Storm by storm (through November 1), here is what I think:
Tropical Storm ArleneCase FOR retirement: None at all, despite 11 attempts
Case AGAINST retirement: Stayed far from land
My probability of retirement: 0%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm BretCase FOR retirement: Not much of any
Case AGAINST retirement: Very weak storm, not much land impact
My probability of retirement: 2%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm CindyCase FOR retirement: Some land impacts
Case AGAINST retirement: Weak storm, relatively low impact overall
My probability of retirement: 3%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm DonCase FOR retirement: Not much of any (yeah, I know the political factor, but that may not be an issue in 2023)
Case AGAINST retirement: No real land impacts
My probability of retirement: 2%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm EmilyCase FOR retirement: Not much of any (if not retired after 1987, 1993 or 2005, definitely not now)
Case AGAINST retirement: Very weak storm, minimal land impacts
My probability of retirement: 2%
Verdict:
Hurricane FranklinCase FOR retirement: Hurricane impact in central Mexico with some damage
Case AGAINST retirement: Overall damage not too significant; no fatalities
My probability of retirement: 5%
Verdict:
Hurricane GertCase FOR retirement: Not at all
Case AGAINST retirement: Never impacted land
My probability of retirement: 0%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane HarveyCase FOR retirement: Catastrophic impacts from wind and flooding; deadly storm and top 5 costliest
Case AGAINST retirement: None at all
My probability of retirement: 100%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane IrmaCase FOR retirement: See Harvey, except in the Caribbean and Florida with multiple countries having retirement cases and extremely intense
Case AGAINST retirement: None at all
My probability of retirement: 100%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane JoseCase FOR retirement: Very intense storm, sent fear into the Caribbean and remembered by them
Case AGAINST retirement: Overall impact minimal
My probability of retirement: 10%
Verdict:
Hurricane KatiaCase FOR retirement: Hurricane impact in southern Mexico; damage noted
Case AGAINST retirement: Overshadowed by other storms; similar to Franklin with modest impact
My probability of retirement: 10%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane LeeCase FOR retirement: None at all
Case AGAINST retirement: Remained far from land, despite its high intensity
My probability of retirement: 0%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane MariaCase FOR retirement: See Harvey and Irma, except even more intense
Case AGAINST retirement: None at all
My probability of retirement: 100%
Verdict:
Hurricane NateCase FOR retirement: Severe impact from flooding in Central America; locally significant US damage
Case AGAINST retirement: Very weak storm until reaching Gulf; no US deaths and damage not extreme there
My probability of retirement: 35%
Verdict:
Major Hurricane OpheliaCase FOR retirement: Significant impact in the British Isles; unprecedented storm for the NE Atlantic
Case AGAINST retirement: Ireland not on committee and UK is primarily on for Bermuda; little impact elsewhere
My probability of retirement: 15%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm PhilippeCase FOR retirement: Not much of any
Case AGAINST retirement: Very weak storm; not much land impact
My probability of retirement: 2%
Verdict:
Tropical Storm RinaCase FOR retirement: None at all
Case AGAINST retirement: Stayed far from land
My probability of retirement: 0%
Verdict: ![Door :Door:](./images/smilies/10_1_103.gif)