ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

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SunnyThoughts
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#881 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Oct 05, 2017 2:42 pm

Seems to me in order for the system to be somewhere along the coast by Sunday, it needs to start moving a little faster now. Only 72 hours, and still a good way from even entering the gulf.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#882 Postby bella_may » Thu Oct 05, 2017 2:45 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Seems to me in order for the system to be somewhere along the coast by Sunday, it needs to start moving a little faster now. Only 72 hours, and still a good way from even entering the gulf.


Most models have it gaining speed once it reaches the gulf
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#883 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:07 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Spending a lot of time over land. Maybe by the time it gets back over water, the core will be so disrupted it will never re-strengthen at all. One can hope.

Uhh look at what happened with Harvey dissipated in the same area and the remnants hit the yucutan area and rapidly intensified
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#884 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:10 pm

Socalhurcnegirl227 wrote:
SunnyThoughts wrote:Spending a lot of time over land. Maybe by the time it gets back over water, the core will be so disrupted it will never re-strengthen at all. One can hope.

Uhh look at what happened with Harvey dissipated in the same area and the remnants hit the yucutan area and rapidly intensified


Harvey was moving far slower, over deeper warm waters and in a very low shear environment. This will have less than 36 hours over the Gulf.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#885 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:11 pm

the upper low is racing to the SW, however
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#886 Postby N2FSU » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:14 pm

Alyono wrote:the upper low is racing to the SW, however

Implications?
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#887 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:18 pm

N2FSU wrote:
Alyono wrote:the upper low is racing to the SW, however

Implications?


if it moves too far to the SW, it will greatly enhance the outflow
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#888 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:20 pm

Alyono wrote:
N2FSU wrote:
Alyono wrote:the upper low is racing to the SW, however

Implications?


if it moves too far to the SW, it will greatly enhance the outflow


Would it potentially change the track at all?
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#889 Postby NDG » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:27 pm

gotabyte wrote:Just joined site today.

I live just to the East of New Orleans(Slidell) and I'm having to tell people here what is going on. Most don't seem to pay attention to local news anymore. They think I'm joking when mentioning Hurricane hitting here. I keep getting told "That thing is going to Florida".

Picked up generator gas earlier today and supplies and noticed stores had normal traffic.

We may be without power for a few days from trees falling but with generator and fuel we should be good.


I was just listening to WWL radio, I can't believe how lightly they are taking Nate.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#890 Postby BiloxiBeachGuy » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:32 pm

The City of Biloxi is asking people attending Cruisin the Coast to consider leaving early. Also, the Gulfport Music Festival on Saturday has been cancelled, all acts will perform on Friday night only. Self serve sand bags are now available for residents.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#891 Postby NDG » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:34 pm

SoupBone wrote:Why's it so quiet here?


Lower population area, if it would had been heading towards SE TX or FL it would had been a lot busier, is my explanation 8-)
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#892 Postby gatorcane » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:36 pm

NDG wrote:
SoupBone wrote:Why's it so quiet here?


Lower population area, if it would had been heading towards SE TX or FL it would had been a lot busier, is my explanation 8-)


Yeah that and because the models are not enthusiastic about making this into a significant hurricane - maybe we are too used to CAT 4 and CAT 5s that the Atlantic has outputted recently which really are quite rare especially those impacting the mainland.

Regarding movement, Nate should really start to move quickly in the next 24 hours according to the models presumably as it interacts with the trough to the north and has high pressure builds in over Florida/Cuba:
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models

#893 Postby nashrobertsx » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:36 pm

Is something wrong with this thread or have people been quiet for two hours?
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#894 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:37 pm

BiloxiBeachGuy wrote:The City of Biloxi is asking people attending Cruisin the Coast to consider leaving early. Also, the Gulfport Music Festival on Saturday has been cancelled, all acts will perform on Friday night only. Self serve sand bags are now available for residents.


Yeah, lots of festivals being cancelled. Even over in Destin, Fla they cancelled the seafood festival this weekend. Considering the fact yesterday big bend was being talked about, and today locations much farther west, safe to cancel all along the gulf coast I guess.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models

#895 Postby PSUHiker31 » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:42 pm

Does anyone have the EPS? Both sites I use for it show it blank.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models

#896 Postby PSUHiker31 » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:42 pm

nashrobertsx wrote:Is something wrong with this thread or have people been quiet for two hours?


People get less excited on the boards when models show a weaker system.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#897 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:43 pm

BALDWIN COUNTY, Ala. (WKRG) –The Baldwin County Emergency Management Office held a conference call Thursday afternoon with Alabama Governor Kay Ivey.

The Governor recommended voluntary evacuations in the county's coast areas: the Causeway, Orange Beach, and Gulf Shores.

Baldwin EMA officials will hold a 4pm meeting with the city mayors to see what they think of a voluntary evacuation.

As of now, there are no plans to open any shelters in our area.

Governor Ivey is expected to hold a news conference at 5pm on the state's preparation efforts ahead of Tropical Storm Nate.

According to the National Hurricane Center, Nate is expected to begin affecting Alabama over the weekend.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#898 Postby Pearl River » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:49 pm

gotabyte wrote:
Just joined site today.

I live just to the East of New Orleans(Slidell) and I'm having to tell people here what is going on. Most don't seem to pay attention to local news anymore. They think I'm joking when mentioning Hurricane hitting here. I keep getting told "That thing is going to Florida".

Picked up generator gas earlier today and supplies and noticed stores had normal traffic.

We may be without power for a few days from trees falling but with generator and fuel we should be good.


I was just listening to WWL radio, I can't believe how lightly they are taking Nate.


I stopped listening to WWL radio a couple of weeks back. It's hard to explain, but they've gone completely stupid lately.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Models

#899 Postby Steve » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:50 pm

nashrobertsx wrote:Is something wrong with this thread or have people been quiet for two hours?


Models. It's the dry period except for NAM. Speaking of which, Plaquemines Parish then SC MS (Harrison/Jackson Cos, MS).
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... s=0&ypos=0
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Re: ATL: NATE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#900 Postby N2FSU » Thu Oct 05, 2017 3:52 pm

Alyono wrote:
N2FSU wrote:
Alyono wrote:the upper low is racing to the SW, however

Implications?


if it moves too far to the SW, it will greatly enhance the outflow


Thanks!
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