WeatherEmperor wrote:The September 25th update is as follows:
Region 3.4 is at -0.4C
Region 3 is at -1.0C
Region 1+2 is at -1.1C
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Looks like 3.4 warmed this week.
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WeatherEmperor wrote:The September 25th update is as follows:
Region 3.4 is at -0.4C
Region 3 is at -1.0C
Region 1+2 is at -1.1C
Sent from my iPhone 7 using Tapatalk
Dean_175 wrote:Ntxw - why do you think they upgraded to ERSSTv5 so soon after the previous version was released (2 years ago).
Also shows 1965 as a borderline super-Nino (like 1972).
Ntxw wrote:You are also right to point out that 1965-1966 is now Super status with 2C reading on par with 1972-1973
Kingarabian wrote:GFS backing off a central Pacific based WWB and now has it in the EPac.
Kingarabian wrote:GFS backing off a central Pacific based WWB and now has it in the EPac.
Ntxw wrote:Despite all that, according to buoys it has warmed some. Perhaps closer to -0.2C or so. The Nina may not make the new ersstv5 which has proven to stick closer to the weeklies from OISST. Still time for it to make a late push.
Digital-TC-Chaser wrote: What i find interesting is when its trending nino this thread is alive
when its nina there is not much interest.
Ntxw wrote:Digital-TC-Chaser wrote: What i find interesting is when its trending nino this thread is alive
when its nina there is not much interest.
The natural base state of the tropical Pacific is cooler waters. Trade winds is normal and a Nina is just an extension of that.
El Nino is unusual and reverse effect with large global implications from the norm thus flashier. If it was sunny all the time, there would not be much interest in weather discussion. Similar applications here.
chaser1 wrote:Ntxw wrote:Digital-TC-Chaser wrote: What i find interesting is when its trending nino this thread is alive
when its nina there is not much interest.
The natural base state of the tropical Pacific is cooler waters. Trade winds is normal and a Nina is just an extension of that.
El Nino is unusual and reverse effect with large global implications from the norm thus flashier. If it was sunny all the time, there would not be much interest in weather discussion. Similar applications here.
I agree but would add that if we were looking at a very (or extreme) La Nina beginning to set up, that those possible major climate implications might also garner a good deal more interest as well. Overall though, I myself find this thread generally muddled in predominantly numeric data readings discussion and incremental data updates. Perhaps most people that follow severe weather or hurricanes are more interested in just knowing what the overall base state "is" or "is going to be" then the batter by batter... inning by inning score card. Furthermore, i think the fact that often times the cause and effect ENSO impacts begin more subtly and with some lag in time, that the week to week changes just have minimal relevence for most present & nearer term minded time perspectives.
Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:With respect nina is the extreme opposite of nino. Its a big deal too other country's outside of the
usa. If there was a large warm pool moving east no doubt a few would be highlighting every warm
anom across the cpac epac. And the only reason is because the cpac epac hurricane numbers
sky rocket during nino phase's. So yeah keep it factual.
Hammy wrote:Not sure if it's too early to ask, but since it's October, what are the chances of snow for NE Georgia this winter with La Nina? I researched the last several and there was wide variance, so what should I expect when other factors (PDO, NAO, etc) are taken into consideration?
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