ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

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GCANE
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2261 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:53 pm

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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data

#2262 Postby artist » Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:53 pm

000
UZNT13 KWBC 071939
XXAA 57192 99255 70905 08250 99002 27626 23010 00019 27427 23510
92707 23642 25516 85443 19224 24015 70096 12233 23517 50584 02750
26516 40758 13359 25519 30971 28121 27511 25099 37563 20508 20249
505// 15504 88999 77999
31313 09608 81905
51515 10190 15431
61616 NOAA9 WE16A NATE OB 07
62626 MBL WND 24512 AEV 33460 DLM WND 24513 001169 WL150 24011 08
1 REL 2546N09052W 190530 SPG 2549N09047W 192145 =
XXBB 57198 99255 70905 08250 00002 27626 11850 19224 22697 12034
33538 00118 44508 02329 55493 03557 66472 05344 77459 06761 88446
07561 99360 18950 11351 19962 22327 23340 33308 26526 44266 33950
55249 37763 66212 47147 77169 601//
21212 00002 23010 11976 25511 22937 25515 33850 24015 44750 24516
55623 21514 66583 25011 77556 24012 88492 26518 99458 25521 11382
24518 22347 27511 33311 26015 44292 29510 55230 19012 66169 29506
31313 09608 81905
51515 10190 15431
61616 NOAA9 WE16A NATE OB 07
62626 MBL WND 24512 AEV 33460 DLM WND 24513 001169 WL150 24011 08
1 REL 2546N09052W 190530 SPG 2549N09047W 192145 =
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2263 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 2:57 pm

tolakram wrote:Image


Pretty evident cirrus burn off as eye starts to clear out.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2264 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:04 pm

Jeff is live and alive.
Waiting to see if he'll find another shed.

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1DXGyOqwgqNxM
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data

#2265 Postby artist » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:06 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 071956
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 10 20171007
194600 2744N 09106W 6194 04114 9996 +062 +024 261012 013 020 000 00
194630 2744N 09104W 6353 03901 9994 +076 +029 267009 010 020 000 00
194700 2745N 09101W 6508 03702 9995 +087 +028 289008 009 020 001 00
194730 2745N 09058W 6668 03496 0005 +090 +038 296011 011 018 001 00
194800 2745N 09056W 6830 03294 0008 +097 +066 305005 011 020 000 00
194830 2745N 09053W 6980 03116 0016 +098 +084 306006 006 019 000 00
194900 2745N 09050W 7133 02928 0010 +110 +090 310007 008 019 000 03
194930 2745N 09048W 7318 02712 0011 +120 +090 324008 008 021 000 03
195000 2745N 09045W 7565 02426 0013 +132 +103 322011 013 020 000 03
195030 2745N 09043W 7838 02136 0023 +147 +117 319012 013 /// /// 03
195100 2745N 09040W 8118 01829 0019 +166 +130 318011 013 022 000 00
195130 2744N 09038W 8285 01655 0017 +173 +151 312011 013 022 000 00
195200 2744N 09036W 8405 01523 0013 +173 +160 326015 015 021 001 00
195230 2744N 09034W 8430 01497 0011 +174 +166 343011 015 023 001 00
195300 2743N 09032W 8428 01500 0011 +175 +167 333013 014 020 002 03
195330 2742N 09031W 8426 01500 //// +175 //// 330017 018 019 002 01
195400 2741N 09030W 8429 01499 0012 +175 +170 334016 017 020 002 03
195430 2739N 09029W 8422 01505 0011 +175 +166 346018 019 023 002 00
195500 2737N 09029W 8430 01498 0013 +174 +165 339019 020 018 001 00
195530 2735N 09029W 8429 01501 0012 +175 +165 335017 018 019 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2266 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:06 pm

GCANE wrote:Jeff is live and alive.
Waiting to see if he'll find another shed.

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1DXGyOqwgqNxM

jeff too much drama he make it like end of world
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2267 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:07 pm

The front is approaching quickly from the north. Should make the turn soon.

Image
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2268 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:07 pm

GCANE wrote:Jeff is live and alive.
Waiting to see if he'll find another shed.

https://www.pscp.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1DXGyOqwgqNxM

view is side way
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2269 Postby floridasun78 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:09 pm

here other chaser in area livestormchasing
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2270 Postby gotabyte » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:11 pm

Local met on Fox 8 pointed out that track is too far east. Center is south of Venice now and initial landfall likely on west side of river. Also mentioned the slow down.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2271 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:13 pm

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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2272 Postby bevgo » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:13 pm

My tub will not hold water. HELP!
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2273 Postby Bamagirl2408 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:14 pm

gotabyte wrote:Local met on Fox 8 pointed out that track is too far east. Center is south of Venice now and initial landfall likely on west side of river. Also mentioned the slow down.


They have been saying NHC is wrong all day. My best friend has been sending me texts and videos. Wonder who is right?
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2274 Postby poof121 » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:15 pm

bevgo wrote:My tub will not hold water. HELP!


We wrapped the plug with plastic wrap, and it worked for us.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2275 Postby PTPatrick » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:16 pm

Been trying to figure out an analog to this storm for Mississippi with respect to surge. It really hasn't had a lot of cat 1 hits from the south with RFQ. Camille, Katrina obviously created huge surge. Elena and Frederic were stronger but Fred was the Far East side of Jackson Co, and Elena came at a funny angle. Neither caused great surge. George's was a large cat 2 and caused major surge in Jackson county so probably this won't be as bad a Georges ....it also moved slow. 1947 was a bad surge in Jackson county. Ethel in 1960 wasn't a bad surg and came in weak. 1906 hurricane was bad surge as well. My best bet is surge will end up lower than Georges. But higher than Ethel. So about 7-8 ft in Harrison and maybe 6-7 thru Jackson county (assuming a landfall closer to Gulfport). If it hits closer to ocean springs there are very vulnerable areas of east Jackson county and south mobile that could easily see 10-11.

Every case of a south to north moving storm, even weakening ones have produced significant surge tho. Mississippi is just that vulnerable.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2276 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:16 pm

bevgo wrote:My tub will not hold water. HELP!



plasic ziplock with sand/mud... :)

wet
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2277 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:19 pm

Jeff just got blasted by a nasty band.
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2278 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:21 pm

Tornado with debris ball signature reported.

 https://twitter.com/NWSNewOrleans/status/916759806437920768


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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2279 Postby GCANE » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:22 pm

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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion

#2280 Postby saila » Sat Oct 07, 2017 3:23 pm

bevgo wrote:My tub will not hold water. HELP!


Those gripper things used for opening jars works good too for covering the drain
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