops. Harvey made me sad for a while, but now I am back to cracking jokes all the time again. I guess not even my hometown going underwater can change who I am.)

[storm_in_a_teacup]

2017 is the year of RIs. Even if you thought it was dead and gone, it still comes back alive and RIs.

Dammit. I already wasted many hours of my life writing a story about Hurricane Harvey's weird life where it's constantly getting battered and then exploding in intensity and then shortly after being thrown onto land where it then continues clinging onto life somehow. Now you're making me want to do one about Lee.

I swear this season is like a hurricane sports movie or something. Lots of storms that keep fighting back against all odds and coming back from big defeats.

Meanwhile, I'm quite comfortable here in my teacup. I'm not going to develop much, but at least it's always 150 degrees Fahrenheit.

[EquusStorm]

New advisory keeps at 80kt and lowers peak slightly.

[TheAustinMan]

Lee is looking quite well organized with new convective initiation around the eyewall. I'm not entirely convinced of the current Dvorak estimates.

[1900hurricane]

Storm size is screwing with ADT.

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/912093198209765376




 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/912094135892549632

[Hammy]

That casts some serious doubt on the current intensity estimates.

[1900hurricane]

Not far off from becoming embedded in light grey honestly.

[Hammy]

NHC kept at 80kt but I'm putting it in my archive at 85kt given the similar appearance to Ivan in 1980 (which was 90kt) though it's probably even higher than that.

[EquusStorm]

Honestly, I really hope forecasters don't put as much stock in ADT values for these super tiny storms for such reasons, unless there is recon support from previous similar storms. I know high latitude systems seem to look more impressive at lower overall intensities, but structurally this seems way more akin to a 90+ kt storm...

[1900hurricane]

The fact that GOES-16 is still getting warmer eye temps than GOES-13 despite a VZA >55º speaks of the satellite's spatial resolution. It also means that the eye is probably a little warmer than either satellite can measure.

For the record, MG CDO w/OW eye and MG or LG ring is a DT of 4.5 (77 kt). LG CDO w/OW eye or a MG CDO w/WMG eye and LG ring is a DT of 5.0 (90 kt). LG CDO w/WMG eye is a DT of 5.5 (102 kt).

[wxmann_91]

T
For the record, MG CDO w/OW eye and MG or LG ring is a DT of 4.5 (77 kt). LG CDO w/OW eye or a MG CDO w/WMG eye and LG ring is a DT of 5.0 (90 kt). LG CDO w/WMG eye is a DT of 5.5 (102 kt).

English, please!

[supercane4867]

Looks T5.0 worthy to me, assuming the actual eye temp is warmer than GOES-13 shown due to resolution issues.

[1900hurricane]

T
For the record, MG CDO w/OW eye and MG or LG ring is a DT of 4.5 (77 kt). LG CDO w/OW eye or a MG CDO w/WMG eye and LG ring is a DT of 5.0 (90 kt). LG CDO w/WMG eye is a DT of 5.5 (102 kt).

English, please!

Ugh, didn't want to type all that out. DT is Data T# from the Dvorak Technique. CDO is Central Dense Overcast (though you know that one, but others may not). All the others are colors on the Basic Dvorak (BD) enhanced infrared color curve. In order from warmest to coldest, WMG is warm medium grey, OW is off-white, DG is dark grey, MG is medium grey, LG is light grey, B is black, W is white, CMG is cold medium grey, and CDG is cold dark grey. I mentioned WMG, OW, MG, and LG above. If you want to derive a DT using the Dvorak Technique's eye pattern, here's how to do it:



And here are the corresponding intensities:

[EquusStorm]

Let's take a moment to admire one of the weirdest wind speed history graphics we've seen in a good while...

[storm_in_a_teacup]

Let's take a moment to admire one of the weirdest wind speed history graphics we've seen in a good while...

I think I saw an advisory refer to the storm as "Tiny Lee."
That's it. I'm appending "Tiny" to the name from now on.
...Can you call a storm cute?

[aperson]

Looks like Lee is fetching some more water vapor and becoming a bit less smol, upgrade from nanocane to microcane?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

[EquusStorm]

Well, by official advisory, Lee has higher winds now than Maria. I suspect it has for most of the day in reality though.

[Sciencerocks]

Looks to be about 90knts...Small pin hole eye with nearly perfect cdo.

Could argue for 95knt?

[abajan]

Let's take a moment to admire one of the weirdest wind speed history graphics we've seen in a good while...

[img]https://walkercountytornadoes.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/023913_wind_history.png[img]

I think I saw an advisory refer to the storm as "Tiny Lee."
That's it. I'm appending "Tiny" to the name from now on.
...Can you call a storm cute?

And if it hits Cat 3, we'll all proclaim that Lee Majors.

[tolakram]

Bionic Lee!